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Virginia vs Morgan State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-44
43-16 36-28
Position#66
Record9-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game55.5
vs
Position#308
Record4-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game79.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morgan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#73
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H11/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H17/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-65
41
65
-24
A20/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H02/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H06/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
54-77
54
77
-23
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-35
34-35
49-19
31-32
26-14
36-19
18-28
23-37
26-23
30-31
27-26
32-21
37-24
47-38
41-17
36-30
24-30
32-24
32-38
22-39
120.2Avg total
64.2Scored
56.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)65.655.5121.1+10.282%
Season at home (9)69.752.0121.7+17.7100%
Season away (2)47.571.0118.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)64.256.0120.2+8.280%
Last 5 (5)66.057.4123.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.047.0124.0+30.0100%
vs Similar (18)65.760.3126.1+5.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)65.458.1123.5+7.391%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#61
L
50-93
50
93
-43
A19/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A21/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A26/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A30/11
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H03/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#669
W
120-50
120
50
+70
H09/12
NCAA
Campbell
#262
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A19/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-42
21-51
29-37
43-45
39-45
44-39
29-41
29-26
25-39
34-38
38-37
16-51
41-36
51-44
54-26
66-24
37-36
39-47
35-47
40-42
153.2Avg total
73.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.679.6154.1-5.029%
Season at home (6)86.569.8156.3+16.767%
Season away (8)65.686.9152.5-21.20%
Last 10 (10)73.979.3153.2-5.420%
Last 5 (5)83.478.0161.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)61.784.4146.1-22.710%
vs Similar (9)72.679.0151.6-6.433%
vs Weaker (10)81.070.3151.3+10.770%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -2.4-2.4
VirginiaMorgan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#73
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H11/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
26-14
26
14
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A20/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H16/12
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A20/12
NCAA
57.3Avg total
31.9Scored
25.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.526.558.0+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.224.256.5+8.081%-
Last 30 away (9)29.731.861.4-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)31.925.457.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)32.227.059.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.017.058.0+24.0100%-
vs Similar (18)30.227.157.3+3.161%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)32.726.459.1+6.482%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#61
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A30/11
NCAA
Longwood
#129
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H03/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#669
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H09/12
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H22/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
35.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.737.972.6-3.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.735.173.8+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)31.640.171.7-8.429%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.674.2-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.477.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.940.670.5-10.720%-
vs Similar (9)34.639.073.6-4.433%-
vs Weaker (10)38.934.673.5+4.380%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
Morgan State wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AMemphis54-77
16/12/23HNortheastern56-54
06/12/23HN. Carolina Central77-47
02/12/23HSyracuse84-62
30/11/23HTexas A&M59-47
22/11/23HWest Virginia56-54
20/11/23AWisconsin41-65
17/11/23HTexas Southern62-33
15/11/23HN. Carolina A&T80-51
11/11/23HFlorida73-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HJames Madison75-89
19/12/23ACampbell76-83
09/12/23HVirginia-Lynchburg120-50
06/12/23HUMBC Retrievers92-80
03/12/23HLongwood54-88
30/11/23AHigh Point59-77
26/11/23ATowson58-67
22/11/23AChicago State83-84
21/11/23ARadford72-82
19/11/23ABrigham Young50-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %82%100%0%
Points / game65.669.747.5
Allowed / game55.552.071.0
Point differential+10.2+17.7-23.5
Avg total121.1121.7118.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morgan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game74.686.565.6
Allowed / game79.669.886.9
Point differential-5.0+16.7-21.2
Avg total154.1156.3152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1110191%81.370.2+11.1
2 Virginia119282%65.655.5+10.2
3 Pittsburgh129375%81.163.4+17.7
4 Miami (FL)129375%82.171.2+10.9
5 Virginia Tech129375%74.264.4+9.8
6 NC State129375%79.870.2+9.7
7 Boston College129375%79.470.8+8.6
8 Syracuse129375%78.270.2+8.0
9 Duke118373%81.366.5+14.8
10 Wake Forest118373%80.968.4+12.5
11 North Carolina118373%84.574.5+10.1
12 SMU Mustangs139469%76.462.2+14.2
13 Georgia Tech128467%71.771.1+0.6
14 Florida State116555%76.373.4+2.9
15 Stanford105550%78.474.6+3.8
16 Louisville125742%74.675.4-0.8
17 Notre Dame125742%62.666.6-4.0
18 California114736%76.075.9+0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norfolk State159660%75.766.7+9.0
2 N. Carolina Central147750%75.469.0+6.4
3 Delaware State156940%72.374.7-2.4
4 Morgan State1441029%74.679.6-5.0
5 South Carolina St1441029%71.782.1-10.4
6 Howard123925%76.878.9-2.2
7 Md.-East. Shore102820%62.579.1-16.6
8 Coppin State131128%54.573.2-18.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia433679
Morgan State162844
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