PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Venezia vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-69
23-17 28-15 20-18 18-19
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game74.3
Venezia 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game89.3
EuropeEurocupRound 10
European cup2022
Meetings · Venezia v Ulm
11 Jan 2023
VEN89
ULM69
02 Feb 2022
VEN89
ULM79
18 Nov 2015
VEN90
ULM78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#13
W
80-60
80
60
+20
79avg 71
A29/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#9
L
63-75
63
75
-12
58avg 71
A04/12
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 71
H06/12
Eurocup
Brescia
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
no box
H10/12
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
83avg 71
A14/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
115-101 OT
115
101
+14
no box
A18/12
Lega A
Prometey
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
H21/12
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
84avg 71
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
93-100
93
100
-7
87avg 71
A02/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
80-57
80
57
+23
74avg 71
H08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
25-11
18-14
16-22
6-17
23-14
18-21
16-23
20-18
14-13
29-17
15-17
20-25
24-22
14-17
24-15
24-24
20-25
20-18
23-23
34-23
16-23
26-19
13-24
19-14
17-16
13-24
22-21
18-21
21-18
22-14
25-23
24-23
24-25
25-26
20-26
19-11
18-17
22-19
21-10
161.3Avg total
83.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.274.3152.6+3.956%
Season at home (5)74.471.6146.0+2.860%
Season away (4)83.077.8160.8+5.250%
Last 10 (10)83.577.8161.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)89.081.8170.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.071.5144.5+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.676.2152.8+0.541%
vs Weaker (11)82.776.1158.8+6.673%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
W
106-105
106
105
+1
107avg 76
A30/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
78-108
78
108
-30
67avg 76
A06/12
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-80
91
80
+11
81avg 76
H10/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
110-98
110
98
+12
110avg 76
H14/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-110
83
110
-27
73avg 76
H18/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 76
A21/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
82avg 76
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
85avg 76
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
80-65
80
65
+15
65avg 76
A07/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
26-21
33-28
20-34
21-28
18-20
18-30
21-30
19-19
25-20
16-24
31-17
31-26
32-21
23-30
24-21
16-32
20-30
24-29
23-19
12-24
22-20
21-21
29-16
25-22
17-21
21-20
21-24
22-27
24-14
20-17
29-29
18-25
25-27
25-30
24-19
18-22
22-20
19-9
21-14
182.5Avg total
90.3Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.489.3174.8-3.956%
Season at home (4)83.886.0169.8-2.250%
Season away (5)86.892.0178.8-5.260%
Last 10 (10)90.392.2182.5-1.960%
Last 5 (5)87.084.2171.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.092.2172.2-12.220%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.689.1175.7-2.533%
vs Weaker (12)88.785.0173.7+3.767%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
VeneziaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#13
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A29/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#9
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A04/12
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/12
Eurocup
Brescia
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/12
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A14/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A18/12
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/12
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H08/01
Lega A
78.0Avg total
40.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.775.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.134.571.6+2.669%-
Last 30 away (14)40.339.379.6+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.378.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.280.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.237.274.5+0.041%-
vs Weaker (11)40.636.577.1+4.273%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A30/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/12
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H10/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H14/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H18/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/01
BBL
90.1Avg total
44.0Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.185.9-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.545.389.7-0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.082.0+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.190.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.485.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.845.285.0-5.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.743.286.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker (12)43.142.885.8+0.350%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.5
51.2%
53.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.4
37.0%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.113.2
77.2%
74.2%13.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.819.0
59.7%
53.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.7
38.0%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws21.016.4
78.1%
74.2%16.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WLWLWLWWLW
Ulm
WLWLWLWWLW
#10
League position
#6
+6.1
Net rating
-2.2
110.8
Offensive rating
115.8
104.7
Defensive rating
118.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
58.4%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
61.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.9%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.0%
3-point %
38.0%
58.1%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 115.8Defence104.7 · 118.0Shooting53.0% · 58.4%3-point %37.0% · 38.0%Ball care18.3% · 19.9%Off. rebounds31.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Venezia   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Venezia wins
3
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
11/10/22Ulm v Venezia81-80
02/02/22Venezia v Ulm89-79
03/11/21Ulm v Venezia90-83 OT
18/11/15Venezia v Ulm90-78
14/10/15Ulm v Venezia87-68
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23HVerona80-57
02/01/23ATreviso93-100
26/12/22HSassari86-76
21/12/22HPrometey71-75
18/12/22AReggiana115-101 OT
14/12/22AJoventut Badalona87-90
10/12/22HBrescia82-79
06/12/22HBursaspor78-65
04/12/22ABrindisi63-75
29/11/22ABrescia80-60
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23AHamburg80-65
03/01/23HBonn92-101
30/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-87
27/12/22ALudwigsburg84-87
21/12/22ACluj-Napoca84-81
18/12/22HAlba Berlin83-110
14/12/22HJL Bourg110-98
10/12/22HCrailsheim Merlins91-80
06/12/22ACedevita Olimpija78-108
30/11/22APrometey106-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game78.274.483.0
Allowed / game74.371.677.8
Point differential+3.9+2.8+5.2
Avg total152.6146.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game85.483.886.8
Allowed / game89.386.092.0
Point differential-3.9-2.2-5.2
Avg total174.8169.8178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria97278%84.178.9+5.2
2 Turk Telekom107370%85.079.9+5.1
3 Paris107370%84.980.8+4.1
4 JL Bourg107370%85.783.4+2.3
5 Buducnost106460%79.271.9+7.3
6 Joventut Badalona106460%81.978.4+3.5
7 Prometey106460%86.385.3+1.0
8 Bursaspor106460%84.183.5+0.6
9 Promitheas106460%82.182.3-0.2
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv95456%87.478.4+9.0
11 Venezia95456%78.274.3+3.9
12 Ulm95456%85.489.3-3.9
13 Brescia105550%82.879.0+3.8
14 London Lions94544%79.782.4-2.8
15 Lietkabelis104640%78.481.5-3.1
16 Cluj-Napoca103730%85.487.8-2.4
17 Hamburg103730%79.285.4-6.2
18 Cedevita Olimpija102820%85.491.1-5.7
19 Trento102820%71.282.3-11.1
20 Slask Wroclaw91811%74.684.9-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia2328201889
Ulm1715181969
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.