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Wake Forest vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-83
33-44 42-39
Position#87
Record19-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#230
Record13-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Wake Forest v Virginia
26 Feb 2025
WAKE75
VIRG83
13 Jan 2024
WAKE66
VIRG47
21 Jan 2023
WAKE67
VIRG76
16 Dec 2020
WAKE v VIRG
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
WAKE63
VIRG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
41-34
29-31
38-35
22-35
34-28
21-45
38-27
34-36
42-38
40-37
39-36
31-29
45-37
35-21
35-51
32-34
45-32
34-40
39-45
140.5Avg total
70.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.767.4138.1+3.370%
Season at home (15)72.064.3136.3+7.787%
Season away (12)69.171.2140.2-2.150%
Last 10 (10)70.570.0140.5+0.560%
Last 5 (5)75.072.4147.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.470.6134.0-7.129%
vs Similar (12)70.267.4137.7+2.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)75.766.9142.6+8.890%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A15/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
39-42
41-23
33-33
27-39
32-35
40-29
42-42
31-38
43-37
34-19
39-38
41-36
34-25
40-33
33-37
29-43
33-37
34-46
32-35
141.1Avg total
70.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)64.566.1130.6-1.648%
Season at home (16)63.961.7125.6+2.256%
Season away (11)65.472.5137.8-7.136%
Last 10 (10)70.570.6141.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)69.869.8139.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)59.470.1129.5-10.720%
vs Similar (13)67.762.8130.5+4.969%
vs Weaker (2)72.058.0130.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
Wake ForestVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A22/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
30.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.165.8-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.331.866.1+2.553%-
Last 30 away (13)30.734.865.5-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.764.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.266.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.436.964.3-9.40%-
vs Similar (12)32.032.464.4-0.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.031.868.8+5.290%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.731.061.6-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (19)29.830.159.9-0.242%-
Last 30 away (11)32.132.564.6-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.569.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.471.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)28.531.760.2-3.327%-
vs Similar (13)32.431.463.8+1.046%-
vs Weaker (2)36.022.558.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wake Forest wins
4
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Virginia v Wake Forest49-47
13/01/24Wake Forest v Virginia66-47
21/01/23Wake Forest v Virginia67-76
15/01/22Virginia v Wake Forest55-63
07/01/21Virginia v Wake Forest70-61
26/01/20Wake Forest v Virginia63-65 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ANC State73-85
15/02/25ASMU Mustangs77-66
13/02/25HFlorida State70-72
08/02/25ACalifornia76-66
06/02/25AStanford79-73
01/02/25HPittsburgh76-74
29/01/25ALouisville59-72
25/01/25HDuke56-63
22/01/25HNorth Carolina67-66
18/01/25AVirginia Tech72-63
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ANorth Carolina66-81
18/02/25HDuke62-80
15/02/25AVirginia Tech73-70
08/02/25HGeorgia Tech75-61
04/02/25APittsburgh73-57
01/02/25HVirginia Tech74-75
30/01/25AMiami (FL)82-71
25/01/25HNotre Dame59-74
22/01/25HBoston College74-56
18/01/25ALouisville67-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWWLWL87%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %70%87%50%
Points / game70.772.069.1
Allowed / game67.464.371.2
Point differential+3.3+7.7-2.1
Avg total138.1136.3140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)80% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLWWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %48%56%36%
Points / game64.563.965.4
Allowed / game66.161.772.5
Point differential-1.6+2.2-7.1
Avg total130.6125.6137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2825389%82.661.0+21.6
2 Clemson2823582%77.766.5+11.1
3 Louisville2822679%79.569.3+10.2
4 SMU Mustangs2720774%82.271.7+10.5
5 Wake Forest2719870%70.767.4+3.3
6 Stanford27171063%74.371.4+2.8
7 North Carolina29181162%81.476.6+4.8
8 Pittsburgh28161257%76.871.2+5.5
9 Florida State28161257%75.872.3+3.5
10 Georgia Tech28141450%73.873.1+0.7
11 Virginia27131448%64.566.1-1.6
12 California27121544%74.175.3-1.2
13 Boston College27121544%70.974.7-3.8
14 Notre Dame28121643%73.172.3+0.8
15 Virginia Tech28121643%69.071.7-2.7
16 Syracuse28121643%74.778.0-3.3
17 NC State28111739%69.769.9-0.2
18 Miami (FL)2862221%74.180.3-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest334275
Virginia443983
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