Maia vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 72-79

19-13 17-27 16-13 20-26

Position#11

Record3-15

FormLLLLL

Points / game64.1

Allowed / game79.4

Maia

Lusitania 🏆

Position#7

Record8-10

FormWWLLW

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game76.6

LPBRound 21

Other2015-16

Meetings · Maia v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#10

61-80

-19

H05/12

LPB

Ovarense

80-76

H12/12

LPB

Ovarense

56-75

-19

A13/12

LPB

Benfica

73-94

-21

A20/12

LPB

Vitoria

73-86

-13

H03/01

LPB

FC Porto

50-78

-28

A11/01

LPB

Barcelos

57-73

-16

H16/01

LPB

Oliveirense

66-91

-25

A23/01

LPB

Galitos

52-68

-16

H30/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-80

-4

A06/02

LPB

6-22

19-24

18-18

18-16

18-22

15-20

23-13

24-21

19-27

21-17

7-14

9-17

18-17

16-21

22-34

17-22

16-28

23-22

15-13

19-23

13-16

16-17

9-21

12-24

11-20

15-14

15-26

16-13

16-26

13-22

23-22

14-21

10-18

13-19

14-11

15-20

20-23

12-23

18-15

26-19

144.5Avg total

64.4Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	64.1	79.4	143.4	-15.3	17%
Season at home (9)	63.8	76.1	139.9	-12.3	33%
Season away (9)	64.3	82.7	147.0	-18.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	64.4	80.1	144.5	-15.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	60.2	78.0	138.2	-17.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	64.1	80.5	144.6	-16.4	16%
vs Similar (5)	79.8	75.8	155.6	+4.0	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#11

75-63

+12

H28/11

LPB

FC Porto

67-96

-29

H05/12

LPB

Barcelos

72-65

H12/12

LPB

Oliveirense

84-76

H19/12

LPB

Galitos

64-82

-18

H02/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

97-69

+28

A09/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

83-82

A16/01

LPB

Ovarense

78-94

-16

H23/01

LPB

Benfica

65-83

-18

A30/01

LPB

Vitoria

91-74

+17

H06/02

LPB

17-19

26-15

18-14

14-15

15-22

21-22

21-25

10-27

13-19

26-14

18-17

15-15

21-15

19-15

18-21

26-25

12-21

13-25

16-18

23-18

25-18

22-20

19-22

31-9

22-12

26-22

17-26

18-22

–

14-22

12-20

21-21

18-20

27-16

21-26

20-13

23-19

156.0Avg total

77.6Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	73.0	76.6	149.6	-3.6	44%
Season at home (10)	73.2	77.1	150.3	-3.9	40%
Season away (8)	72.8	76.0	148.8	-3.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	78.4	156.0	-0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	80.4	163.2	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	70.3	79.9	150.3	-9.6	27%
vs Similar (9)	72.7	70.4	143.1	+2.2	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	78.0	72.5	150.5	+5.5	83%

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MaiaLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	20.5	37.2	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.0	19.3	35.3	-3.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	21.9	39.4	-4.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.7	21.9	36.6	-7.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	20.6	34.6	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.3	18.6	34.9	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	17.4	35.2	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.4	18.2	36.7	+0.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	15.1	19.6	34.7	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.8	15.2	36.0	+5.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.7	20.3	35.0	-5.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	14.4	18.8	33.2	-4.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.1	21.9	37.0	-6.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.9	36.2	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	19.0	32.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	14.1	20.6	34.7	-6.5	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.6	21.6	38.3	-5.0	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.6	16.1	33.7	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	60%	-

MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#10

25-46

-21

H05/12

LPB

Ovarense

33-42

-9

H12/12

LPB

Ovarense

40-44

-4

A13/12

LPB

Benfica

34-38

-4

A20/12

LPB

Vitoria

39-50

-11

H03/01

LPB

FC Porto

29-33

-4

A11/01

LPB

Barcelos

26-34

-8

H16/01

LPB

Oliveirense

29-48

-19

A23/01

LPB

Galitos

23-37

-14

H30/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-46

-14

A06/02

LPB

72.8Avg total

31.0Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.4	40.8	72.2	-9.4	10%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	30.4	38.1	68.6	-7.7	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.5	43.9	76.4	-11.4	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.0	41.8	72.8	-10.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	39.6	67.4	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	30.9	41.6	72.5	-10.6	8%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.8	37.0	70.8	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#11

