PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ulm vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-80
19-19 25-20 16-24 31-17
Position#4
Record3-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game87.0
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#14
Record3-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game92.1
GermanyBBLRound 9
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ulm v Crailsheim Merlins
25 Nov 2023
ULM94
CME87
10 Dec 2022
ULM91
CME80
01 May 2022
ULM100
CME90
29 Apr 2021
ULM93
CME78
10 Jun 2020
ULM92
CME80
11 Apr 2020
ULM v CME
upcoming
16 Mar 2019
ULM99
CME87
28 Mar 2016
ULM83
CME79
31 Jan 2015
ULM86
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
70avg 76
A21/10
BBL
Brescia
#13
L
90-98 OT
90
98
-8
no box
H26/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 76
H29/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 76
A02/11
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#12
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
no box
H05/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
106-96 OT
106
96
+10
no box
A20/11
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
54-68
54
68
-14
41avg 76
H23/11
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
97-82
97
82
+15
100avg 76
A27/11
BBL
Prometey
#2
W
106-105
106
105
+1
107avg 76
A30/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
78-108
78
108
-30
67avg 76
A06/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
12-26
16-23
21-17
27-23
25-22
13-17
18-21
25-23
17-25
22-14
24-11
23-17
25-24
17-18
25-27
26-21
21-24
21-16
15-22
24-21
25-14
12-29
27-24
20-19
15-11
6-18
13-20
22-20
23-22
31-12
21-28
27-22
26-21
33-28
20-34
21-28
18-20
18-30
21-30
177.1Avg total
87.5Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.687.0174.6+0.638%
Season at home (3)88.388.3176.7+0.033%
Season away (5)87.286.2173.4+1.040%
Last 10 (10)87.589.6177.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)88.291.8180.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.780.7156.3-5.033%
vs Similar (12)81.786.9168.6-5.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.788.1178.8+2.655%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
L
77-99
77
99
-22
67avg 75
A23/10
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
76-61
76
61
+15
no box
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 75
A30/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
119-102
119
102
+17
111avg 75
H05/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
94-106
94
106
-12
84avg 75
A18/11
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
102-81
102
81
+21
no box
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
84avg 75
H26/11
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
A30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
69-95
69
95
-26
no box
H03/12
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
16-22
24-19
19-26
22-17
24-8
16-20
14-16
22-33
18-16
11-18
26-21
30-5
21-25
17-23
27-11
34-20
33-26
23-30
29-26
19-36
23-25
22-24
30-21
25-23
28-15
20-20
29-23
22-17
31-16
27-27
12-24
21-21
29-15
25-21
18-22
21-29
14-25
8-25
26-16
175.3Avg total
89.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.892.1179.9-4.438%
Season at home (4)92.590.5183.0+2.050%
Season away (4)83.093.8176.8-10.825%
Last 10 (10)89.485.9175.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)90.089.0179.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.491.3162.7-19.90%
vs Similar (10)90.590.3180.8+0.260%
vs Weaker (12)83.780.5164.2+3.250%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
UlmCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A21/10
BBL
Brescia
#13
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H26/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H29/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A02/11
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#12
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H05/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A20/11
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H23/11
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/11
BBL
Prometey
#2
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A30/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/12
Eurocup
86.4Avg total
44.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.282.6+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.843.886.6-1.150%-
Last 30 away (18)40.439.479.9+1.056%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.886.4+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.838.878.7+1.050%-
vs Similar (12)40.242.582.8-2.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.441.584.9+1.864%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/10
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A30/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H05/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-61
42
61
-19
A18/11
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/11
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H03/12
German Cup
89.7Avg total
47.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.185.9-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.440.482.8+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)41.348.289.5-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.689.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.644.491.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.749.385.0-13.60%-
vs Similar (10)46.245.992.1+0.340%-
vs Weaker (12)42.040.182.1+1.950%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.9
55.1%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.0
34.9%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.1
70.5%
75.8%14.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.2
54.4%
54.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.015.9
72.3%
75.8%15.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWLWLWWLL
Crailsheim Merlins
LWWWLWWLWL
#4
League position
#14
-4.4
Net rating
-5.0
107.1
Offensive rating
114.0
111.5
Defensive rating
119.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.9%
3-point %
36.8%
67.1%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 114.0Defence111.5 · 119.1Shooting54.0% · 54.7%3-point %34.9% · 36.8%Ball care18.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds27.3% · 27.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ulm wins
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/22ACedevita Olimpija78-108
30/11/22APrometey106-105
27/11/22AFrankfurt97-82
23/11/22HJoventut Badalona54-68
20/11/22AHeidelberg106-96 OT
05/11/22HChemnitz93-99 OT
02/11/22ABursaspor90-86
29/10/22HBayreuth88-73
26/10/22HBrescia90-98 OT
21/10/22AOldenburg73-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HLudwigsburg69-95
30/11/22AVoluntari93-79
26/11/22HHamburg92-84
23/11/22ASCM Craiova102-81
18/11/22AChemnitz94-106
05/11/22HSyntainics MBC119-102
02/11/22HNorrkoping95-64
30/10/22ABayern77-88
26/10/22HVoluntari76-61
23/10/22ABayreuth77-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game87.688.387.2
Allowed / game87.088.386.2
Point differential+0.6+0.0+1.0
Avg total174.6176.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%20%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game87.892.583.0
Allowed / game92.190.593.8
Point differential-4.4+2.0-10.8
Avg total179.9183.0176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%83.474.8+8.7
2 Bonn87188%90.474.9+15.5
3 Alba Berlin87188%91.482.0+9.4
4 Ludwigsburg86275%91.886.1+5.6
5 Oldenburg96367%84.280.0+4.2
6 Chemnitz74357%88.688.0+0.6
7 Gottingen74357%86.387.4-1.1
8 Hamburg84450%83.684.2-0.6
9 Rostock84450%89.993.9-4.0
10 Wurzburg94544%86.387.7-1.3
11 Ulm83538%87.687.0+0.6
12 Bamberg83538%83.483.8-0.4
13 Crailsheim Merlins83538%87.892.1-4.4
14 Heidelberg83538%85.192.1-7.0
15 Bayreuth82625%79.184.0-4.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig82625%77.484.0-6.6
17 Syntainics MBC82625%87.294.5-7.2
18 Frankfurt91811%76.884.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1925163191
Crailsheim Merlins1920241780
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.