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Virtus Roma vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2009
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 57-72
16-24 6-17 16-22 19-9
Position#19
Record3-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#3
Record4-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game68.5
EuropeEuroleague
European cup2009
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferrara
#15
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A01/11
Lega A
Maroussi
#18
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A04/11
Euroleague
Biella
#14
L
69-73 OT
69
73
-4
H08/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
H12/11
Euroleague
Pesaro
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A15/11
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A22/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#29
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A25/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#4
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H29/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A02/12
Euroleague
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A06/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
27-18
19-16
22-20
27-17
20-24
19-18
17-12
18-13
18-17
12-13
12-17
17-17
16-18
26-16
14-22
14-22
21-20
23-17
26-14
19-16
19-24
9-18
11-25
21-23
7-25
20-16
22-23
14-23
22-15
20-18
14-25
11-17
17-16
10-20
22-14
23-27
24-22
18-26
32-28
157.0Avg total
76.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.775.2150.8+0.550%
Season at home (2)83.578.5162.0+5.050%
Season away (4)71.873.5145.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)76.980.1157.0-3.230%
Last 5 (5)71.084.2155.2-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.081.3155.3-7.333%
vs Similar (12)81.976.9158.8+5.058%
vs Weaker (15)81.279.7160.9+1.547%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A01/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A03/05
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H02/10
Gomelsky Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H03/10
Gomelsky Cup
Maroussi
#18
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A21/10
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#19
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H28/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A05/11
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#29
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H11/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A26/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#18
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H02/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
20-15
22-20
28-22
16-21
12-27
18-8
25-17
19-24
23-12
17-19
15-12
17-17
18-20
20-24
17-17
18-12
14-22
17-14
17-17
22-26
19-13
12-19
16-16
7-19
18-21
15-16
14-15
30-15
14-18
20-21
15-15
24-12
19-23
8-18
20-14
–
–
–
–
142.3Avg total
71.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.568.5138.0+1.067%
Season at home (3)75.369.3144.7+6.067%
Season away (3)63.767.7131.3-4.067%
Last 10 (10)71.670.7142.3+0.960%
Last 5 (5)70.269.2139.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
vs Similar (4)67.871.5139.2-3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)74.064.4138.4+9.776%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
Virtus RomaCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferrara
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A01/11
Lega A
Maroussi
#18
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A04/11
Euroleague
Biella
#14
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H08/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H12/11
Euroleague
Pesaro
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A15/11
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A22/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#29
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A25/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A02/12
Euroleague
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A06/12
Lega A
76.6Avg total
37.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.077.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.435.376.7+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.779.1-2.427%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.176.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.677.0-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.738.775.3-2.00%-
vs Similar (12)41.238.880.1+2.450%-
vs Weaker (15)39.437.276.6+2.260%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A01/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A03/05
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H02/10
Gomelsky Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/10
Gomelsky Cup
Maroussi
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A21/10
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#19
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A05/11
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#29
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H11/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A26/11
Euroleague
73.3Avg total
35.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.932.869.7+4.069%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.832.572.2+7.281%-
Last 30 away (13)33.333.266.5+0.154%-
Last 10 (9)35.837.673.3-1.844%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (4)33.537.871.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.531.869.3+5.779%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Roma wins
0
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
28/10/09CSKA Moscow v Virtus Roma69-74
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/09ASutor Montegranaro97-103
02/12/09ABaskonia60-67
29/11/09HCantu70-81
25/11/09APetrol Olimpija70-87
22/11/09ASiena58-83
15/11/09APesaro84-73
12/11/09HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-92 OT
08/11/09HBiella69-73 OT
04/11/09AMaroussi83-71
01/11/09AFerrara88-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/09HMaroussi78-65
26/11/09ABaskonia71-67
11/11/09HPetrol Olimpija79-69
05/11/09AMaccabi Tel Aviv54-71
28/10/09HVirtus Roma69-74
21/10/09AMaroussi66-65
03/10/09HPanathinaikos72-78
02/10/09HRytas74-67
03/05/09APanathinaikos71-73
01/05/09ABarcelona82-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Euroleague 2009
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.783.571.8
Allowed / game75.278.573.5
Point differential+0.5+5.0-1.8
Avg total150.8162.0145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2009
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game69.575.363.7
Allowed / game68.569.367.7
Point differential+1.0+6.0-4.0
Avg total138.0144.7131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona770100%81.362.3+19.0
2 Siena76186%82.367.4+14.9
3 Panathinaikos76186%83.470.1+13.3
4 Real Madrid75271%83.971.0+12.9
5 Olympiacos75271%88.779.9+8.9
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv75271%81.174.0+7.1
7 Baskonia75271%80.176.1+4.0
8 Unicaja75271%80.077.0+3.0
9 CSKA Moscow64267%69.568.5+1.0
10 Rytas74357%74.375.0-0.7
11 Khimki M.74357%75.678.0-2.4
12 Alba Berlin42250%70.568.0+2.5
13 Anadolu Efes63350%79.878.0+1.8
14 Virtus Roma63350%75.775.2+0.5
15 Treviso42250%79.079.0+0.0
16 Partizan63350%70.573.7-3.2
17 Ventspils21150%77.080.5-3.5
18 Le Mans21150%61.568.5-7.0
19 Spirou Charleroi21150%55.567.0-11.5
20 Aris21150%64.578.0-13.5
21 Lyon-Villeurbanne73443%67.371.9-4.6
22 Gdynia73443%76.783.4-6.7
23 Fenerbahce73443%69.677.4-7.9
24 Maroussi114736%74.074.2-0.2
25 Olimpia Milano72529%73.374.0-0.7
26 Orleans112918%72.375.9-3.6
27 Zalgiris Kaunas71614%67.774.4-6.7
28 Petrol Olimpija71614%71.379.0-7.7
29 Cibona71614%60.475.1-14.7
30 Oldenburg71614%69.185.4-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Roma166161957
CSKA Moscow241722972
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