43-34

H28/11

LPB

FC Porto

36-44

-8

H05/12

LPB

Barcelos

39-33

H12/12

LPB

Oliveirense

40-30

+10

H19/12

LPB

Galitos

25-46

-21

H02/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

47-38

A09/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

48-34

+14

A16/01

LPB

Benfica

26-42

-16

A30/01

LPB

Vitoria

48-42

H06/02

LPB

77.2Avg total

39.1Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	35.1	37.8	72.9	-2.7	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.9	39.2	74.1	-4.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.3	36.4	71.6	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.1	38.1	77.2	+1.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	40.4	79.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	31.7	41.3	73.0	-9.6	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.7	33.1	68.8	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	43.6	36.4	80.0	+7.2	60%	-

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	18.9	35.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.0	17.6	33.6	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	18.7	35.1	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.0	34.8	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.6	36.6	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.9	39.9	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	17.9	37.9	+2.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	22.4	39.5	-5.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.2	20.3	37.5	-3.2	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	25.8	18.6	44.4	+7.2	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.9	18.9	36.7	-1.0	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.6	40.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.7	18.6	37.4	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	15.4	18.4	33.8	-3.0	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	38.9	74.2	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.9	35.5	71.4	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.6	42.8	77.4	-8.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	38.3	71.7	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	38.4	70.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	33.2	38.9	72.1	-5.8	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	46.0	38.8	84.8	+7.2	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.3	37.6	74.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	36.8	75.2	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	38.5	74.6	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.4	38.6	77.0	-0.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.1	37.6	75.7	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.0	37.3	74.3	-0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	35.6	38.2	73.8	-2.6	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Maia wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
28/11/15	Lusitania v Maia	75-63
17/01/15	Lusitania v Maia	75-60
26/10/14	Maia v Lusitania	70-64
23/03/14	Maia v Lusitania	60-71
14/12/13	Lusitania v Maia	67-53

Maialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/02/16	A	CAB Madeira	76-80
30/01/16	H	Galitos	52-68
23/01/16	A	Oliveirense	66-91
16/01/16	H	Barcelos	57-73
11/01/16	A	FC Porto	50-78
03/01/16	H	Vitoria	73-86
20/12/15	A	Benfica	73-94
13/12/15	A	Ovarense	56-75
12/12/15	H	Ovarense	80-76
05/12/15	H	Electrico FC	61-80

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/02/16	H	Vitoria	91-74
30/01/16	A	Benfica	65-83
23/01/16	H	Ovarense	78-94
16/01/16	A	Electrico FC	83-82
09/01/16	A	CAB Madeira	97-69
02/01/16	H	Galitos	64-82
19/12/15	H	Oliveirense	84-76
12/12/15	H	Barcelos	72-65
05/12/15	H	FC Porto	67-96
28/11/15	H	Maia	75-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	17%
Home	LWLLL	33%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	17%	33%	0%
Points / game	64.1	63.8	64.3
Allowed / game	79.4	76.1	82.7
Point differential	-15.3	-12.3	-18.3
Avg total	143.4	139.9	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	44%
Home	WWLLW	40%
Away	WWWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	44%	40%	50%
Points / game	73.0	73.2	72.8
Allowed / game	76.6	77.1	76.0
Point differential	-3.6	-3.9	-3.2
Avg total	149.6	150.3	148.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	20%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	20	19	1	95%	80.3	64.8	+15.6
2	FC Porto	18	15	3	83%	75.5	63.6	+11.9
3	Galitos	18	11	7	61%	74.1	70.4	+3.6
4	Ovarense	19	11	8	58%	77.3	72.6	+4.7
5	Oliveirense	19	10	9	53%	72.3	70.8	+1.5
6	Barcelos	18	9	9	50%	67.1	66.7	+0.4
7	Lusitania	18	8	10	44%	73.0	76.6	-3.6
8	Vitoria	19	8	11	42%	74.7	73.7	+1.0
9	CAB Madeira	18	5	13	28%	69.6	77.0	-7.4
10	Maia	18	3	15	17%	64.1	79.4	-15.3
11	Electrico FC	19	3	16	16%	69.1	82.8	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Maia	19	17	16	20	72
Lusitania	13	27	13	26	79

← all games of the day

Maia vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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