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Iowa vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 73-72
27-28 46-44
Position#81
Record14-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game62.4
Iowa 🏆
USA
vs
Position#153
Record15-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#34
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A12/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H14/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
94-39
94
39
+55
H20/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H29/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H11/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A17/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-25
29-41
52-16
39-35
43-21
51-18
47-30
43-32
40-22
34-39
24-31
43-39
24-35
45-40
34-31
38-48
38-28
36-29
31-24
37-38
138.3Avg total
76.1Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.962.4140.3+15.574%
Season at home (13)84.261.2145.4+22.992%
Season away (6)64.364.8129.2-0.533%
Last 10 (10)76.162.2138.3+13.960%
Last 5 (5)70.068.6138.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.684.9157.4-12.30%
vs Similar (11)73.767.5141.2+6.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.561.7145.2+21.892%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#291
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
102-63
102
63
+39
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
51-80
51
80
-29
A06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H22/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-26
35-35
40-31
57-39
45-26
57-37
31-49
35-47
17-33
34-47
35-30
28-33
42-41
46-30
32-38
32-31
28-31
40-43
39-41
34-30
147.1Avg total
74.7Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.175.5157.6+6.675%
Season at home (12)87.374.4161.8+12.975%
Season away (8)74.277.0151.2-2.875%
Last 10 (10)74.772.4147.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)72.670.8143.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.880.0153.8-6.246%
vs Similar (11)79.676.7156.4+2.955%
vs Weaker (6)97.871.5169.3+26.3100%
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +2.6+2.6
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +2.6+2.6
IowaUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#34
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A12/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
52-16
52
16
+36
H14/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H20/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H29/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H11/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H21/01
NCAA
62.9Avg total
36.6Scored
26.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.531.468.9+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.128.969.1+11.276%-
Last 30 away (13)34.034.668.6-0.646%-
Last 10 (10)36.626.362.9+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)30.229.860.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.037.174.1-0.157%-
vs Similar (11)35.032.267.2+2.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.027.367.3+12.775%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#291
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
17-33
17
33
-16
A06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H14/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H22/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.572.4+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.433.472.8+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)34.237.872.0-3.621%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.668.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.271.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.536.268.8-3.723%-
vs Similar (11)38.135.073.1+3.155%-
vs Weaker (6)44.534.779.2+9.883%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iowa wins
1
USC wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25USC v Iowa99-89
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HRutgers68-62
17/01/26AIndiana74-57
14/01/26APurdue72-79
11/01/26HIllinois69-75
07/01/26AMinnesota67-70
03/01/26HUCLA74-61
29/12/25HUMass Lowell90-62
20/12/25HBucknell94-39
14/12/25HWestern Michigan91-51
12/12/25AIowa State62-66
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26AWisconsin73-71
22/01/26HNorthwestern68-74
17/01/26HPurdue64-69
14/01/26HMaryland88-71
10/01/26AMinnesota70-69 OT
06/01/26AMichigan State51-80
03/01/26AMichigan66-96
21/12/25HUC Santa Cruz102-63
18/12/25HUTSA Roadrunners97-70
15/12/25HWashington State68-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW74%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %74%92%33%
Points / game77.984.264.3
Allowed / game62.461.264.8
Point differential+15.5+22.9-0.5
Avg total140.3145.4129.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%77%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.187.374.2
Allowed / game75.574.477.0
Point differential+6.7+12.9-2.8
Avg total157.6161.8151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska2120195%80.565.4+15.0
2 Michigan2019195%90.868.8+22.1
3 Michigan State2119290%79.563.5+16.0
4 Illinois2017385%85.568.3+17.1
5 Purdue2117481%83.269.2+14.0
6 USC2015575%82.175.5+6.7
7 Iowa1914574%77.962.4+15.5
8 Ohio State2014670%82.272.5+9.7
9 Wisconsin2014670%83.675.3+8.3
10 UCLA2014670%77.369.1+8.2
11 Indiana2114767%80.769.3+11.4
12 Washington2011955%79.073.2+5.8
13 Minnesota20101050%72.068.5+3.5
14 Northwestern2091145%76.571.7+4.8
15 Penn State2091145%76.677.8-1.1
16 Rutgers2191243%70.175.1-5.0
17 Oregon2081240%73.174.2-1.1
18 Maryland2081240%73.079.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa274673
USC284472
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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