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Verona vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-76
21-11 25-15 23-24 17-26
Position#8
Record5-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game75.8
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#19
Record4-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game81.9
ItalySerie A2Round 10· PalaOlimpia
Other2024-25
Meetings · Verona v Nardo
10 Nov 2024
VER86
NARD76
20 Nov 2023
VER79
NARD80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
66avg 73
H23/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
96-88
96
88
+8
89avg 73
A29/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
62avg 73
H02/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
66avg 73
A06/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
82-72
82
72
+10
76avg 73
H13/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 73
H16/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 73
A20/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
76avg 73
H27/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
67-70
67
70
-3
59avg 73
A03/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
96-69
96
69
+27
95avg 73
H06/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
19-38
19-26
18-15
20-14
27-25
23-19
26-30
18-26
21-17
19-8
13-26
17-21
23-19
21-16
11-16
23-21
17-18
20-14
22-19
29-17
20-21
20-29
8-13
25-20
16-19
14-14
18-10
29-20
18-22
16-18
22-11
13-22
22-13
16-17
16-18
24-16
23-15
26-18
23-20
158.8Avg total
81.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.475.8157.2+5.756%
Season at home (5)82.273.8156.0+8.460%
Season away (4)80.578.2158.8+2.250%
Last 10 (10)81.177.7158.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)79.670.6150.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.888.2163.0-13.50%
vs Similar (13)75.974.6150.5+1.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.277.7161.8+6.569%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
L
74-88
74
88
-14
no box
A09/06
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
78-86
78
86
-8
62avg 66
H29/09
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
59avg 66
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
72-97
72
97
-25
62avg 66
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 66
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 66
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 66
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
76-63
76
63
+13
74avg 66
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
74avg 66
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
75-93
75
93
-18
69avg 66
A06/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
16-17
23-17
19-23
16-12
11-33
28-30
23-11
17-30
16-21
20-23
14-21
15-14
15-26
27-26
15-31
20-14
21-17
22-25
19-15
15-30
15-14
19-28
19-12
16-23
27-19
12-21
27-14
18-20
14-18
22-14
22-11
18-13
24-17
22-15
17-26
22-21
16-22
19-24
18-26
158.0Avg total
75.5Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.781.9157.6-6.244%
Season at home (5)79.080.4159.4-1.460%
Season away (4)71.583.8155.2-12.225%
Last 10 (10)75.582.5158.0-7.040%
Last 5 (5)76.477.6154.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.579.4152.9-5.940%
vs Similar (20)76.577.5153.9-1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
VeronaNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H23/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H02/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H13/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H16/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A20/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H27/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/11
Serie A2
82.6Avg total
42.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.178.9+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.982.6+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.036.375.3+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.080.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.245.085.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (13)39.237.276.4+1.954%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.736.879.5+5.869%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A09/06
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H29/09
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/11
Serie A2
76.0Avg total
34.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.977.5-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.838.678.4+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)35.441.276.6-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.841.276.0-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.476.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.939.774.6-4.830%-
vs Similar (20)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.5
48.0%
50.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.9
78.4%
74.4%14.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.4
55.1%
50.1%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.9
41.0%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.611.4
69.1%
74.4%11.4
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
WLWWLWLLWL
Nardo
LWWWLWLLLL
#8
League position
#19
+4.7
Net rating
-8.8
105.5
Offensive rating
110.3
100.8
Defensive rating
119.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
57.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.5%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
41.0%
53.0%
Assist %
34.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 110.3Defence100.8 · 119.1Shooting48.8% · 57.7%3-point %33.3% · 41.0%Ball care16.5% · 20.5%Off. rebounds30.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Verona   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Verona wins
1
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
28/01/24Nardo v Verona57-69
20/11/23Verona v Nardo79-80 OT
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24HVigevano96-69
03/11/24AFortitudo Bologna67-70
27/10/24HJuVi Cremona85-71
20/10/24APesaro73-63
16/10/24HCantu77-80
13/10/24HCividale82-72
06/10/24AForli86-92 OT
02/10/24HUrania Milano71-77
29/09/24ABasket Torino96-88
23/05/24HTrapani78-95
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza75-93
03/11/24HSebastiani Rieti81-71
27/10/24ABrindisi76-63
20/10/24HFortitudo Bologna82-77
16/10/24AVigevano68-84
13/10/24HLibertas Livorno82-71
06/10/24HJuVi Cremona72-97
02/10/24AUdine67-95
29/09/24HPesaro78-86
09/06/24ACento74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game81.482.280.5
Allowed / game75.873.878.2
Point differential+5.7+8.4+2.2
Avg total157.2156.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game75.779.071.5
Allowed / game81.980.483.8
Point differential-6.2-1.4-12.2
Avg total157.6159.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini98189%84.476.6+7.9
2 Cividale108280%77.974.7+3.2
3 Udine97278%82.270.8+11.4
4 Cantu97278%77.871.4+6.3
5 Urania Milano107370%79.973.6+6.3
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%73.872.2+1.6
7 Verona95456%81.475.8+5.7
8 Forli95456%75.070.6+4.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna84450%74.673.8+0.9
10 Orzinuovi94544%78.880.8-2.0
11 Nardo94544%75.781.9-6.2
12 JuVi Cremona104640%79.080.7-1.7
13 Avellino Basket83538%73.877.0-3.2
14 Basket Torino93633%72.776.7-4.0
15 Vigevano93633%73.277.2-4.0
16 Libertas Livorno93633%71.476.0-4.6
17 Pesaro93633%69.776.7-7.0
18 Brindisi92722%71.275.2-4.0
19 Assigeco Piacenza92722%78.482.9-4.4
20 Cento92722%71.279.1-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona2125231786
Nardo1115242676
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