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Washington vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 91-72
0-0 40-43 0-0 51-29
Position#218
Record14-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#153
Record18-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Washington v USC
11 Mar 2026
WASH83
USC79
04 Mar 2026
WASH91
USC72
07 Dec 2024
WASH61
USC85
13 Mar 2024
WASH74
USC80
02 Mar 2024
WASH75
USC82
30 Dec 2022
WASH67
USC80
11 Feb 2021
WASH54
USC69
05 Jan 2020
WASH72
USC40
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WashingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H05/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-19
0-0
38-38
0-0
26-33
0-0
40-42
0-0
39-27
0-0
37-35
0-0
48-41
0-0
26-43
0-0
34-30
0-0
39-47
0-0
32-35
0-0
28-28
0-0
39-26
0-0
30-31
0-0
32-34
0-0
28-30
0-0
36-29
0-0
43-43
0-0
21-36
0-0
52-54
140.3Avg total
70.2Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.272.7148.9+3.548%
Season at home (15)79.171.5150.5+7.660%
Season away (14)73.174.1147.2-0.936%
Last 10 (10)70.270.1140.3+0.140%
Last 5 (5)68.269.2137.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.679.7149.3-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.576.1153.6+1.450%
vs Weaker (9)79.062.8141.8+16.278%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-41
0-0
34-30
0-0
28-27
0-0
44-46
0-0
40-30
0-0
38-45
0-0
35-30
0-0
46-45
0-0
36-40
0-0
41-35
0-0
43-40
0-0
39-49
0-0
32-54
0-0
33-47
0-0
32-35
0-0
38-36
0-0
29-38
0-0
33-43
0-0
36-31
0-0
31-51
152.0Avg total
72.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.276.9156.1+2.262%
Season at home (17)82.976.3159.2+6.665%
Season away (12)73.977.8151.8-3.958%
Last 10 (10)72.779.3152.0-6.640%
Last 5 (5)69.284.8154.0-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.480.9154.3-7.540%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.071.9148.9+5.162%
vs Weaker (7)92.974.0166.9+18.9100%
This opponent (Washington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -5.0-5.0
WashingtonUSC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WashingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H05/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H28/02
NCAA
65.1Avg total
34.1Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.469.1+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.132.868.9+3.444%-
Last 30 away (14)33.036.369.3-3.343%-
Last 10 (10)34.131.065.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.032.064.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.039.171.1-7.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.035.568.5-2.543%-
vs Weaker (9)39.329.068.3+10.367%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
35.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.335.171.4+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.833.471.2+4.465%-
Last 30 away (13)34.437.371.7-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.671.6-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.674.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.236.369.5-3.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.933.170.0+3.850%-
vs Weaker (7)42.334.777.0+7.671%-
This opponent (Washington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Washington wins
9
USC wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25USC v Washington76-84
06/03/25USC v Washington92-61
07/12/24Washington v USC61-85
13/03/24Washington v USC74-80
02/03/24Washington v USC75-82
05/02/23USC v Washington80-74
31/12/22Washington v USC67-80
11/03/22USC v Washington65-61
18/02/22USC v Washington79-69
12/02/21Washington v USC54-69
Washingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HWisconsin73-90
24/02/26ARutgers79-72
21/02/26AMaryland60-64
15/02/26HMinnesota69-57
12/02/26HPenn State60-63
08/02/26AUCLA73-77
05/02/26HIowa74-84
01/02/26ANorthwestern76-62
30/01/26AIllinois66-75
25/01/26HOregon72-57
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HNebraska67-82
25/02/26AUCLA62-81
21/02/26HOregon70-71
19/02/26HIllinois65-101
11/02/26AOhio State82-89
08/02/26APenn State77-75
04/02/26HIndiana81-75
01/02/26HRutgers78-75
29/01/26AIowa72-73
25/01/26AWisconsin73-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game76.279.173.1
Allowed / game72.771.574.1
Point differential+3.5+7.6-0.9
Avg total148.9150.5147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL62%
HomeWWLLL65%
AwayWLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %62%65%58%
Points / game79.282.973.9
Allowed / game76.976.377.8
Point differential+2.2+6.6-3.9
Avg total156.1159.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%35%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2927293%89.068.7+20.2
2 Nebraska3025583%77.765.7+12.0
3 Michigan State2924583%78.366.3+12.0
4 Illinois3023777%84.569.0+15.4
5 Purdue3023777%81.969.8+12.1
6 Wisconsin3021970%82.875.0+7.8
7 Iowa2920969%75.765.0+10.7
8 UCLA30201067%77.671.0+6.6
9 Ohio State30191163%80.172.8+7.3
10 USC29181162%79.276.9+2.2
11 Indiana30181260%78.771.5+7.3
12 Washington29141548%76.272.7+3.5
13 Minnesota30141647%70.268.5+1.7
14 Northwestern30131743%73.472.4+1.0
15 Rutgers29121741%70.275.4-5.2
16 Penn State30121840%74.379.6-5.3
17 Oregon30111937%70.773.9-3.2
18 Maryland30111937%69.877.1-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington04005191
USC04302972
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