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Kretinga vs Kedainiu SC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 90-85
26-24 18-19 15-20 31-22
Position#9
Record9-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game84.7
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Kedainiu SC
Lithuania
Position#6
Record14-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game83.7
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kedainiu SC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
73avg 78
H06/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
88avg 78
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 78
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
94avg 78
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 78
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 78
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
90avg 78
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 78
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 78
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 78
A11/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
20-20
25-11
21-13
20-29
25-20
22-15
27-19
18-28
32-16
11-24
19-18
13-21
22-17
25-16
36-27
17-30
27-16
26-26
18-26
19-17
22-15
20-21
24-21
25-14
22-20
19-18
19-23
16-20
30-20
20-31
20-20
16-11
22-24
18-30
27-18
20-16
27-24
13-22
27-21
169.2Avg total
86.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.084.7169.7+0.350%
Season at home (9)83.379.0162.3+4.356%
Season away (9)86.790.4177.1-3.844%
Last 10 (10)86.982.3169.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)86.682.2168.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.793.6176.3-10.90%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.881.2166.9+4.665%
vs Weaker (6)94.078.8172.8+15.283%
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiu SCLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSC
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
75-67
75
67
+8
69avg 86
H06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
92-69
92
69
+23
94avg 86
A15/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
93-80
93
80
+13
92avg 86
H20/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
80-83
80
83
-3
67avg 86
A22/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
74-95
74
95
-21
68avg 86
H27/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
87-73
87
73
+14
85avg 86
A29/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
61avg 86
H04/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
100-86
100
86
+14
100avg 86
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
80-106
80
106
-26
68avg 86
H09/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
85-63
85
63
+22
84avg 86
H11/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
17-11
22-12
16-21
17-11
19-22
30-18
26-18
20-17
27-30
23-19
23-14
18-30
23-24
19-18
20-11
21-25
20-25
20-16
13-29
26-5
20-24
21-28
20-16
18-16
21-20
19-21
14-18
16-20
34-20
25-22
25-24
21-27
18-28
22-25
19-26
19-10
20-19
23-19
23-15
163.5Avg total
83.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.383.7174.0+6.574%
Season at home (10)87.684.2171.8+3.470%
Season away (9)93.283.2176.4+10.078%
Last 10 (10)83.879.7163.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)84.880.6165.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.091.0186.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.884.8173.7+4.067%
vs Weaker (6)92.380.3172.7+12.083%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
KretingaKedainiu SC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H06/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/12
NKL
82.3Avg total
42.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.982.0+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.636.679.2+6.060%-
Last 30 away (15)43.641.384.9+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.882.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.280.0+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.442.784.1-1.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.937.780.6+5.265%-
vs Weaker (6)45.538.083.5+7.567%-
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiu SCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H20/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A22/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H27/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A29/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H09/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H11/12
NKL
82.2Avg total
41.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)44.741.886.5+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (10)43.842.085.8+1.860%-
Last 30 away (9)45.741.787.3+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.782.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.880.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.049.0100.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.743.887.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker (6)45.736.782.3+9.083%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.4
55.7%
54.5%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.612.5
67.2%
69.3%12.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kedainiu SCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kedainiu SC: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.9
54.3%
54.5%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.7
29.7%
32.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.212.3
64.1%
69.3%12.3
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WWLWWLWLWW
Kedainiu SC
WLWLWLLWWW
#9
League position
#6
+5.7
Net rating
+5.8
111.2
Offensive rating
103.4
105.5
Defensive rating
97.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.4%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
29.7%
67.2%
Assist %
66.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 103.4Defence105.5 · 97.6Shooting53.4% · 50.7%3-point %32.9% · 29.7%Ball care17.8% · 20.4%Off. rebounds34.7% · 34.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Kretinga   ■ Kedainiu SC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kretinga wins
1
Kedainiu SC wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Kedainiu SC v Kretinga99-88
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25AAlytaus Alytus87-83
04/12/25AOmega-Tauras90-88 OT
29/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 286-91
27/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga85-75
22/11/25HRytas 285-74
20/11/25AUkmerges Stekas88-98
15/11/25HOmega-Tauras96-81
13/11/25ATelsiai80-86
08/11/25AVilkaviskis94-83
06/11/25HPlunges Olimpas78-64
Kedainiu SClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HOmega-Tauras85-63
09/12/25HVytis VDU80-106
06/12/25AVytis VDU100-86
04/12/25HNeptunas 272-75
29/11/25APlunges Olimpas87-73
27/11/25HVilkaviskis74-95
22/11/25ATelsiai80-83
20/11/25HMazeikiai93-80
15/11/25ANeptunas 292-69
06/11/25HAlytaus Alytus75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game85.083.386.7
Allowed / game84.779.090.4
Point differential+0.3+4.3-3.8
Avg total169.7162.3177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Kedainiu SC
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWLLLW70%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%70%78%
Points / game90.387.693.2
Allowed / game83.784.283.2
Point differential+6.5+3.4+10.0
Avg total174.0171.8176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%50%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2016480%87.776.8+10.9
2 Kedainiu SC1914574%90.383.7+6.5
3 Vytis VDU1914574%87.281.8+5.3
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 21913668%86.784.7+2.0
5 Telsiai1812667%84.282.7+1.5
6 Vilkaviskis1811761%85.680.4+5.1
7 Mazeikiai189950%83.182.2+0.9
8 Kretinga189950%85.084.7+0.3
9 Omega-Tauras189950%88.588.2+0.3
10 Jurbarkas168850%76.678.2-1.7
11 Rytas 21981142%82.383.6-1.3
12 Silute1981142%87.488.9-1.5
13 Neptunas 21971237%75.380.1-4.8
14 BC Olimpas Palanga1971237%80.185.6-5.5
15 Ukmerges Stekas1741324%81.789.9-8.2
16 Plunges Olimpas1841422%81.486.7-5.3
17 Alytaus Alytus2041620%78.784.5-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2618153190
Kedainiu SC2419202285
← all games of the day
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