Virtus Bologna W vs Lucca W Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 25 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 19:30

Postponed

Position#12

Record5-14

FormWLWLL

Points / game68.7

Allowed / game74.5

Virtus Bologna W

Lucca W

Position#6

Record11-8

FormWWLWL

Points / game70.5

Allowed / game70.1

Serie A1 WRound 24

Women2019-20

Meetings · Virtus Bologna W v Lucca W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna W win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Lucca W win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna W Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palermo W

#10

57-46

+11

H15/12

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

70-78

-8

A22/12

Serie A1 W

Schio W

57-70

-13

H29/12

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#14

58-65

-7

A05/01

Serie A1 W

Broni W

71-59

+12

H12/01

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

85-84 OT

H19/01

Serie A1 W

Vigarano W

76-88

-12

A26/01

Serie A1 W

Empoli W

71-62

H01/02

Serie A1 W

San Giovanni W

70-73

-3

H12/02

Serie A1 W

BK Costa W

#11

70-77

-7

A16/02

Serie A1 W

11-6

9-16

18-8

19-16

14-21

26-24

17-18

13-15

11-24

25-15

12-13

9-18

14-12

14-17

17-14

13-22

22-14

21-15

15-14

13-16

16-21

15-18

19-10

23-24

17-31

25-15

20-21

14-21

18-9

20-21

15-18

18-14

23-16

15-24

16-21

16-12

16-21

21-22

19-14

14-20

138.7Avg total

68.5Scored

70.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	68.7	74.5	143.2	-5.8	26%
Season at home (10)	70.4	69.6	140.0	+0.8	50%
Season away (9)	66.8	80.0	146.8	-13.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.5	70.2	138.7	-1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	76.8	151.2	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	69.0	77.8	146.8	-8.8	20%
vs Similar (7)	68.6	69.7	138.3	-1.1	43%
vs Weaker (2)	67.5	75.0	142.5	-7.5	0%

This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lucca W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia W

72-88

-16

H15/12

Serie A1 W

Virtus Bologna W

#12

78-70

H22/12

Serie A1 W

Vigarano W

74-79

-5

A29/12

Serie A1 W

Palermo W

#10

71-76

-5

H05/01

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

65-70

-5

H12/01

Serie A1 W

Broni W

76-72

H19/01

Serie A1 W

BK Costa W

#11

73-68

H26/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

51-82

-31

A01/02

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#14

68-58

+10

H13/02

Serie A1 W

San Giovanni W

51-69

-18

A16/02

Serie A1 W

25-31

15-13

19-20

13-24

21-14

24-26

18-17

15-13

25-23

10-14

18-25

21-17

20-23

9-15

21-17

21-21

16-24

24-19

8-16

17-11

19-20

16-11

24-12

17-29

17-20

15-13

23-16

18-19

18-25

9-23

11-18

13-16

16-17

24-17

14-12

13-25

12-15

14-13

12-16

141.1Avg total

67.9Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	70.5	70.1	140.6	+0.4	58%
Season at home (11)	69.2	69.5	138.6	-0.3	55%
Season away (8)	72.2	71.0	143.2	+1.2	62%
Last 10 (10)	67.9	73.2	141.1	-5.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	63.8	69.8	133.6	-6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	61.7	77.4	139.1	-15.8	0%
vs Similar (6)	69.7	68.0	137.7	+1.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	75.6	68.1	143.7	+7.5	83%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus Bologna WLucca W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	16.6	18.3	34.8	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.2	16.1	33.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	15.9	20.7	36.6	-4.8	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	17.5	33.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.4	15.3	31.7	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.5	17.8	37.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.2	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.4	32%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	16.1	18.3	34.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.3	19.1	35.4	-2.9	14%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	14.5	31.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	17.5	34.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.6	16.9	33.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	16.6	32.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	15.8	31.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.5	16.8	32.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.2	15.9	34.2	+2.3	67%	-

Virtus Bologna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palermo W

#10

20-22

-2

H15/12

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

40-45

-5

A22/12

Serie A1 W

Schio W

36-39

-3

H29/12

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#14

28-29

-1

A05/01

Serie A1 W

Broni W

43-29

+14

H12/01

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

31-39

-8

H19/01

Serie A1 W

Vigarano W

42-46

-4

A26/01

Serie A1 W

Empoli W

38-30

H01/02

Serie A1 W

San Giovanni W

38-40

-2

H12/02

Serie A1 W

BK Costa W

#11

37-43

-6

A16/02

Serie A1 W

71.5Avg total

35.3Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	34.8	37.9	72.7	-3.1	11%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	33.3	34.4	67.7	-1.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (9)	36.6	41.8	78.3	-5.2	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	36.2	71.5	-0.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.6	76.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.9	41.2	78.1	-4.3	10%	-
vs Similar (7)	32.7	34.4	67.1	-1.7	14%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.0	33.5	65.5	-1.5	0%	-

