Vermont vs Colgate Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 71-77

32-31 39-46

Position#16

Record8-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game62.4

Vermont

Colgate 🏆

Position#44

Record5-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game70.8

Allowed / game63.1

NCAA

Other2023-24

Meetings · Vermont v Colgate

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Colgate winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vermont

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Merrimack Warriors

#91

67-55

+12

H07/11

NCAA

Plattsburgh

#650

92-41

+51

H12/11

NCAA

Charleston

#23

73-64

H16/11

NCAA

St. Louis Billikens

#292

78-68

+10

A17/11

NCAA

Liberty

#158

61-71

-10

A19/11

NCAA

Northern Vermont - Johnson

#603

106-57

106

+49

H23/11

NCAA

Bradley

#71

70-79

-9

A26/11

NCAA

Dartmouth

#352

64-53

+11

H30/11

NCAA

Yale

#51

66-65

H03/12

NCAA

Northeastern

#298

73-71

A07/12

NCAA

36-20

31-35

51-16

41-25

27-36

46-28

47-32

31-36

33-35

28-36

56-35

50-22

29-35

41-44

28-31

36-22

28-26

38-39

40-43

33-28

137.4Avg total

75.0Scored

62.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	75.0	62.4	137.4	+12.6	80%
Season at home (6)	78.0	55.8	133.8	+22.2	100%
Season away (4)	70.5	72.2	142.8	-1.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	62.4	137.4	+12.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	65.0	140.8	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.7	73.3	150.0	+3.3	67%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	67.9	69.6	137.4	-1.7	57%
vs Weaker (19)	77.5	62.0	139.5	+15.5	95%

This opponent (Colgate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Colgate

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Texas

#34

61-81

-20

A16/03

NCAA

Brown

#276

72-70

H07/11

NCAA

Syracuse

#110

75-79

-4

A15/11

NCAA

Yale

#51

50-68

-18

H17/11

NCAA

Gardner Webb

#195

59-52

H18/11

NCAA

Weber State

#101

57-55

H19/11

NCAA

Harvard

#188

70-76

-6

H22/11

NCAA

Binghamton

#209

84-49

+35

H30/11

NCAA

Arizona

#31

55-82

-27

A02/12

NCAA

Vermont Spartans

#711

115-37

115

+78

H07/12

NCAA

32-41

29-40

31-31

41-39

46-30

29-49

20-36

30-32

26-20

33-32

28-20

29-35

30-36

40-40

44-23

40-26

30-35

25-47

52-15

63-22

134.7Avg total

69.8Scored

64.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	70.8	63.1	133.9	+7.7	56%
Season at home (7)	72.4	58.1	130.6	+14.3	71%
Season away (2)	65.0	80.5	145.5	-15.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.8	64.9	134.7	+4.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	59.8	136.0	+16.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	55.0	82.0	137.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	56.0	68.0	124.0	-12.0	33%
vs Weaker (25)	76.0	65.6	141.6	+10.5	88%

This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

VermontColgate

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Merrimack Warriors

#91

36-20

+16

H07/11

NCAA

Plattsburgh

#650

51-16

+35

H12/11

NCAA

Charleston

#23

27-36

-9

H16/11

NCAA

St. Louis Billikens

#292

47-32

+15

A17/11

NCAA

Liberty

#158

33-35

-2

A19/11

NCAA

Northern Vermont - Johnson

#603

56-35

+21

H23/11

NCAA

Bradley

#71

29-35

-6

A26/11

NCAA

Dartmouth

#352

28-31

-3

H30/11

NCAA

Yale

#51

28-26

H03/12

NCAA

Northeastern

#298

40-43

-3

A07/12

NCAA

68.4Avg total

37.5Scored

30.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	29.8	67.1	+7.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.4	26.3	64.7	+12.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.9	34.4	70.3	+1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	30.9	68.4	+6.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	34.0	70.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.0	31.3	62.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	31.3	33.0	64.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (19)	39.8	29.1	68.9	+10.7	79%	-

This opponent (Colgate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ColgateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Texas

