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Vigevano vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-95
11-21 24-28 16-18 18-28
Position#20
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Position#16
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.5
ItalySerie A2Round 7· Pala Elachem
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 69
H01/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
71-79
71
79
-8
59avg 69
A07/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
78-77
78
77
+1
72avg 69
H11/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
81-100
81
100
-19
75avg 69
H15/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
76-99
76
99
-23
62avg 69
A23/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
77avg 69
A29/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
22-22
22-26
14-20
16-21
22-23
19-19
14-16
22-23
20-15
22-25
14-14
15-24
19-26
27-23
20-27
10-32
28-26
20-23
18-18
24-22
26-28
16-16
22-25
168.7Avg total
79.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.389.3168.7-10.017%
Season at home (3)80.389.0169.3-8.733%
Season away (3)78.389.7168.0-11.30%
Last 10 (6)79.389.3168.7-10.017%
Last 5 (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.090.5175.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.588.8165.2-12.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
52-67
52
67
-15
no box
H27/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H29/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
no box
A01/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
87-88
87
88
-1
no box
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
90avg 79
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
90avg 79
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
48avg 79
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 79
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
88-79
88
79
+9
96avg 79
H29/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
9-20
15-19
10-11
27-17
16-20
21-15
19-20
18-26
20-18
20-19
21-16
21-20
23-17
19-24
24-27
20-29
23-25
19-16
22-14
23-23
25-17
22-24
20-25
30-20
17-20
26-29
16-19
20-28
20-20
13-14
10-22
18-18
19-18
13-14
26-19
16-15
24-22
17-20
31-22
161.5Avg total
80.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.383.5165.8-1.267%
Season at home (3)88.386.3174.7+2.067%
Season away (3)76.380.7157.0-4.367%
Last 10 (10)80.181.4161.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)81.281.8163.0-0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.588.5178.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.278.3160.5+3.867%
vs Weaker (16)79.675.0154.6+4.656%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
VigevanoTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A07/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H11/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H15/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A23/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A29/10
Serie A2
88.7Avg total
41.3Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)41.347.388.7-6.033%-
Last 30 at home (3)40.744.084.7-3.367%-
Last 30 away (3)42.050.792.7-8.70%-
Last 10 (6)41.347.388.7-6.033%-
Last 5 (5)40.448.088.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.047.095.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.047.585.5-9.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/10
Serie A2
81.7Avg total
40.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.080.6+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.439.482.8+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)39.838.678.4+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.081.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.282.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.540.087.5+7.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.240.182.3+2.267%-
vs Weaker (16)40.438.178.4+2.350%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.7
51.6%
50.3%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.5%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.515.5
72.1%
74.2%15.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.0
48.8%
50.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
74.2%12.8
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vigevano
LLLWLL
Treviglio
WWLWWLLLWL
#20
League position
#16
-13.7
Net rating
-0.8
103.7
Offensive rating
103.4
117.4
Defensive rating
104.2
50.4%
Effective FG%
50.1%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.5%
3-point %
34.8%
52.1%
Assist %
71.2%
17%
Form (last 6/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 103.4Defence117.4 · 104.2Shooting50.4% · 50.1%3-point %32.5% · 34.8%Ball care17.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds24.8% · 23.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 6/10)17% · 50%
■ Vigevano   ■ Treviglio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vigevano wins
0
Treviglio wins
No previous meetings.
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ABasket Torino88-91
23/10/23AJuVi Cremona76-99
15/10/23HUrania Milano81-100
11/10/23HMonferrato78-77
07/10/23ALuiss Roma71-79
01/10/23HTrapani82-90
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HMonferrato88-79
22/10/23AAgrigento76-69
15/10/23ABasket Torino63-84
11/10/23HSebastiani Rieti89-88
07/10/23ACantu90-89
01/10/23HUrania Milano88-92 OT
03/06/23ABasket Torino87-88
01/06/23ABasket Torino85-86 OT
29/05/23HBasket Torino83-72
27/05/23HBasket Torino52-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vigevano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game79.380.378.3
Allowed / game89.389.089.7
Point differential-10.0-8.7-11.3
Avg total168.7169.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.388.376.3
Allowed / game83.586.380.7
Point differential-1.2+2.0-4.3
Avg total165.8174.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna660100%82.868.2+14.7
2 Cantu65183%93.381.0+12.3
3 Forli65183%80.369.7+10.7
4 Basket Torino65183%83.775.7+8.0
5 Udine65183%84.276.3+7.8
6 Trapani65183%89.383.2+6.2
7 Verona64267%75.271.5+3.7
8 Treviglio64267%82.383.5-1.2
9 Sebastiani Rieti74357%85.680.7+4.9
10 Urania Milano74357%86.384.6+1.7
11 JuVi Cremona63350%88.283.2+5.0
12 Assigeco Piacenza63350%81.378.8+2.5
13 Trieste63350%79.280.2-1.0
14 Nardo73443%79.687.0-7.4
15 Cividale62433%74.775.7-1.0
16 Agrigento62433%70.872.5-1.7
17 Monferrato62433%82.083.7-1.7
18 Rimini62433%73.575.5-2.0
19 Cento62433%73.780.0-6.3
20 Luiss Roma62433%74.284.5-10.3
21 Vigevano61517%79.389.3-10.0
22 Chiusi61517%59.273.2-14.0
23 Orzinuovi71614%74.780.1-5.4
24 Latina6060%77.291.5-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vigevano1124161869
Treviglio2128182895
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