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Virginia vs Rider Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-53
42-32 45-21
Position#19
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Rider
USA
Position#367
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rider winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A15/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-19
39-38
41-36
34-25
40-33
33-37
29-43
33-37
34-46
32-35
44-33
39-42
32-27
26-44
27-28
33-29
26-43
44-41
25-25
35-41
138.2Avg total
68.0Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.070.2138.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)66.270.6136.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)61.771.7133.3-10.020%
vs Similar (14)67.163.6130.6+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#256
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A15/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H22/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A23/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H07/03
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-29
29-30
36-45
38-26
31-32
34-34
22-43
27-26
30-34
42-45
40-42
43-36
44-25
34-25
35-37
42-39
36-38
42-38
27-43
37-35
140.3Avg total
70.1Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.170.2140.3-0.160%
Last 5 (5)76.071.6147.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.872.6140.4-4.840%
vs Similar (8)66.072.2138.2-6.238%
vs Weaker (2)72.567.5140.0+5.050%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +3.4+3.4
VirginiaRider
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A27/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A12/03
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.231.762.9-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.430.861.2-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)32.032.864.8-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)33.233.366.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.831.262.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)30.332.262.5-1.933%-
vs Similar (14)31.531.462.9+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)40.029.069.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#256
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
L
22-43
22
43
-21
H22/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A23/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/03
NCAA
Niagara
#315
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#256
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A12/03
NCAA
70.1Avg total
33.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.567.8-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.933.266.1-0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)31.837.269.1-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)33.336.870.1-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.073.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.036.169.2-3.140%-
vs Similar (8)29.534.664.1-5.125%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
Rider wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AGeorgia Tech60-66
09/03/25ASyracuse70-84
05/03/25HFlorida State60-57
01/03/25HClemson58-71
27/02/25AWake Forest83-75
22/02/25ANorth Carolina66-81
18/02/25HDuke62-80
15/02/25AVirginia Tech73-70
08/02/25HGeorgia Tech75-61
04/02/25APittsburgh73-57
Riderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AQuinnipiac64-78
11/03/25HSiena78-76
08/03/25HNiagara77-76
07/03/25HCanisius78-50
01/03/25AMerrimack Warriors83-78
23/02/25AMount St. Mary's72-79
22/02/25HFairfield49-69
16/02/25ASt. Peters65-66
15/02/25AIona74-71
08/02/25HSiena61-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rider
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VMI110100%122.058.0+64.0
2 East Texas A&M110100%119.060.0+59.0
3 Stonehill110100%100.048.0+52.0
4 Prairie View A&M110100%95.048.0+47.0
5 Lamar110100%93.053.0+40.0
6 Drexel110100%93.059.0+34.0
7 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%108.074.0+34.0
8 Stephen F. Austin110100%103.076.0+27.0
9 High Point110100%97.071.0+26.0
10 Eastern Michigan110100%71.049.0+22.0
11 Maryland110100%83.061.0+22.0
12 Georgetown110100%87.070.0+17.0
13 Ohio State110100%118.0102.0+16.0
14 Murray State110100%85.077.0+8.0
15 Stony Brook110100%66.059.0+7.0
16 Winthrop110100%81.074.0+7.0
17 Buffalo110100%85.079.0+6.0
18 Drake110100%77.071.0+6.0
19 St. Bonaventure110100%69.063.0+6.0
20 Bradley1010%63.069.0-6.0
21 Northern Arizona1010%71.077.0-6.0
22 Southern Miss1010%79.085.0-6.0
23 Farmingdale1010%59.066.0-7.0
24 Queens Royals1010%74.081.0-7.0
25 Nebraska O.1010%77.085.0-8.0
26 IU Indy1010%102.0118.0-16.0
27 Morgan State1010%70.087.0-17.0
28 Coppin State1010%61.083.0-22.0
29 Georgia State1010%49.071.0-22.0
30 Furman1010%71.097.0-26.0
31 Millsaps1010%76.0103.0-27.0
32 Quinnipiac1010%74.0108.0-34.0
33 Widener1010%59.093.0-34.0
34 Texas A&M SA Jaguars1010%53.093.0-40.0
35 CBS Ambassadors1010%48.095.0-47.0
36 Thomas College1010%48.0100.0-52.0
37 Arlington Baptist Patriots1010%60.0119.0-59.0
38 Johnson & Wales (RI)1010%58.0122.0-64.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia424587
Rider322153
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