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Vigevano vs Pesaro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.9
ItalySerie A2Round 31· Pala Elachem
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vigevano v Pesaro
21 Mar 2027
VIGE v PES
upcoming
15 Jan 2025
VIGE82
PES93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vigevano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
69-87
69
87
-18
58avg 71
A27/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
64-79
64
79
-15
59avg 71
H04/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 71
A11/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
70-89
70
89
-19
59avg 71
A18/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
79avg 71
H21/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
93-85
93
85
+8
95avg 71
A25/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 71
H01/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
14-24
22-21
16-22
10-29
16-26
23-11
20-21
15-24
17-26
15-16
17-13
27-24
21-21
21-29
19-24
18-21
15-27
20-21
17-20
20-20
23-20
17-21
19-13
17-20
20-17
28-26
28-22
23-22
29-31
8-17
21-17
24-23
18-14
12-22
14-17
22-18
21-20
17-10
15-13
158.5Avg total
76.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.381.8158.1-5.433%
Season at home (4)74.875.2150.0-0.550%
Season away (5)77.687.0164.6-9.420%
Last 10 (10)76.482.1158.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)79.276.6155.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.081.6156.6-6.633%
vs Similar (12)80.083.7163.7-3.742%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 75
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 75
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 75
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 75
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 75
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
76avg 75
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 75
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 75
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
19-21
18-27
13-16
20-15
22-22
18-30
19-12
14-21
25-21
15-22
19-19
20-17
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.079.9160.9+1.156%
Season at home (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.480.2155.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar (20)82.586.2168.7-3.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.676.4162.0+9.1100%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
VigevanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A27/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H04/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A11/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A18/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H01/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A08/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H11/11
Serie A2
84.0Avg total
39.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.879.9-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.340.180.4+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)38.041.579.5-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.584.0-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.084.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.741.579.2-3.828%-
vs Similar (12)41.239.881.0+1.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
84.5Avg total
41.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.884.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.883.2+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.784.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.484.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (20)41.643.084.7-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.238.282.4+6.089%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.0
45.6%
51.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
34.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.5
41.1%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
71.0%14.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vigevano
WLLWWLLLLL
Pesaro
LLLLWWWWWL
#14
League position
#10
-5.2
Net rating
-1.4
101.5
Offensive rating
105.1
106.8
Defensive rating
106.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
11.0%
Turnover %
10.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.4%
3-point %
41.1%
57.4%
Assist %
53.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 105.1Defence106.8 · 106.5Shooting50.7% · 54.8%3-point %38.4% · 41.1%Ball care11.0% · 10.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Vigevano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vigevano wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Vigevano v Pesaro82-93
02/10/24Pesaro v Vigevano67-80
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRuvo Di Puglia75-61
08/11/26ARimini68-76
01/11/26HLibertas Livorno81-87
25/10/26AFortitudo Bologna93-85
21/10/26HForli79-74
18/10/26APistoia70-89
11/10/26ACento88-98
04/10/26HSebastiani Rieti64-79
27/09/26AAvellino Basket69-87
21/05/25ALibertas Livorno77-85
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ASassari87-96 OT
07/11/26HMestre73-85
01/11/26AAvellino Basket70-79
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vigevano
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game76.374.877.6
Allowed / game81.875.287.0
Point differential-5.4-0.5-9.4
Avg total158.1150.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game81.078.084.8
Allowed / game79.977.483.0
Point differential+1.1+0.6+1.8
Avg total160.9155.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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