Vitoria vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 77-62

22-17 26-13 16-20 13-12

Position#6

Record9-12

FormWLWLW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game73.2

Vitoria 🏆

Maia

Position#11

Record3-19

FormLLLLL

Points / game64.2

Allowed / game79.1

LPBRound 3

Other2015-16

Meetings · Vitoria v Maia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Maia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#11

86-73

+13

A03/01

LPB

FC Porto

66-81

-15

H09/01

LPB

Barcelos

72-77

-5

A10/01

LPB

Oliveirense

66-61

H16/01

LPB

Galitos

74-79

-5

A23/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

97-87

+10

H30/01

LPB

Lusitania

74-91

-17

A06/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

87-80

H20/02

LPB

Ovarense

62-73

-11

A21/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

73-63

+10

A05/03

LPB

28-16

22-23

13-15

23-19

12-24

15-12

22-24

17-21

16-21

19-17

12-21

25-18

11-23

17-15

11-8

27-15

15-27

18-15

20-19

21-18

27-25

27-16

13-20

30-26

16-27

26-21

13-20

19-23

30-15

17-13

25-26

15-26

7-20

23-15

14-19

18-19

19-16

15-12

21-16

18-19

152.2Avg total

75.7Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	74.0	73.2	147.2	+0.9	43%
Season at home (10)	76.2	74.9	151.1	+1.3	50%
Season away (11)	72.1	71.6	143.7	+0.5	36%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	76.5	152.2	-0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	78.8	157.4	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	65.1	75.3	140.4	-10.1	0%
vs Similar (6)	67.2	72.2	139.3	-5.0	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	80.8	72.6	153.4	+8.2	76%

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

73-86

-13

H03/01

LPB

FC Porto

50-78

-28

A11/01

LPB

Barcelos

57-73

-16

H16/01

LPB

Oliveirense

66-91

-25

A23/01

LPB

Galitos

52-68

-16

H30/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-80

-4

A06/02

LPB

Lusitania

72-79

-7

H20/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

57-67

-10

A21/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

64-76

-12

A27/02

LPB

Lusitania

67-89

-22

H05/03

LPB

16-28

23-22

15-13

19-23

13-16

16-17

9-21

12-24

11-20

15-14

15-26

16-13

16-26

13-22

23-22

14-21

10-18

13-19

14-11

15-20

20-23

12-23

18-15

26-19

19-13

17-27

16-13

20-26

9-25

22-7

12-16

14-19

14-22

15-23

21-13

14-18

18-16

17-28

15-28

17-17

142.1Avg total

63.4Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	64.2	79.1	143.3	-14.9	14%
Season at home (11)	64.8	77.5	142.4	-12.7	27%
Season away (11)	63.6	80.6	144.3	-17.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	63.4	78.7	142.1	-15.3	0%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	78.2	145.4	-11.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	65.2	81.6	146.9	-16.4	16%
vs Similar (5)	74.8	72.4	147.2	+2.4	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VitoriaMaia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	18.9	35.8	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.3	19.1	34.4	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	12.3	20.5	32.8	-8.2	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.4	18.9	39.2	+1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	22.3	38.9	-5.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	20.7	35.3	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.8	35.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.3	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.0	20.2	35.2	-5.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	16.4	36.5	+3.6	72%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	16.9	37.2	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	16.1	36.0	+3.9	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	15.9	35.8	+4.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.4	37.0	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.1	15.3	32.4	+1.9	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.4	16.3	37.8	+5.1	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.6	20.1	35.7	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.4	19.2	34.6	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	21.0	36.7	-5.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.2	36.5	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	14.8	21.0	35.8	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	15.4	34.8	+4.0	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#11

50-39

+11

A03/01

LPB

FC Porto

27-36

-9

H09/01

LPB

Barcelos

35-38

-3

A10/01

LPB

Oliveirense

28-38

-10

H16/01

LPB

Galitos

33-42

-9

A23/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

54-41

+13

H30/01

LPB

Lusitania

42-48

-6

A06/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

47-28

+19

H20/02

LPB

Ovarense

30-35

-5

A21/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

34-28

A05/03

LPB

75.3Avg total

38.0Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.6	35.7	73.3	+1.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.5	36.6	75.2	+1.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	35.0	71.8	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	37.3	75.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	36.0	77.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.4	34.4	66.9	-2.0	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	32.2	38.7	70.8	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.8	35.2	77.0	+6.6	75%	-

