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Merrimack Warriors vs Rider Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-83
42-40 36-43
Position#164
Record15-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game64.4
Merrimack Warriors
USA
vs
Rider 🏆
USA
Position#276
Record10-18
FormWWLLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Rider
04 Dec 2025
MERR68
RIDE66
28 Feb 2025
MERR78
RIDE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rider winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#259
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A26/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-27
24-10
47-23
28-31
22-37
36-29
37-38
29-26
24-30
40-29
31-23
38-28
42-33
33-46
25-26
35-35
29-29
30-31
29-33
31-27
125.2Avg total
65.1Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)65.064.4129.3+0.654%
Season at home (12)64.260.6124.8+3.658%
Season away (16)65.667.2132.8-1.650%
Last 10 (10)65.160.1125.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)68.064.2132.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.768.0128.7-7.333%
vs Similar (20)63.265.3128.6-2.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)68.756.6125.3+12.1100%
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#209
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H24/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A25/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H02/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A15/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H22/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
40-39
42-39
22-36
34-25
33-39
38-37
26-29
36-44
41-45
32-29
29-30
36-45
38-26
31-32
34-34
22-43
27-26
30-34
42-45
137.1Avg total
66.0Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)65.471.9137.2-6.536%
Season at home (10)64.168.7132.8-4.630%
Season away (18)66.173.6139.7-7.539%
Last 10 (10)66.071.1137.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)64.268.8133.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.672.5138.1-6.933%
vs Similar (9)62.267.6129.8-5.333%
vs Weaker (3)66.368.3134.7-2.067%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -1.7-1.7
Merrimack WarriorsRider
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#259
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A26/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H01/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Niagara
#315
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A23/02
NCAA
60.9Avg total
31.0Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.430.361.7+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.927.957.9+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)32.832.465.1+0.438%-
Last 10 (10)31.029.960.9+1.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.228.860.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.734.062.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (20)31.031.162.0-0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)33.926.660.4+7.357%-
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#209
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A25/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/02
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#307
L
22-43
22
43
-21
H22/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A23/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
32.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.734.565.2-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.032.062.0-2.050%-
Last 30 away (18)31.136.267.3-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.269.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)30.236.666.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.335.667.9-3.344%-
vs Similar (9)27.632.660.1-5.033%-
vs Weaker (3)30.333.764.0-3.333%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
0
Rider wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Rider v Merrimack Warriors64-66
Merrimack Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AIona77-70 OT
22/02/25HSacred Heart59-60
16/02/25HMarist60-61
15/02/25AManhattan75-79
08/02/25HCanisius69-51
07/02/25HNiagara64-59
02/02/25ARider66-64
01/02/25HMount St. Mary's58-66
26/01/25AFairfield75-54
24/01/25ASt. Peters48-37
Riderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AMount St. Mary's72-79
22/02/25HFairfield49-69
16/02/25ASt. Peters65-66
15/02/25AIona74-71
08/02/25HSiena61-59
07/02/25ASacred Heart77-89
02/02/25HMerrimack Warriors64-66
01/02/25HSt. Peters67-64
25/01/25AQuinnipiac64-75
24/01/25HIona67-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %54%58%50%
Points / game65.064.265.6
Allowed / game64.460.667.2
Point differential+0.6+3.6-1.6
Avg total129.3124.8132.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Rider
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLWLWL30%
AwayLLWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281018
Win %36%30%39%
Points / game65.464.166.1
Allowed / game71.968.773.6
Point differential-6.5-4.6-7.5
Avg total137.2132.8139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist2520580%68.464.4+4.0
2 Quinnipiac27171063%74.271.2+3.0
3 Mount St. Mary's28171161%70.772.6-1.9
4 Merrimack Warriors28151354%65.064.4+0.6
5 Manhattan25131252%75.475.0+0.4
6 Siena28131546%72.271.5+0.7
7 Iona29131645%68.670.9-2.2
8 Sacred Heart27121544%76.276.3-0.1
9 St. Peters24101442%66.265.9+0.3
10 Fairfield27101737%67.672.8-5.2
11 Niagara28101836%67.870.9-3.1
12 Rider28101836%65.471.9-6.5
13 Canisius2732411%65.678.9-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors423678
Rider404383
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