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Pesaro vs JuVi Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-84
24-23 21-18 15-26 27-17
Position#10
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game81.0
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game66.0
ItalySerie A2Round 2· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pesaro v JuVi Cremona
04 Oct 2026
PES87
JUVI84
08 Mar 2026
PES76
JUVI64
22 Dec 2024
PES92
JUVI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JuVi Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 79
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
90-112
90
112
-22
83avg 79
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
83avg 79
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
71avg 79
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
89-99
89
99
-10
80avg 79
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 79
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
66avg 79
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 79
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 79
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 79
A27/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
24-12
23-25
13-22
27-30
24-30
20-22
19-30
20-17
27-24
23-19
15-13
15-21
14-18
27-20
19-25
24-11
23-30
13-31
29-27
22-16
35-27
15-25
22-11
15-26
28-26
18-27
14-14
21-26
33-19
17-31
25-18
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
174.2Avg total
85.9Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.081.0177.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)96.081.0177.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.988.3174.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)87.887.6175.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.585.2167.7-2.745%
vs Weaker (10)84.975.9160.8+9.0100%
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
98-85
98
85
+13
98avg 70
H22/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
53-80
53
80
-27
43avg 70
A25/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
83-72
83
72
+11
81avg 70
A04/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
62-73
62
73
-11
58avg 70
A08/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
93-62
93
62
+31
102avg 70
H12/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
95-100
95
100
-5
94avg 70
A19/04
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
84avg 70
H26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
59-56
59
56
+3
59avg 70
H29/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
66avg 70
A03/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
59-66
59
66
-7
49avg 70
H27/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
24-27
27-20
23-23
16-26
13-15
11-21
13-18
21-18
19-19
27-10
16-25
15-22
15-21
16-17
16-13
24-14
24-10
19-19
26-19
23-21
20-34
29-25
23-20
21-24
29-26
16-20
17-12
23-15
9-12
17-10
10-19
24-24
21-18
16-15
14-24
18-15
14-17
13-16
14-18
151.7Avg total
76.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)59.066.0125.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)59.066.0125.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.075.7151.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)74.277.0151.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.675.6146.2-5.031%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.575.4150.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (5)85.874.0159.8+11.880%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
PesaroJuVi Cremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
89.5Avg total
45.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.082.4+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.181.5+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.983.3+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.843.789.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.845.293.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.441.082.4+0.340%-
vs Weaker (10)44.338.082.3+6.380%-
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H22/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A25/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A04/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A08/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H12/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A19/04
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H29/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A03/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H27/09
Serie A2
79.0Avg total
39.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.378.0+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.236.076.2+4.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.579.9-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.379.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.938.574.4-2.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.737.579.2+4.275%-
vs Weaker (5)45.239.684.8+5.660%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.0
52.9%
51.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.310.1
43.3%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.217.5
78.8%
70.8%17.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JuVi Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JuVi Cremona: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.3
52.6%
51.4%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.1
34.7%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.513.1
74.9%
70.8%13.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLWLWLLWLW
JuVi Cremona
LLWWLWLWLW
#10
League position
#16
-3.0
Net rating
+0.5
104.1
Offensive rating
90.9
107.1
Defensive rating
90.5
57.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
43.3%
3-point %
34.7%
55.7%
Assist %
70.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 90.9Defence107.1 · 90.5Shooting57.7% · 52.3%3-point %43.3% · 34.7%Ball care13.9% · 17.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ JuVi Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
1
JuVi Cremona wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Pesaro v JuVi Cremona76-64
02/11/25JuVi Cremona v Pesaro75-95
06/04/25JuVi Cremona v Pesaro91-89 OT
22/12/24Pesaro v JuVi Cremona92-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91
16/05/26ARimini96-94
14/05/26ARimini75-93
11/05/26HRimini94-79
09/05/26HRimini89-99
26/04/26ALibertas Livorno75-84
19/04/26HForli85-73
12/04/26ASebastiani Rieti90-112
08/04/26ABasket Torino81-77
JuVi Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HBrindisi59-66
03/05/26AAvellino Basket75-81
29/04/26HBasket Torino59-56
26/04/26HMestre83-82
19/04/26ARuvo Di Puglia95-100
12/04/26HRoseto93-62
08/04/26AFortitudo Bologna62-73
04/04/26AAvellino Basket83-72
25/03/26ASebastiani Rieti53-80
22/03/26HUrania Milano98-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game96.0-96.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
JuVi Cremona
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game59.059.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total125.0125.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini110100%84.059.0+25.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna110100%92.070.0+22.0
3 Libertas Livorno220100%75.555.5+20.0
4 Avellino Basket110100%87.069.0+18.0
5 Pesaro110100%96.081.0+15.0
6 Forli220100%82.570.5+12.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti220100%80.068.5+11.5
8 Brindisi110100%66.059.0+7.0
9 Sassari110100%70.068.0+2.0
10 Mestre21150%64.072.5-8.5
11 Pistoia1010%62.063.0-1.0
12 Urania Milano1010%68.070.0-2.0
13 JuVi Cremona1010%59.066.0-7.0
14 Caserta1010%73.081.0-8.0
15 Cento2020%77.088.0-11.0
16 Vigevano2020%66.583.0-16.5
17 Cividale1010%68.085.0-17.0
18 Basket Torino1010%57.079.0-22.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%70.092.0-22.0
20 Montecatini1010%59.084.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2421152787
JuVi Cremona2318261784
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