Siena vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2009

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 83-58

16-19 24-19 18-9 25-11

Position#1

Record7-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game64.3

Siena 🏆

Virtus Roma

Position#7

Record3-3

FormWWLLW

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game77.7

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Siena v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#16

87-48

+39

H11/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

80-67

+13

A18/10

Lega A

Cibona

#28

85-40

+45

A21/10

Euroleague

Teramo

#13

94-70

+24

H24/10

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

#23

84-64

+20

H29/10

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

91-79

+12

A01/11

Lega A

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#25

82-65

+17

A04/11

Euroleague

Ferrara

#15

89-49

+40

H08/11

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#26

87-83

A11/11

Euroleague

Biella

#14

80-72

A15/11

Lega A

26-7

18-16

21-15

22-10

23-15

20-19

17-18

20-15

21-13

14-11

32-8

18-8

22-13

24-19

19-16

29-22

23-21

25-9

17-14

19-20

23-20

25-18

16-23

27-18

10-29

21-3

26-16

25-17

18-16

25-17

26-7

20-9

21-30

28-20

16-11

22-22

11-16

22-19

24-12

23-25

149.6Avg total

85.9Scored

63.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	86.9	64.3	151.1	+22.6	100%
Season at home (4)	89.2	58.0	147.2	+31.2	100%
Season away (3)	83.7	72.7	156.3	+11.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	63.7	149.6	+22.2	100%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	69.6	155.4	+16.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	68.5	81.5	150.0	-13.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	86.9	66.9	153.8	+20.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

94-79

+15

H11/10

Lega A

Treviso

85-92

-7

A17/10

Lega A

Baskonia

#10

77-65

+12

H22/10

Euroleague

Avellino

74-78

-4

H25/10

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

74-69

A28/10

Euroleague

Ferrara

#15

88-71

+17

A01/11

Lega A

Maroussi

#18

83-71

+12

A04/11

Euroleague

Biella

#14

69-73 OT

-4

H08/11

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

90-92 OT

-2

H12/11

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

84-73

+11

A15/11

Lega A

20-23

21-11

21-19

32-26

20-23

22-25

23-21

20-23

17-15

20-17

27-11

13-22

20-27

18-19

17-7

19-25

26-22

13-19

19-12

16-16

20-17

27-18

19-16

22-20

27-17

20-24

19-18

17-12

18-13

18-17

12-13

12-17

17-17

16-18

26-16

14-22

21-20

23-17

26-14

158.1Avg total

81.8Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	82.3	77.7	160.0	+4.7	50%
Season at home (3)	79.0	76.7	155.7	+2.3	33%
Season away (3)	85.7	78.7	164.3	+7.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	76.3	158.1	+5.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	76.0	158.8	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	77.4	88.6	166.0	-11.2	20%
vs Similar (10)	83.3	75.8	159.1	+7.5	70%
vs Weaker (15)	82.1	78.6	160.7	+3.5	53%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	14.8	34.9	+5.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.2	38.8	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	87%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.0	38.1	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	17.1	38.7	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	16.9	37.4	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	15.1	37.3	+7.1	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	15.4	39.6	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.3	16.7	38.0	+4.6	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.3	39.7	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	53%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#16

44-23

+21

H11/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

43-34

A18/10

Lega A

Cibona

#28

35-24

+11

A21/10

Euroleague

Teramo

#13

46-32

+14

H24/10

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

#23

48-30

+18

H29/10

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

48-38

+10

A01/11

Lega A

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#25

31-32

-1

A04/11

Euroleague

Ferrara

#15

43-33

+10

H08/11

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#26

49-50

-1

A11/11

Euroleague

Biella

#14

33-35

-2

A15/11

Lega A

75.1Avg total

42.0Scored

33.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	33.9	75.2	+7.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	31.9	73.6	+9.7	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	36.1	77.0	+4.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	33.1	75.1	+8.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.6	78.4	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	35.0	43.0	78.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	41.7	33.2	75.0	+8.5	75%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

