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Waterloo vs Guelph Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 69-79
16-21 19-18 16-15 18-25
Position#39
Record3-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#30
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.5
CanadaU Sports
Other2019-20
Meetings · Waterloo v Guelph
11 Nov 2023
WATE74
GUEL68
20 Jan 2023
WATE50
GUEL94
04 Feb 2022
WATE v GUEL
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
WATE69
GUEL79
10 Jan 2019
WATE59
GUEL65
09 Feb 2018
WATE87
GUEL76
13 Feb 2016
WATE75
GUEL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waterloo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaterlooCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University of Ottawa
#8
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A03/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A09/11
U Sports
York
#43
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A10/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H16/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#34
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H17/11
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#13
L
56-92
56
92
-36
H21/11
U Sports
Guelph
#30
L
69-101
69
101
-32
A23/11
U Sports
Algoma
#46
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H30/11
U Sports
Algoma
#46
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H01/12
U Sports
Laurier
#24
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A09/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
15-21
12-26
22-17
16-24
16-17
18-19
18-19
13-21
16-7
28-9
13-32
21-27
10-15
19-20
35-28
15-12
13-12
17-18
23-28
15-30
10-17
21-17
10-28
18-29
7-29
24-22
20-21
28-11
16-22
22-16
17-29
26-13
16-14
23-14
21-18
8-24
21-15
18-18
21-29
152.9Avg total
71.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.084.8155.8-13.825%
Season at home (5)75.677.8153.4-2.240%
Season away (7)67.789.7157.4-22.014%
Last 10 (10)71.581.4152.9-9.930%
Last 5 (5)72.483.2155.6-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.489.8164.2-15.39%
vs Similar (4)73.583.5157.0-10.025%
vs Weaker (3)79.768.7148.3+11.0100%
This opponent (Guelph) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
York
#43
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H03/11
U Sports
Brock
#23
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A09/11
U Sports
McMaster
#21
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A10/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#8
L
70-88
70
88
-18
H16/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H17/11
U Sports
Laurier
#24
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A21/11
U Sports
Waterloo
#39
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H23/11
U Sports
Windsor
#27
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A28/11
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#13
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H30/11
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#48
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A09/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
26-22
27-15
15-19
16-21
15-20
15-12
21-23
25-26
13-26
19-25
18-18
21-20
12-24
16-22
21-22
14-21
20-25
18-20
29-28
17-26
26-16
17-14
22-12
29-18
29-7
22-24
21-20
14-29
23-30
22-21
18-18
24-19
17-23
17-25
20-22
19-15
22-22
28-15
25-20
164.1Avg total
82.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.082.5163.5-1.536%
Season at home (5)85.282.2167.4+3.040%
Season away (6)77.582.8160.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)82.182.0164.1+0.140%
Last 5 (5)86.479.2165.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.385.6159.9-11.315%
vs Similar (7)80.383.4163.7-3.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.374.3158.6+10.090%
This opponent (Waterloo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
WaterlooGuelph
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaterlooLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University of Ottawa
#8
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A09/11
U Sports
York
#43
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A10/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#11
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H16/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#34
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H17/11
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#13
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H21/11
U Sports
Guelph
#30
L
25-58
25
58
-33
A23/11
U Sports
Algoma
#46
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/11
U Sports
Algoma
#46
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H01/12
U Sports
Laurier
#24
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A09/01
U Sports
69.9Avg total
