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Guelph vs Waterloo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-79
15-16 16-23 23-18 31-22
Position#27
Record9-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#45
Record3-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game87.8
CanadaU Sports
Other2018-19
Meetings · Guelph v Waterloo
08 Nov 2023
GUEL69
WATE81
21 Jan 2023
GUEL64
WATE63
05 Feb 2022
GUEL v WATE
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
GUEL101
WATE69
09 Feb 2019
GUEL85
WATE79
14 Feb 2018
GUEL100
WATE86
18 Feb 2017
GUEL76
WATE74
21 Jan 2015
GUEL92
WATE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waterloo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakehead
#30
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H06/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A10/01
U Sports
McMaster
#25
L
80-97
80
97
-17
H12/01
U Sports
Brock
#8
L
100-101
100
101
-1
H17/01
U Sports
Western
#14
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A20/01
U Sports
Laurier
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A23/01
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A26/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A02/02
U Sports
Algoma
#42
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A03/02
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H09/02
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
12-21
29-15
19-20
11-10
20-7
13-24
21-18
27-21
12-26
18-18
23-32
25-22
19-20
29-28
27-31
20-10
9-23
15-20
9-19
20-24
16-17
19-33
24-14
22-16
19-13
19-13
24-29
–
–
–
–
16-20
25-22
17-22
21-15
–
–
–
–
160.6Avg total
78.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.684.7163.2-6.143%
Season at home (10)81.485.4166.8-4.050%
Season away (11)76.084.0160.0-8.036%
Last 10 (10)78.981.7160.6-2.850%
Last 5 (5)80.080.2160.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.588.1160.7-15.613%
vs Similar (7)86.083.7169.7+2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.080.4163.4+2.675%
This opponent (Waterloo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaterlooCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#42
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A05/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A06/01
U Sports
Guelph
#27
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H10/01
U Sports
Brock
#8
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H13/01
U Sports
Windsor
#37
L
85-100
85
100
-15
A17/01
U Sports
Western
#14
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A19/01
U Sports
Laurier
#6
L
70-99
70
99
-29
H26/01
U Sports
McMaster
#25
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H27/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H02/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
L
77-125
77
125
-48
H02/02
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
26-26
22-25
23-24
18-15
28-20
12-20
20-25
10-11
7-20
24-13
18-21
17-19
17-24
21-20
26-31
16-25
23-28
23-24
23-23
20-26
12-23
23-26
26-20
17-20
20-27
16-29
17-23
15-10
20-25
23-22
21-24
12-18
20-18
20-12
12-27
20-27
15-34
23-34
19-30
167.2Avg total
76.4Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.887.8161.6-14.015%
Season at home (11)71.986.0157.9-14.118%
Season away (9)76.290.0166.2-13.811%
Last 10 (10)76.490.8167.2-14.40%
Last 5 (5)74.295.0169.2-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.791.5167.2-15.89%
vs Similar (6)77.887.0164.8-9.233%
vs Weaker (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Guelph) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
GuelphWaterloo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakehead
#30
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
31-17
31
17
+14
A10/01
U Sports
McMaster
#25
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H12/01
U Sports
Brock
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H17/01
U Sports
Western
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A20/01
U Sports
Laurier
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/01
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A26/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/02
U Sports
73.1Avg total
36.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.539.876.2-3.232%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.042.081.0-3.042%-
