PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kretinga vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-85
25-14 24-22 20-30 24-19
Position#13
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Vilkaviskis
Lithuania
Position#6
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kretinga v Vilkaviskis
23 Jan 2027
KRET v VILK
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
KRET83
VILK77
03 Oct 2024
KRET93
VILK85
09 Dec 2023
KRET75
VILK83
18 Feb 2023
KRET91
VILK73
27 Oct 2022
KRET78
VILK90
19 Nov 2021
KRET102
VILK96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
72avg 68
A19/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
67-64
67
64
+3
53avg 68
A29/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
46avg 68
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
69avg 68
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
55-71
55
71
-16
34avg 68
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
64-62
64
62
+2
54avg 68
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
76avg 68
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 68
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
56avg 68
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
71avg 68
H28/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
19-19
21-18
20-15
13-16
16-22
18-17
20-9
12-23
16-24
8-22
23-13
22-18
17-22
24-20
19-18
9-22
10-13
15-14
21-22
25-23
24-11
12-18
3-10
29-24
21-12
20-19
17-23
18-23
21-31
21-18
16-12
14-22
23-27
18-24
21-20
13-18
16-25
22-15
33-31
149.5Avg total
72.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.377.2149.5-4.950%
Last 5 (5)77.481.2158.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.580.6157.1-4.264%
vs Similar (19)81.582.6164.1-1.258%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
75avg 67
H24/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
74avg 67
A29/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
78-59
78
59
+19
71avg 67
H02/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 67
H08/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
68avg 67
A10/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
92-85 OT
92
85
+7
no box
H12/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
65-77
65
77
-12
55avg 67
A14/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
62-68
62
68
-6
48avg 67
H17/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
78avg 67
A21/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
55avg 67
H23/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
26-24
18-13
12-26
17-20
25-25
20-21
23-22
19-14
20-13
19-18
20-14
25-13
13-26
23-19
14-25
24-15
21-13
17-16
17-25
19-20
20-18
20-21
17-17
14-26
20-20
12-18
19-13
16-24
21-17
5-12
20-15
24-15
21-21
20-24
8-13
15-16
16-14
12-19
26-27
153.1Avg total
76.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.876.3153.1+0.540%
Last 5 (5)74.476.8151.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.681.2152.9-9.621%
vs Similar (15)79.381.1160.3-1.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)96.087.0183.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
KretingaVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A19/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/04
NKL
76.5Avg total
35.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.081.5-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.942.580.5-4.631%-
Last 30 away (17)40.741.682.4-0.941%-
Last 10 (10)35.141.476.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.284.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.441.078.4-3.618%-
vs Similar (19)40.742.683.4-1.947%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H24/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H02/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A10/03
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H23/03
NKL
77.0Avg total
39.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.879.3-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.577.6-1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)38.841.980.7-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.177.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.275.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.940.977.8-4.136%-
vs Similar (15)40.040.580.5-0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 65.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.1
44.1%
52.5%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.6
27.8%
32.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.313.2
68.4%
70.5%13.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.8
47.1%
52.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.2
33.0%
32.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.412.9
63.2%
70.5%12.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLLWWLWLWW
Vilkaviskis
LWLLWWLWLL
#13
League position
#6
-6.7
Net rating
+0.7
96.6
Offensive rating
100.4
103.3
Defensive rating
99.8
43.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.8%
3-point %
33.0%
55.9%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 100.4Defence103.3 · 99.8Shooting43.2% · 48.0%3-point %27.8% · 33.0%Ball care15.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.9% · 30.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Kretinga   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kretinga wins
5
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Kretinga v Vilkaviskis75-83
19/10/23Vilkaviskis v Kretinga79-74
18/02/23Kretinga v Vilkaviskis91-73
16/02/23Vilkaviskis v Kretinga93-61
08/12/22Vilkaviskis v Kretinga56-86
27/10/22Kretinga v Vilkaviskis78-90
19/11/21Kretinga v Vilkaviskis102-96
18/11/21Vilkaviskis v Kretinga86-73
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HJurbarkas84-89
25/04/24AJurbarkas76-93
20/04/24HJurbarkas76-84
17/04/24AJurbarkas87-78
11/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga64-62
09/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga55-71
06/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga82-78
04/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga59-82
29/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga67-64
19/03/24ATelsiai73-71
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HSuduva-Mantinga69-76
21/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga84-78 OT
17/03/24HSuduva-Mantinga62-68
14/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga65-77
12/03/24HKauno Atletas92-85 OT
10/03/24AKauno Atletas79-69
08/03/24HKauno Atletas75-83
02/03/24HSuduva-Mantinga78-59
29/02/24AVytis VDU85-88
24/02/24HJurbarkas79-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai110100%85.067.0+18.0
2 Omega-Tauras110100%88.074.0+14.0
3 Silute110100%83.075.0+8.0
4 Alytaus Alytus1010%75.083.0-8.0
5 Delikatesas Joniskis1010%74.088.0-14.0
6 Jurbarkas1010%67.085.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2524202493
Vilkaviskis1422301985
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.