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

39-50

-11

H03/01

LPB

FC Porto

29-33

-4

A11/01

LPB

Barcelos

26-34

-8

H16/01

LPB

Oliveirense

29-48

-19

A23/01

LPB

Galitos

23-37

-14

H30/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-46

-14

A06/02

LPB

Lusitania

36-40

-4

H20/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

31-32

-1

A21/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

29-45

-16

A27/02

LPB

Lusitania

35-44

-9

H05/03

LPB

71.8Avg total

30.9Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.9	40.8	72.7	-9.0	10%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.4	38.4	69.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.3	43.3	75.6	-10.9	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.9	40.9	71.8	-10.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	41.4	74.0	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	31.4	41.9	73.2	-10.5	8%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.4	35.6	70.0	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.6	17.9	35.4	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.1	17.0	33.1	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	17.2	17.4	34.7	-0.2	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.6	18.0	33.6	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	19.9	37.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	17.8	33.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.0	33.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.6	19.9	37.5	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.1	20.9	36.0	-5.7	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.5	17.0	33.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	22.2	39.1	-5.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	20.0	36.7	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.5	20.8	38.2	-3.3	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.7	37.0	72.7	-1.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.1	38.8	75.9	-1.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	35.4	70.0	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	39.2	76.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	42.8	80.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.7	40.9	73.6	-8.1	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.0	33.5	68.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	37.2	36.6	73.8	+0.7	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	39.3	74.2	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.6	36.4	72.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	42.1	76.5	-7.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.5	37.8	70.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	36.8	71.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	33.9	39.8	73.6	-5.9	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vitoria wins

Maia wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/16	Maia v Vitoria	73-86
17/10/15	Vitoria v Maia	93-69
18/04/15	Maia v Vitoria	70-85
10/01/15	Vitoria v Maia	85-60
29/03/14	Vitoria v Maia	91-93 OT
22/12/13	Maia v Vitoria	75-77 OT

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/16	A	Electrico FC	73-63
21/02/16	A	Ovarense	62-73
20/02/16	H	Electrico FC	87-80
06/02/16	A	Lusitania	74-91
30/01/16	H	CAB Madeira	97-87
23/01/16	A	Galitos	74-79
16/01/16	H	Oliveirense	66-61
10/01/16	A	Barcelos	72-77
09/01/16	H	FC Porto	66-81
03/01/16	A	Maia	86-73

Maialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/16	H	Lusitania	67-89
27/02/16	A	CAB Madeira	64-76
21/02/16	A	Electrico FC	57-67
20/02/16	H	Lusitania	72-79
06/02/16	A	CAB Madeira	76-80
30/01/16	H	Galitos	52-68
23/01/16	A	Oliveirense	66-91
16/01/16	H	Barcelos	57-73
11/01/16	A	FC Porto	50-78
03/01/16	H	Vitoria	73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	43%
Home	LLWWW	50%
Away	LLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	43%	50%	36%
Points / game	74.0	76.2	72.1
Allowed / game	73.2	74.9	71.6
Point differential	+0.9	+1.3	+0.5
Avg total	147.2	151.1	143.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	20%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	50% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Maia

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	14%
Home	LLLLL	27%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	14%	27%	0%
Points / game	64.2	64.8	63.6
Allowed / game	79.1	77.5	80.6
Point differential	-14.9	-12.7	-17.0
Avg total	143.3	142.4	144.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	23	22	1	96%	81.1	66.1	+15.0
2	FC Porto	23	19	4	83%	76.4	65.2	+11.3
3	Galitos	23	13	10	57%	72.5	69.7	+2.8
4	Ovarense	23	12	11	52%	77.0	73.7	+3.3
5	Oliveirense	23	12	11	52%	71.8	71.0	+0.8
6	Barcelos	23	12	11	52%	68.4	68.6	-0.2
7	Lusitania	23	12	11	52%	75.3	76.8	-1.5
8	Vitoria	21	9	12	43%	74.0	73.2	+0.9
9	CAB Madeira	22	6	16	27%	71.1	77.7	-6.6
10	Electrico FC	22	4	18	18%	69.5	81.6	-12.2
11	Maia	22	3	19	14%	64.2	79.1	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vitoria	22	26	16	13	77
Maia	17	13	20	12	62

← all games of the day

Vitoria vs Maia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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