31.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.640.576.1-5.034%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.737.873.5-2.133%-
Last 30 away (14)35.443.478.9-8.036%-
Last 10 (10)31.338.669.9-7.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.873.8-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.743.077.6-8.323%-
vs Similar (4)38.235.573.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (3)38.329.367.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
York
#43
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/11
U Sports
Brock
#23
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A09/11
U Sports
McMaster
#21
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A10/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H16/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H17/11
U Sports
Laurier
#24
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A21/11
U Sports
Waterloo
#39
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H23/11
U Sports
Windsor
#27
L
37-59
37
59
-22
A28/11
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#13
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/11
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#48
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/01
U Sports
83.5Avg total
41.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)38.240.378.6-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.741.781.4-2.029%-
Last 30 away (13)36.638.875.5-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.583.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.085.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.843.279.0-7.517%-
vs Similar (7)37.642.980.4-5.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.533.876.2+8.862%-
This opponent (Waterloo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Waterloo wins
7
Guelph wins
DateGameScore
23/11/19Guelph v Waterloo101-69
10/02/19Guelph v Waterloo85-79
10/01/19Waterloo v Guelph59-65
15/02/18Guelph v Waterloo100-86
10/02/18Waterloo v Guelph87-76
19/02/17Guelph v Waterloo76-74
14/02/16Waterloo v Guelph75-90
22/01/15Guelph v Waterloo92-60
Waterloolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/20ALaurier68-86
01/12/19HAlgoma86-59
30/11/19HAlgoma83-78
23/11/19AGuelph69-101
21/11/19HWest. Ontario Univ.56-92
17/11/19HNipissing68-70
16/11/19HLaurentian85-90
10/11/19AYork70-69
09/11/19ALakehead68-79
03/11/19AUniversity of Ottawa62-90
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/20AOntario Univ.94-72
30/11/19HWest. Ontario Univ.78-89
28/11/19AWindsor77-98
23/11/19HWaterloo101-69
21/11/19ALaurier82-68
17/11/19HCarleton81-94
16/11/19HUniversity of Ottawa70-88
10/11/19AMcMaster75-95
09/11/19ABrock67-76
03/11/19HYork96-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waterloo
U Sports 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%40%14%
Points / game71.075.667.7
Allowed / game84.877.889.7
Point differential-13.8-2.2-22.0
Avg total155.8153.4157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guelph
U Sports 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game81.085.277.5
Allowed / game82.582.282.8
Point differential-1.5+3.0-5.3
Avg total163.5167.4160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Carleton12120100%96.661.3+35.2
2 Dalhousie990100%89.359.1+30.2
3 Calgary11110100%92.170.2+21.9
4 Manitoba11110100%89.278.5+10.6
5 Alberta1110191%88.573.5+15.0
6 Saskatchewan1110191%88.977.0+11.9
7 McGill87188%87.278.8+8.5
8 Victoria119282%82.166.3+15.8
9 West. Ontario Univ.1411379%87.575.9+11.6
10 UBC1310377%91.276.7+14.5
11 University of Ottawa129375%82.769.3+13.3
12 Laurentian129375%83.174.8+8.3
13 Lakehead129375%82.477.8+4.7
14 McMaster118373%86.880.9+5.9
15 Concordia64267%75.073.5+1.5
16 Queens117464%83.876.6+7.2
17 TMU127558%81.073.3+7.7
18 Thompson Rivers127558%82.777.0+5.7
19 Windsor116555%81.978.9+3.0
20 UNB84450%84.179.0+5.1
21 UQAM63350%78.575.3+3.2
22 Memorial105550%81.283.2-2.0
23 Cape Breton84450%78.283.1-4.9
24 Regina136746%87.684.6+3.0
25 UFV115645%81.978.7+3.2
26 Brock115645%75.473.1+2.3
27 Winnipeg115645%75.375.3+0.0
28 Saint Marys94544%76.982.8-5.9
29 StFX94544%77.484.9-7.4
30 Bishop's52340%78.479.8-1.4
31 Laurier135838%74.376.8-2.5
32 Acadia83538%80.284.4-4.1
33 Guelph114736%81.082.5-1.5
34 Toronto114736%79.081.8-2.8
35 UNBC113827%75.285.6-10.5
36 Mount Royal113827%79.094.3-15.3
37 Waterloo123925%71.084.8-13.8
38 Nipissing123925%67.985.5-17.6
39 Lethbridge1331023%89.596.5-7.0
40 UPEI92722%71.082.2-11.2
41 Trinity Western112918%86.999.4-12.5
42 Algoma112918%69.489.5-20.1
43 York1321115%72.489.9-17.5
44 MacEwan111109%76.587.3-10.7
45 Brandon111109%75.186.5-11.5
46 UBC Okanagan131128%62.693.6-31.0
47 Laval7070%75.788.4-12.7
48 Ontario Univ.110110%66.793.1-26.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waterloo1619161869
Guelph2118152579
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