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Villanova vs Uconn Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 59-71
24-32 35-39
Position#196
Record16-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Uconn 🏆
USA
Position#29
Record23-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Villanova v Uconn
21 Feb 2026
VILL63
UCON73
08 Jan 2025
VILL68
UCON66
20 Jan 2024
VILL65
UCON66
04 Mar 2023
VILL59
UCON71
11 Mar 2022
VILL63
UCON60
05 Feb 2022
VILL85
UCON74
20 Feb 2021
VILL68
UCON60
18 Jan 2020
VILL61
UCON55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#92
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A02/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H09/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Providence
#92
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
34-42
35-34
29-39
27-35
34-31
37-34
44-31
27-20
31-34
25-24
37-26
31-36
41-49
30-36
34-27
38-24
41-43
34-37
42-35
134.7Avg total
68.2Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.967.8137.6+2.153%
Season at home (15)71.867.0138.8+4.867%
Season away (15)67.968.5136.5-0.640%
Last 10 (10)68.266.5134.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)70.667.4138.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.672.7141.2-4.122%
vs Similar (12)69.367.2136.5+2.258%
vs Weaker (9)71.963.7135.6+8.278%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#256
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H22/01
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H25/01
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H18/02
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H22/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-23
41-33
24-39
55-43
46-33
44-43
31-31
37-31
46-29
41-43
29-31
24-25
33-27
31-28
37-32
50-37
50-41
45-45
51-19
37-40
147.0Avg total
79.7Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.265.0144.3+14.277%
Season at home (18)82.663.3145.9+19.389%
Season away (12)74.267.6141.8+6.658%
Last 10 (10)79.767.3147.0+12.480%
Last 5 (5)77.465.0142.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)82.067.0149.0+15.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)79.165.0144.1+14.276%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +3.7+3.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +3.7+3.7
VillanovaUconn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#92
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Providence
#92
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A01/03
NCAA
62.3Avg total
31.5Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.131.964.0+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.929.762.5+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)31.334.165.4-2.920%-
Last 10 (10)31.530.862.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.463.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.233.366.6-0.144%-
vs Similar (12)30.631.862.3-1.225%-
vs Weaker (9)32.930.763.6+2.267%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#256
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H22/01
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H25/01
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A04/02
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#175
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H22/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H02/03
NCAA
69.7Avg total
39.2Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.029.569.6+10.583%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.128.770.8+13.489%-
Last 30 away (12)36.930.867.8+6.175%-
Last 10 (10)39.230.569.7+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.030.070.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)35.030.065.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)40.229.569.7+10.783%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Villanova wins
2
Uconn wins
DateGameScore
28/12/22Uconn v Villanova74-66
12/03/22Villanova v Uconn63-60
23/02/22Uconn v Villanova71-69
05/02/22Villanova v Uconn85-74
20/02/21Villanova v Uconn68-60
18/01/20Villanova v Uconn61-55
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23ASeton Hall76-72
25/02/23HCreighton79-67
21/02/23AXavier64-63
18/02/23AProvidence72-85
15/02/23HButler62-50
12/02/23HSeton Hall58-54
09/02/23HDePaul81-65
05/02/23ACreighton61-66
02/02/23AMarquette64-73
29/01/23HProvidence65-70
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23HDePaul88-59
25/02/23ASt. John's (N.Y.)95-86
22/02/23HProvidence87-69
18/02/23HSeton Hall64-55
11/02/23ACreighton53-56
07/02/23HMarquette87-72
04/02/23AGeorgetown68-62
01/02/23ADePaul90-76
25/01/23HXavier79-82
22/01/23HButler86-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game69.971.867.9
Allowed / game67.867.068.5
Point differential+2.1+4.8-0.6
Avg total137.6138.8136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Uconn
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %77%89%58%
Points / game79.282.674.2
Allowed / game65.063.367.6
Point differential+14.2+19.3+6.6
Avg total144.3145.9141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%72%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marquette3125681%81.071.3+9.7
2 Uconn3023777%79.265.0+14.2
3 Xavier3123874%82.174.5+7.6
4 Providence31211068%78.571.3+7.2
5 Creighton30191163%76.667.8+8.8
6 Seton Hall31171455%68.665.1+3.5
7 Villanova30161453%69.967.8+2.1
8 St. John's (N.Y.)32171553%76.876.2+0.7
9 Butler31141745%65.367.7-2.4
10 DePaul3092130%71.077.1-6.1
11 Georgetown3172423%70.278.1-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Villanova243559
Uconn323971
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