Last 30 away (16)34.638.172.7-3.425%-
Last 10 (8)36.436.873.1-0.438%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.475.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.141.874.9-8.720%-
vs Similar (7)39.638.978.4+0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.335.777.0+5.750%-
This opponent (Waterloo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaterlooLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#42
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A06/01
U Sports
Guelph
#27
L
17-31
17
31
-14
H10/01
U Sports
Brock
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H13/01
U Sports
Windsor
#37
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A17/01
U Sports
Western
#14
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A19/01
U Sports
Laurier
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H26/01
U Sports
McMaster
#25
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H02/02
U Sports
78.7Avg total
35.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.843.679.4-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.141.876.9-6.823%-
Last 30 away (17)36.444.981.3-8.529%-
Last 10 (10)35.243.578.7-8.310%-
Last 5 (5)34.245.679.8-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.744.279.9-8.626%-
vs Similar (6)37.742.079.7-4.333%-
vs Weaker (1)29.038.067.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Guelph wins
1
Waterloo wins
DateGameScore
10/01/19Waterloo v Guelph59-65
15/02/18Guelph v Waterloo100-86
10/02/18Waterloo v Guelph87-76
19/02/17Guelph v Waterloo76-74
14/02/16Waterloo v Guelph75-90
22/01/15Guelph v Waterloo92-60
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/19HWindsor87-80
03/02/19AAlgoma87-85 OT
02/02/19AAlgoma63-77
26/01/19AWindsor84-71
23/01/19ALaurier79-88
20/01/19AWestern53-72
17/01/19HBrock100-101
12/01/19HMcMaster80-97
10/01/19AWaterloo65-59
06/01/19HLakehead91-87 OT
Waterloolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19HLakehead77-125
02/02/19HLakehead64-75
27/01/19HMcMaster79-81
26/01/19HLaurier70-99
19/01/19AWestern81-95
17/01/19AWindsor85-100
13/01/19HBrock81-94
10/01/19HGuelph59-65
06/01/19AAlgoma78-80
05/01/19AAlgoma90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game78.681.476.0
Allowed / game84.785.484.0
Point differential-6.1-4.0-8.0
Avg total163.2166.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Waterloo
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %15%18%11%
Points / game73.871.976.2
Allowed / game87.886.090.0
Point differential-13.9-14.1-13.8
Avg total161.7157.9166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Calgary20200100%88.566.0+22.5
2 Saint Marys16160100%87.372.1+15.2
3 Carleton2019195%91.058.8+32.2
4 TMU2019195%87.461.5+25.9
5 UBC2017385%93.574.8+18.8
6 Concordia1310377%81.875.1+6.7
7 Laurier2116576%84.578.1+6.4
8 Alberta2015575%84.872.5+12.3
9 Regina2115671%87.680.4+7.2
10 Brock2014670%88.078.5+9.6
11 UNB1611569%84.178.2+5.9
12 Winnipeg2114767%91.884.4+7.3
13 UFV2114767%78.875.0+3.8
14 Western2013765%76.275.2+0.9
15 Lethbridge2113862%95.079.5+15.4
16 University of Ottawa2113862%80.174.2+5.9
17 Dalhousie159660%76.973.5+3.4
18 Laurentian2012860%84.881.5+3.4
19 Queens2011955%76.575.1+1.4
20 Saskatchewan2011955%86.386.8-0.5
21 McGill137654%70.669.2+1.4
22 Victoria21101148%78.378.3-0.0
23 Manitoba21101148%76.078.3-2.4
24 UQAM136746%75.276.5-1.2
25 UNBC2191243%78.980.7-1.9
26 McMaster2191243%80.584.3-3.8
27 Guelph2191243%78.684.7-6.1
28 Laval125742%73.375.8-2.4
29 Cape Breton1771041%83.083.5-0.5
30 Memorial156940%78.378.2+0.1
31 Lakehead2181338%78.782.0-3.3
32 Mount Royal2181338%80.288.6-8.4
33 StFX1761135%79.884.8-5.1
34 Toronto2071335%72.985.5-12.6
35 UBC Okanagan2071335%70.587.4-16.9
36 York2171433%77.386.8-9.5
37 Bishop's134931%76.581.1-4.6
38 Thompson Rivers2061430%74.881.3-6.5
39 Acadia1751229%74.780.7-6.0
40 Algoma2161529%75.685.1-9.5
41 Windsor2161529%69.983.8-13.9
42 UPEI1541127%70.383.1-12.9
43 Brandon2041620%83.592.4-8.9
44 Waterloo2031715%73.887.8-13.9
45 Nipissing2021810%69.881.2-11.4
46 MacEwan201195%73.092.8-19.8
47 Trinity Western200200%73.296.3-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph1516233185
Waterloo1623182279
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