#34

32-41

-9

A16/03

NCAA

Brown

#276

31-31

H07/11

NCAA

Syracuse

#110

46-30

+16

A15/11

NCAA

Yale

#51

20-36

-16

H17/11

NCAA

Gardner Webb

#195

26-20

H18/11

NCAA

Weber State

#101

28-20

H19/11

NCAA

Harvard

#188

30-36

-6

H22/11

NCAA

Binghamton

#209

44-23

+21

H30/11

NCAA

Arizona

#31

30-35

-5

A02/12

NCAA

Vermont Spartans

#711

52-15

+37

H07/12

NCAA

62.6Avg total

33.9Scored

28.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	31.1	68.3	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	37.5	30.1	67.5	+7.4	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.7	32.8	69.5	+3.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	28.7	62.6	+5.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	25.8	62.6	+11.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	35.0	65.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	26.7	32.3	59.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (25)	38.2	31.4	69.6	+6.8	72%	-

This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.8	34.3	72.1	+3.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.7	33.8	73.4	+5.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.4	35.1	70.5	+0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	31.5	69.0	+6.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	31.0	70.6	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	48.0	93.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	36.6	36.6	73.1	+0.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (19)	37.3	32.6	69.8	+4.7	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	34.3	71.8	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	40.5	34.0	74.5	+6.5	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	32.2	34.9	67.1	-2.7	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	36.2	72.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	34.0	73.4	+5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	47.0	72.0	-22.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	29.3	35.7	65.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (25)	37.9	34.2	72.0	+3.7	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vermont wins

Colgate wins

Date	Game	Score
10/12/22	Colgate v Vermont	72-73
22/12/21	Vermont v Colgate	78-68

Vermontlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/23	A	Northeastern	73-71
03/12/23	H	Yale	66-65
30/11/23	H	Dartmouth	64-53
26/11/23	A	Bradley	70-79
23/11/23	H	Northern Vermont - Johnson	106-57
19/11/23	A	Liberty	61-71
17/11/23	A	St. Louis Billikens	78-68
16/11/23	H	Charleston	73-64
12/11/23	H	Plattsburgh	92-41
07/11/23	H	Merrimack Warriors	67-55

Colgatelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/23	H	Vermont Spartans	115-37
02/12/23	A	Arizona	55-82
30/11/23	H	Binghamton	84-49
22/11/23	H	Harvard	70-76
19/11/23	H	Weber State	57-55
18/11/23	H	Gardner Webb	59-52
17/11/23	H	Yale	50-68
15/11/23	A	Syracuse	75-79
07/11/23	H	Brown	72-70
16/03/23	A	Texas	61-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	80%	100%	50%
Points / game	75.0	78.0	70.5
Allowed / game	62.4	55.8	72.2
Point differential	+12.6	+22.2	-1.8
Avg total	137.4	133.8	142.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Colgate

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	56%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	7	2
Win %	56%	71%	0%
Points / game	70.8	72.4	65.0
Allowed / game	63.1	58.1	80.5
Point differential	+7.7	+14.3	-15.5
Avg total	133.9	130.6	145.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Vermont	10	8	2	80%	75.0	62.4	+12.6
2	UMass Lowell	9	6	3	67%	81.2	67.8	+13.4
3	New Hampshire	8	5	3	62%	80.9	72.9	+8.0
4	Bryant University	10	6	4	60%	78.2	70.5	+7.7
5	Albany	7	4	3	57%	76.6	75.7	+0.9
6	Binghamton	9	5	4	56%	72.0	70.2	+1.8
7	Maine Black Bears	11	6	5	55%	69.3	65.1	+4.2
8	UMBC Retrievers	12	5	7	42%	79.9	83.7	-3.8
9	NJIT	8	2	6	25%	66.1	79.1	-13.0

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Patriot League conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Colgate	9	5	4	56%	70.8	63.1	+7.7
2	American University	11	5	6	45%	74.2	74.2	+0.0
3	Boston University	9	3	6	33%	65.9	67.3	-1.4
4	Bucknell	10	3	7	30%	63.2	72.9	-9.7
5	Navy	8	2	6	25%	64.6	65.4	-0.8
6	Army	10	2	8	20%	60.5	64.3	-3.8
7	Holy Cross	10	2	8	20%	64.3	79.3	-15.0
8	Lehigh	8	1	7	12%	74.0	79.1	-5.1
9	Loyola Maryland	9	1	8	11%	66.4	75.4	-9.0
10	Lafayette	10	1	9	10%	61.7	72.5	-10.8