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VEF Riga vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-60
18-13 28-10 17-22 18-15
Position#3
Record7-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#12
Record5-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Rimi Olimpiskais centrs (Riga)
Other2023
Meetings · VEF Riga v Keila KK
29 Sep 2026
VRI90
KEIL60
30 Sep 2025
VRI122
KEIL74
11 Mar 2025
VRI94
KEIL71
25 Nov 2023
VRI81
KEIL60
09 Jan 2023
VRI95
KEIL48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#31
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 73
H17/10
Champions League
Ventspils
#4
W
107-68
107
68
+39
106avg 73
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cholet
#14
L
73-74
73
74
-1
62avg 73
A25/10
Champions League
Prometey
#2
L
66-70
66
70
-4
50avg 73
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
96-46
96
46
+50
99avg 73
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
L
55-76
55
76
-21
49avg 73
A08/11
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 73
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 73
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
81avg 73
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Cholet
#14
W
70-63
70
63
+7
64avg 73
H21/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-33
25-24
14-14
18-13
25-22
30-11
25-21
27-14
20-16
12-22
19-23
22-13
19-28
8-12
18-12
21-18
20-13
27-14
19-14
30-5
19-15
17-20
10-22
9-19
28-20
15-17
24-14
18-21
26-21
19-14
19-21
21-22
22-15
22-13
16-17
25-26
18-9
15-26
15-11
22-17
149.9Avg total
79.7Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.869.7154.5+15.170%
Season at home (2)88.055.0143.0+33.0100%
Season away (8)84.073.4157.4+10.662%
Last 10 (10)79.770.2149.9+9.560%
Last 5 (5)76.072.0148.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.074.3135.3-13.30%
vs Similar (4)75.271.5146.8+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.170.2155.3+14.978%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
61avg 66
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
77avg 66
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 66
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
53-82
53
82
-29
36avg 66
H24/10
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
L
88-99
88
99
-11
75avg 66
A28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
95-72
95
72
+23
90avg 66
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
88avg 66
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 66
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
93-103
93
103
-10
84avg 66
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
97-91
97
91
+6
91avg 66
A21/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
15-23
25-21
23-29
18-11
22-14
21-26
19-20
16-20
30-19
14-22
21-25
13-14
12-16
14-23
14-29
21-35
24-18
18-17
25-29
23-23
24-19
21-20
27-10
19-17
19-18
22-22
30-23
27-17
12-19
23-17
18-20
22-27
26-33
26-18
19-25
29-32
23-21
24-14
21-24
167.7Avg total
83.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.282.3163.5-1.145%
Season at home (6)83.882.3166.2+1.550%
Season away (5)78.082.2160.2-4.240%
Last 10 (10)83.184.6167.7-1.550%
Last 5 (5)91.083.8174.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.785.0155.8-14.323%
vs Similar (4)89.091.0180.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (4)94.080.8174.8+13.2100%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
VEF RigaKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#31
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H17/10
Champions League
Ventspils
#4
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cholet
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A25/10
Champions League
Prometey
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/11
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Cholet
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H21/11
Champions League
77.0Avg total
40.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.575.8+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.634.474.0+5.267%-
Last 30 away (18)40.936.277.1+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.577.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.074.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.339.773.0-6.333%-
vs Similar (4)35.540.876.2-5.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.134.076.1+8.178%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/10
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A21/11
ENBL
81.8Avg total
40.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.080.1-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.680.7+1.567%-
Last 30 away (15)37.042.579.5-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.281.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.845.290.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.640.877.4-4.245%-
vs Similar (4)41.542.884.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (4)50.040.590.5+9.575%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.7
52.4%
50.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.2
36.0%
32.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.812.9
72.5%
70.5%12.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.9
51.0%
50.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.4
36.7%
32.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.417.7
67.0%
70.5%17.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WWWWLWLLWL
Keila KK
WLWWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#12
+12.6
Net rating
-0.9
109.1
Offensive rating
106.6
96.6
Defensive rating
107.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.43
36.0%
3-point %
36.7%
64.9%
Assist %
51.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 106.6Defence96.6 · 107.5Shooting53.1% · 52.5%3-point %36.0% · 36.7%Ball care19.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds33.6% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
VEF Riga wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
09/01/23VEF Riga v Keila KK95-48
02/12/22Keila KK v VEF Riga76-88
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23HCholet70-63
17/11/23ARapla85-71
14/11/23ABK Liepaja85-78
11/11/23ALatvijas Universitate85-72
08/11/23ATenerife55-76
04/11/23HViimsi96-46
29/10/23APrometey66-70
25/10/23ACholet73-74
21/10/23AVentspils107-68
17/10/23HDarussafaka75-84
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23AValmiera Glass Via97-91
19/11/23HVentspils93-103
15/11/23HTartu Ulikool80-73
10/11/23AValmiera Glass Via90-80
03/11/23HLatvijas Universitate95-72
28/10/23ABK Liepaja88-99
24/10/23HVoluntari53-82
22/10/23HTal Tech81-86
18/10/23HBK Ogre80-71
06/10/23HPrometey74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %70%100%62%
Points / game84.888.084.0
Allowed / game69.755.073.4
Point differential+15.1+33.0+10.6
Avg total154.5143.0157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL45%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game81.283.878.0
Allowed / game82.382.382.2
Point differential-1.1+1.5-4.2
Avg total163.5166.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo880100%94.265.5+28.8
2 Prometey87188%88.268.8+19.5
3 Rigas Zelli129375%79.969.0+10.9
4 Tal Tech118373%81.076.4+4.6
5 VEF Riga107370%84.869.7+15.1
6 Tartu Ulikool117464%78.170.4+7.7
7 Ventspils117464%92.185.3+6.8
8 BK Ogre116555%78.076.5+1.5
9 BK Liepaja126650%81.881.8+0.0
10 Parnu105550%73.775.6-1.9
11 Keila KK115645%81.282.3-1.1
12 Rapla123925%74.278.4-4.2
13 Viimsi1331023%66.287.0-20.8
14 Latvijas Universitate1431121%69.185.3-16.2
15 Tallinna Kalev102820%66.281.8-15.6
16 Valmiera Glass Via1221017%74.087.2-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga1828171881
Keila KK1310221560
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