41-34

H11/10

Lega A

Treviso

42-48

-6

A17/10

Lega A

Baskonia

#10

37-32

H22/10

Euroleague

Avellino

38-46

-8

H25/10

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

39-41

-2

A28/10

Euroleague

Ferrara

#15

47-35

+12

A01/11

Lega A

Maroussi

#18

47-41

A04/11

Euroleague

Biella

#14

36-30

H08/11

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

33-35

-2

H12/11

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

35-42

-7

A15/11

Lega A

77.9Avg total

39.5Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.7	79.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	35.6	77.1	+6.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	42.4	82.3	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.4	77.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.6	76.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	38.0	46.0	84.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.9	38.9	81.8	+4.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.3	36.2	76.5	+4.1	67%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	16.1	39.1	+7.0	87%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.8	16.9	41.6	+7.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	15.1	36.3	+6.0	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	14.0	35.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	13.8	35.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	13.5	19.5	33.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.8	15.8	39.6	+7.9	93%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	18.9	36.2	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	15.0	35.6	+5.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	15.9	35.6	+3.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.9	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	16.6	39.1	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.5	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	22.1	41.4	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.4	40.9	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	27%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	33.7	77.8	+10.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.4	34.9	81.2	+11.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	32.4	73.8	+9.1	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	30.6	74.5	+13.3	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	32.0	77.0	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	33.5	38.5	72.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	44.8	33.4	78.2	+11.5	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.4	78.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	39.4	80.6	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	39.4	77.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	34.7	74.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	33.0	71.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.0	38.8	74.8	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.4	36.9	77.3	+3.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.1	41.3	81.4	-1.1	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
08/03/09	Siena v Virtus Roma	93-88
16/11/08	Virtus Roma v Siena	68-88

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/09	A	Biella	80-72
11/11/09	A	Fenerbahce	87-83
08/11/09	H	Ferrara	89-49
04/11/09	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	82-65
01/11/09	A	Olimpia Milano	91-79
29/10/09	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	84-64
24/10/09	H	Teramo	94-70
21/10/09	A	Cibona	85-40
18/10/09	A	Pesaro	80-67
11/10/09	H	NSB Napoli	87-48

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/09	A	Pesaro	84-73
12/11/09	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	90-92 OT
08/11/09	H	Biella	69-73 OT
04/11/09	A	Maroussi	83-71
01/11/09	A	Ferrara	88-71
28/10/09	A	CSKA Moscow	74-69
25/10/09	H	Avellino	74-78
22/10/09	H	Baskonia	77-65
17/10/09	A	Treviso	85-92
11/10/09	H	Cremona	94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	86.9	89.2	83.7
Allowed / game	64.3	58.0	72.7
Point differential	+22.6	+31.2	+11.0
Avg total	151.1	147.2	156.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	86%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	50%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	33%	67%
Points / game	82.3	79.0	85.7
Allowed / game	77.7	76.7	78.7
Point differential	+4.7	+2.3	+7.0
Avg total	160.0	155.7	164.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	33%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	7	7	0	100%	86.9	64.3	+22.6
2	Avellino	6	6	0	100%	84.8	73.5	+11.3
3	Biella	7	5	2	71%	80.1	78.3	+1.9
4	Caserta	6	4	2	67%	89.0	79.3	+9.7
5	Olimpia Milano	7	4	3	57%	79.9	78.7	+1.1
6	Virtus Bologna	7	4	3	57%	74.7	73.9	+0.9
7	Treviso	7	4	3	57%	83.4	83.6	-0.1
8	Cantu	7	4	3	57%	77.0	77.9	-0.9
9	Virtus Roma	6	3	3	50%	82.3	77.7	+4.7
10	Cremona	6	3	3	50%	88.5	84.7	+3.8
11	Varese	7	3	4	43%	75.7	80.7	-5.0
12	Sutor Montegranaro	6	2	4	33%	76.2	78.3	-2.2
13	Teramo	7	2	5	29%	77.9	79.0	-1.1
14	Ferrara	6	1	5	17%	72.7	85.0	-12.3
15	Pesaro	6	0	6	0%	73.7	84.7	-11.0
16	NSB Napoli	6	0	6	0%	55.7	82.2	-26.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	16	24	18	25	83
Virtus Roma	19	19	9	11	58

← all games of the day

Siena vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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