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VMI vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 106-54
40-35 66-19
Position#364
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game79.3
VMI 🏆
USA
vs
Position#19
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game56.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#169
L
43-82
43
82
-39
H19/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
70-91
70
91
-21
H01/03
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H08/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A08/03
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A09/03
NCAA
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#692
W
122-58
122
58
+64
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
68-106
68
106
-38
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
17-44
26-38
27-30
44-45
38-45
45-50
32-44
38-47
36-27
37-35
28-19
36-38
29-44
36-41
58-15
64-43
30-37
48-37
40-50
28-56
152.2Avg total
73.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.379.3168.7+10.067%
Season at home (1)122.058.0180.0+64.0100%
Season away (2)73.090.0163.0-17.050%
Last 10 (10)73.778.5152.2-4.840%
Last 5 (5)79.476.0155.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.479.7146.1-13.319%
vs Similar (5)74.073.2147.2+0.840%
vs Weaker (9)86.964.0150.9+22.989%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H04/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
33-37
34-46
32-35
44-33
39-42
32-27
26-44
27-28
33-29
26-43
44-41
25-25
35-41
42-32
45-21
42-25
39-37
47-19
44-34
140.0Avg total
71.8Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.356.0142.3+30.3100%
Season at home (3)86.356.0142.3+30.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.868.2140.0+3.650%
Last 5 (5)77.863.6141.4+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.272.6135.8-9.417%
vs Similar (14)67.163.6130.6+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)85.259.8145.0+25.5100%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +0.9+0.9
VMIVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#169
L
17-44
17
44
-27
H19/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H01/03
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H08/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
28-19
28
19
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A09/03
NCAA
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#692
W
58-15
58
15
+43
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A09/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
33.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.135.971.0-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.233.470.6+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)33.238.171.4-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.569.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.070.0+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.339.670.9-8.225%-
vs Similar (5)33.436.269.6-2.840%-
vs Weaker (9)42.829.272.0+13.689%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A27/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A12/03
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H04/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H12/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.8Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.464.3+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.929.462.3+3.456%-
Last 30 away (12)33.034.267.2-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)34.832.166.9+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.428.865.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.333.064.3-1.733%-
vs Similar (14)31.531.462.9+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.826.269.0+16.5100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
VMI wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25AMissouri68-106
08/11/25ASouthern Indiana78-74
03/11/25HJohnson & Wales (RI)122-58
09/03/25AWofford65-85
08/03/25ANC Greensboro64-57
08/03/25HCitadel73-62
01/03/25HChattanooga Mocs70-91
27/02/25HSamford83-95
22/02/25AFurman71-75
19/02/25HWofford43-82
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HHampton91-53
08/11/25HN. Carolina Central81-62
04/11/25HRider87-53
12/03/25AGeorgia Tech60-66
09/03/25ASyracuse70-84
05/03/25HFlorida State60-57
01/03/25HClemson58-71
27/02/25AWake Forest83-75
22/02/25ANorth Carolina66-81
18/02/25HDuke62-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game89.3122.073.0
Allowed / game79.358.090.0
Point differential+10.0+64.0-17.0
Avg total168.7180.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.386.3-
Allowed / game56.056.0-
Point differential+30.3+30.3-
Avg total142.3142.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mercer32167%84.771.7+13.0
2 VMI32167%89.379.3+10.0
3 East Tennessee St21150%83.059.0+24.0
4 Samford21150%77.078.5-1.5
5 Citadel31233%79.377.7+1.7
6 Furman31233%73.773.3+0.3
7 Chattanooga Mocs31233%75.775.7+0.0
8 Wofford31233%64.779.7-15.0
9 NC Greensboro2020%77.092.5-15.5
10 Western Carolina2020%58.594.5-36.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Syracuse220100%84.045.0+39.0
2 Clemson330100%89.351.0+38.3
3 Duke330100%94.757.7+37.0
4 NC State220100%104.068.0+36.0
5 Louisville330100%102.067.7+34.3
6 Miami (FL)330100%96.363.7+32.7
7 Virginia330100%86.356.0+30.3
8 Notre Dame330100%89.765.0+24.7
9 North Carolina330100%90.067.3+22.7
10 California330100%85.764.0+21.7
11 Virginia Tech220100%102.584.0+18.5
12 Stanford220100%90.073.5+16.5
13 Pittsburgh330100%76.761.7+15.0
14 Georgia Tech330100%66.752.3+14.3
15 SMU Mustangs330100%89.075.0+14.0
16 Florida State32167%95.072.7+22.3
17 Wake Forest32167%84.374.7+9.7
18 Boston College31233%71.063.3+7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI4066106
Virginia351954
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