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Forli vs Verona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-68
21-12 14-22 20-21 21-13
Position#2
Record14-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game74.6
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record12-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game72.9
ItalySerie A2Round 19· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Verona
16 Nov 2025
FORL74
VER85
06 Oct 2024
FORL92
VER86
13 Jan 2024
FORL76
VER68
30 Jan 2022
FORL65
VER73
15 Oct 2018
FORL67
VER65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Verona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
60avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 69
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
82-62
82
62
+20
82avg 69
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 69
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 69
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-58
63
58
+5
53avg 69
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 69
A06/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
11-11
22-19
17-19
17-22
18-19
18-19
23-16
12-19
23-16
14-14
13-30
24-15
25-14
22-18
11-15
27-21
23-16
22-23
19-31
12-12
21-18
16-16
14-17
22-21
18-22
11-15
21-13
23-26
17-24
19-8
21-10
14-10
15-11
18-21
16-16
20-13
19-25
17-28
21-20
153.6Avg total
78.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.674.6154.2+5.078%
Season at home (8)81.870.4152.1+11.4100%
Season away (10)77.978.0155.9-0.160%
Last 10 (10)78.575.1153.6+3.480%
Last 5 (5)73.871.4145.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.774.6149.3+0.160%
vs Weaker (15)82.170.5152.5+11.693%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
72-75
72
75
-3
68avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
no box
H20/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
75-68
75
68
+7
66avg 69
A26/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 69
H01/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 69
A06/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
63-76
63
76
-13
49avg 69
A10/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
84-78
84
78
+6
81avg 69
H16/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 69
H22/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
76avg 69
A30/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
70-49
70
49
+21
68avg 69
H07/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-24
16-14
19-19
18-19
20-19
19-19
14-14
22-12
16-19
11-20
26-17
16-13
28-22
21-19
15-17
15-22
22-24
25-16
23-16
10-20
14-20
16-12
23-24
23-27
21-18
23-12
17-21
16-12
32-16
17-21
21-31
23-23
25-20
20-20
17-25
25-16
16-19
9-5
20-9
152.2Avg total
77.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.272.9150.2+4.367%
Season at home (9)81.173.1154.2+8.078%
Season away (9)73.372.8146.1+0.656%
Last 10 (10)77.974.3152.2+3.660%
Last 5 (5)77.674.2151.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.382.4158.8-6.133%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.877.0156.8+2.854%
vs Weaker (5)74.468.0142.4+6.480%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
ForliVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
73.0Avg total
38.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.275.5+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.733.672.3+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)39.838.478.2+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)38.234.873.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.472.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.738.475.1-1.747%-
vs Weaker (15)41.933.975.8+7.987%-
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H20/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A06/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A10/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H16/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H22/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/01
Serie A2
78.2Avg total
39.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.777.7-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.979.1-0.633%-
Last 30 away (15)36.639.676.2-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.378.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.279.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.843.479.2-7.68%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.439.178.5+0.346%-
vs Weaker (5)39.232.671.8+6.680%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.1
47.6%
50.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.0
34.8%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.9
72.4%
74.2%13.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.1
50.0%
50.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.1
35.7%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.916.3
81.9%
74.2%16.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWWWWWWLWW
Verona
WLWWLWWWLL
#2
League position
#8
+2.7
Net rating
+7.1
107.0
Offensive rating
109.6
104.2
Defensive rating
102.5
49.3%
Effective FG%
51.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.8%
3-point %
35.7%
46.4%
Assist %
54.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 109.6Defence104.2 · 102.5Shooting49.3% · 51.3%3-point %34.8% · 35.7%Ball care16.2% · 15.2%Off. rebounds31.6% · 25.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Forli   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
3
Verona wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Verona v Forli96-82
30/01/22Forli v Verona65-73
24/10/21Verona v Forli79-60
20/01/19Verona v Forli77-87
15/10/18Forli v Verona67-65
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ACividale77-86
30/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza63-58
23/12/23ARimini80-68
17/12/23AOrzinuovi72-71
10/12/23HFortitudo Bologna77-74 OT
06/12/23ANardo114-107 OT
02/12/23HCento82-62
26/11/23ATrieste62-79
19/11/23HUdine87-84 OT
12/11/23AChiusi71-62
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HChiusi70-49
30/12/23ATrieste85-88
22/12/23HOrzinuovi86-80
16/12/23HRimini84-78
10/12/23AUdine63-76
06/12/23ACento85-78
01/12/23HCividale80-71
26/11/23AFortitudo Bologna75-68
20/11/23HNardo79-80 OT
12/11/23AAssigeco Piacenza72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game79.681.877.9
Allowed / game74.670.478.0
Point differential+5.0+11.4-0.1
Avg total154.2152.1155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %28%50%10%
Verona
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game77.281.173.3
Allowed / game72.973.172.8
Point differential+4.3+8.0+0.6
Avg total150.2154.2146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1817194%92.376.6+15.7
2 Fortitudo Bologna1815383%77.971.8+6.1
3 Forli1814478%79.674.6+5.0
4 Udine1914574%80.068.9+11.1
5 Cantu1813572%88.281.2+6.9
6 Trieste1813572%80.475.7+4.7
7 Verona1812667%77.272.9+4.3
8 Basket Torino1812667%84.681.5+3.1
9 Sebastiani Rieti1811761%82.279.3+2.8
10 Urania Milano1811761%83.683.7-0.1
11 JuVi Cremona1810856%87.885.6+2.3
12 Treviglio1810856%82.781.4+1.3
13 Assigeco Piacenza189950%78.075.7+2.3
14 Nardo1881044%77.983.7-5.8
15 Vigevano1871139%78.882.3-3.5
16 Rimini1861233%76.678.2-1.6
17 Cento1861233%72.778.6-5.9
18 Luiss Roma1861233%79.787.7-8.0
19 Cividale1851328%73.277.7-4.5
20 Agrigento1851328%76.181.0-4.9
21 Monferrato1841422%79.684.2-4.7
22 Orzinuovi1841422%71.576.3-4.8
23 Chiusi1721512%62.274.4-12.2
24 Latina1821611%77.388.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2114202176
Verona1222211368
← all games of the day
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