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Vilkaviskis vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 75-73
16-21 23-17 16-18 20-17
Position#6
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game93.0
Vilkaviskis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
Position#15
Record0-1
FormL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game83.0
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Alytaus Alytus
29 Nov 2025
VILK84
ALYT70
05 Oct 2024
VILK75
ALYT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
74avg 66
A29/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
78-59
78
59
+19
71avg 66
H02/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 66
H08/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
68avg 66
A10/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
92-85 OT
92
85
+7
no box
H12/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
65-77
65
77
-12
55avg 66
A14/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
62-68
62
68
-6
48avg 66
H17/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
78avg 66
A21/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
55avg 66
H23/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
68avg 66
A03/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
25-25
20-21
23-22
19-14
20-13
19-18
20-14
25-13
13-26
23-19
14-25
24-15
21-13
17-16
17-25
19-20
20-18
20-21
17-17
14-26
20-20
12-18
19-13
16-24
21-17
5-12
20-15
24-15
21-21
20-24
8-13
15-16
16-14
12-19
26-27
14-25
22-24
30-20
19-24
155.0Avg total
77.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)77.477.6155.0-0.240%
Last 5 (5)73.078.4151.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.681.2152.9-9.621%
vs Similar (14)78.980.9159.8-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)90.590.0180.5+0.550%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
75-83
75
83
-8
63avg 63
H03/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-18
22-22
12-22
158.0Avg total
75.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (1)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
Last 5 (1)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -10.0-10.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -10.0-10.0
VilkaviskisAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H02/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A10/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H23/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A03/10
NKL
76.5Avg total
38.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.279.4-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.839.777.5-1.946%-
Last 30 away (17)38.642.380.9-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.976.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.477.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.940.977.8-4.136%-
vs Similar (14)39.840.780.5-0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.546.083.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/10
NKL
80.0Avg total
41.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
Last 30 at home (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
Last 5 (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.1
48.1%
52.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.4%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.313.0
64.0%
70.5%13.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.0
52.3%
52.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws10.07.0
70.0%
70.5%7.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LLWLLWWLWL
Alytaus Alytus
L
#6
League position
#15
-1.6
Net rating
-5.5
101.1
Offensive rating
105.3
102.7
Defensive rating
110.8
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
38.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.14
32.4%
3-point %
29.6%
52.9%
Assist %
41.9%
40%
Form (last 10/1)
1%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 105.3Defence102.7 · 110.8Shooting48.3% · 49.3%3-point %32.4% · 29.6%Ball care18.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.1% · 38.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.14Form (last 10/1)40% · 0%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vilkaviskis wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
No previous meetings.
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24AKretinga85-93
23/03/24HSuduva-Mantinga69-76
21/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga84-78 OT
17/03/24HSuduva-Mantinga62-68
14/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga65-77
12/03/24HKauno Atletas92-85 OT
10/03/24AKauno Atletas79-69
08/03/24HKauno Atletas75-83
02/03/24HSuduva-Mantinga78-59
29/02/24AVytis VDU85-88
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24HSilute75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total178.0-178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Losses (last 1)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga110100%80.049.0+31.0
2 Neptunas 2110100%81.059.0+22.0
3 Telsiai110100%85.067.0+18.0
4 Omega-Tauras110100%88.074.0+14.0
5 Ukmerges Stekas110100%81.071.0+10.0
6 Kretinga110100%93.085.0+8.0
7 Silute110100%83.075.0+8.0
8 Alytaus Alytus1010%75.083.0-8.0
9 Vilkaviskis1010%85.093.0-8.0
10 Zalgiris Kaunas 21010%71.081.0-10.0
11 Delikatesas Joniskis1010%74.088.0-14.0
12 Jurbarkas1010%67.085.0-18.0
13 Rytas 21010%59.081.0-22.0
14 Plunges Olimpas1010%49.080.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis1623162075
Alytaus Alytus2117181773
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