This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia W

40-44

-4

H15/12

Serie A1 W

Virtus Bologna W

#12

45-40

H22/12

Serie A1 W

Vigarano W

35-37

-2

A29/12

Serie A1 W

Palermo W

#10

29-38

-9

H05/01

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

40-43

-3

H12/01

Serie A1 W

Broni W

35-31

H19/01

Serie A1 W

BK Costa W

#11

32-33

-1

H26/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

27-48

-21

A01/02

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#14

40-34

H13/02

Serie A1 W

San Giovanni W

25-40

-15

A16/02

Serie A1 W

73.6Avg total

34.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	36.9	71.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	34.4	35.9	70.4	-1.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.2	38.2	73.3	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	38.8	73.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	37.2	69.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	32.4	40.2	72.6	-7.8	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.0	34.7	69.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	36.9	34.8	71.7	+2.2	67%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.1	15.5	33.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.7	20.1	36.8	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	15.1	31.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.4	18.7	34.1	-3.3	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	15.7	35.4	+4.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	18.0	34.5	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.9	17.6	34.5	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.1	18.5	34.5	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	14.2	31.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	13.3	20.1	33.4	-6.7	8%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	15.5	35.2	+4.2	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.2	17.1	35.3	+1.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	15.8	18.4	34.2	-2.6	26%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	13.6	18.1	31.7	-4.6	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.2	17.8	33.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.5	16.8	32.3	-1.3	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.1	19.6	35.7	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	16.6	33.8	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	15.8	16.5	32.4	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	16.6	35.7	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	17.8	33.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	18.4	33.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	15.2	16.2	31.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.0	17.8	32.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.4	16.2	36.7	+4.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	33.2	36.1	69.3	-2.8	32%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	35.9	34.1	70.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	30.2	38.2	68.4	-8.0	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.0	32.9	64.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	35.0	69.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	30.9	35.5	66.4	-4.6	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.9	35.3	71.1	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.5	41.5	77.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.8	34.5	68.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	32.8	34.1	66.9	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.2	35.1	70.2	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.1	34.4	67.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	32.6	64.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	28.5	36.3	64.8	-7.8	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.7	33.3	68.0	+1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	38.7	33.3	72.0	+5.3	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna W wins

Lucca W wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/19	Lucca W v Virtus Bologna W	78-70

Virtus Bologna Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/20	A	BK Costa W	70-77
12/02/20	H	San Giovanni W	70-73
01/02/20	H	Empoli W	71-62
26/01/20	A	Vigarano W	76-88
19/01/20	H	Ragusa W	85-84 OT
12/01/20	H	Broni W	71-59
05/01/20	A	Battipaglia W	58-65
29/12/19	H	Schio W	57-70
22/12/19	A	Lucca W	70-78
15/12/19	H	Palermo W	57-46

Lucca Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/20	A	San Giovanni W	51-69
13/02/20	H	Battipaglia W	68-58
01/02/20	A	Schio W	51-82
26/01/20	H	BK Costa W	73-68
19/01/20	H	Broni W	76-72
12/01/20	H	Ragusa W	65-70
05/01/20	H	Palermo W	71-76
29/12/19	A	Vigarano W	74-79
22/12/19	H	Virtus Bologna W	78-70
15/12/19	H	Venezia W	72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna W

Serie A1 W 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	26%
Home	LWWWL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	26%	50%	0%
Points / game	68.7	70.4	66.8
Allowed / game	74.5	69.6	80.0
Point differential	-5.8	+0.8	-13.2
Avg total	143.2	140.0	146.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Lucca W

Serie A1 W 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	58%
Home	LLWWW	55%
Away	WWLLL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	11	8
Win %	58%	55%	62%
Points / game	70.5	69.2	72.2
Allowed / game	70.1	69.5	71.0
Point differential	+0.4	-0.3	+1.2
Avg total	140.6	138.6	143.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	18%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	60% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Schio W	21	19	2	90%	75.0	58.6	+16.4
2	Venezia W	20	17	3	85%	78.6	64.8	+13.8
3	Ragusa W	21	17	4	81%	80.6	66.7	+13.9
4	San Martino W	19	13	6	68%	69.5	65.8	+3.6
5	San Giovanni W	20	12	8	60%	72.7	69.0	+3.6
6	Lucca W	19	11	8	58%	70.5	70.1	+0.4
7	Empoli W	19	8	11	42%	68.1	72.1	-4.0
8	Broni W	20	8	12	40%	70.1	71.8	-1.6
9	Vigarano W	20	8	12	40%	73.0	79.0	-5.9
10	Palermo W	19	7	12	37%	70.2	74.6	-4.4
11	BK Costa W	20	6	14	30%	65.2	74.5	-9.3
12	Virtus Bologna W	19	5	14	26%	68.7	74.5	-5.8
13	Fixi Piramis Torino W	19	5	14	26%	68.1	78.3	-10.2
14	Battipaglia W	20	2	18	10%	58.8	71.7	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna W vs Lucca W Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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