Waverley vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jul 2019

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 83-73

25-20 14-21 20-12 24-20

Position#10

Record9-8

FormLWLLW

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game89.9

Waverley 🏆

Knox

Position#13

Record7-11

FormLWWLL

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game83.6

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Waverley v Knox

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Knox winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Waverley

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

96-69

+27

H12/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

89-86

A18/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

67-95

-28

H25/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

68-101

101

-33

H02/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

97-78

+19

H16/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

94-99

-5

A22/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

101-94 OT

101

A23/06

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

77-91

-14

H30/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

82-95

-13

H07/07

NBL 1

Ballarat

90-77

+13

A13/07

NBL 1

31-17

25-19

26-12

14-21

28-27

24-21

23-15

14-23

17-18

25-29

14-26

11-22

15-18

11-32

17-30

25-21

26-26

22-17

28-16

21-19

18-27

30-35

24-16

22-21

24-15

20-14

18-31

24-26

20-19

22-28

25-17

10-27

19-23

23-31

21-15

19-26

23-18

21-21

23-23

23-15

174.6Avg total

86.1Scored

88.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	87.8	89.9	177.7	-2.1	53%
Season at home (10)	82.6	90.3	172.9	-7.7	30%
Season away (7)	95.3	89.3	184.6	+6.0	86%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	88.5	174.6	-2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	91.2	180.0	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	93.8	90.2	184.0	+3.6	80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	86.1	89.6	175.7	-3.5	45%
vs Weaker (1)	77.0	91.0	168.0	-14.0	0%

This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Knox

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#11

80-77

H25/05

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

85-98

-13

A26/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

76-81

-5

H01/06

NBL 1

Kilsyth

77-90

-13

A15/06

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

77-72

H16/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

86-89

-3

A21/06

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

74-61

+13

A22/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

114-97

114

+17

H30/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

66-106

106

-40

H06/07

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

78-80

-2

H13/07

NBL 1

26-17

26-24

15-17

13-19

24-26

19-27

25-26

17-19

13-30

19-14

34-15

10-22

21-14

20-15

21-27

15-34

23-22

14-19

20-17

20-14

28-15

13-22

24-31

21-21

16-16

21-11

24-20

13-14

25-22

24-32

34-21

31-22

17-22

15-40

16-23

18-21

15-15

17-19

23-22

23-24

166.4Avg total

81.3Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.6	83.6	164.1	-3.0	39%
Season at home (10)	78.0	82.8	160.8	-4.8	40%
Season away (8)	83.8	84.5	168.2	-0.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	85.1	166.4	-3.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	86.6	170.2	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	77.0	88.7	165.7	-11.7	11%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	82.1	78.5	160.6	+3.6	62%
vs Weaker (1)	100.0	78.0	178.0	+22.0	100%

This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WaverleyKnox

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.8	21.8	43.6	-0.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (7)	23.9	21.4	45.3	+2.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	20.8	44.4	+2.8	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.5	18%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	44%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.8	24.7	41.4	-7.9	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	21.0	48.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	22.5	24.0	46.5	-1.5	35%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.2	25.0	47.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 away (7)	22.9	22.6	45.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	24.7	47.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	25.8	49.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	23.2	24.4	47.5	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.7	21.1	40.7	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.4	23.7	42.1	-5.3	30%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.3	41.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.8	42.8	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.9	19.8	38.6	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	100%	-

WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

56-36

+20

H12/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

52-48

A18/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

42-47

-5

H25/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

26-50

-24

H02/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

48-43

H16/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

48-62

-14

A22/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

44-29

+15

A23/06

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

42-47

-5

H30/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

42-54

-12

H07/07

NBL 1

Ballarat

44-39

A13/07

NBL 1

89.9Avg total

44.4Scored

45.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	44.2	45.8	90.1	-1.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	42.5	47.1	89.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 30 away (7)	46.7	44.0	90.7	+2.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	45.5	89.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	46.2	90.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.6	43.2	87.8	+1.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	44.3	46.9	91.2	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	47.0	89.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#11

52-41

+11

H25/05

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

43-53

-10

A26/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

32-44

-12

H01/06

NBL 1

Kilsyth

41-29

+12

A15/06

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

37-41

-4

H16/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

41-37

A21/06

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

37-27

+10

A22/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

49-54

-5

H30/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

32-62

-30

H06/07

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

32-34

-2

H13/07

NBL 1

81.8Avg total

39.6Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	39.4	42.6	81.9	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	37.2	44.9	82.1	-7.7	10%	-
Last 30 away (8)	42.1	39.6	81.8	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.2	81.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	42.8	81.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.6	47.4	84.0	-10.9	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	52.0	37.0	89.0	+15.0	100%	-

This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	22.7	22.6	45.3	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	17.0	42.0	+8.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	21.4	21.2	42.7	+0.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.9	45.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.4	47.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (7)	23.7	21.6	45.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	24.2	46.2	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.5	20.1	40.5	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	27.0	37.0	-17.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.6	21.2	41.9	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.1	20.4	39.6	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	22.0	52.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	41.9	42.5	84.4	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	38.7	41.3	80.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (7)	46.4	44.1	90.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	42.2	82.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.4	85.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	46.2	45.4	91.6	+0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.5	41.0	81.5	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	44.0	79.0	-9.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	41.2	41.0	82.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	40.8	37.9	78.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (8)	41.6	44.9	86.5	-3.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	42.9	84.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	43.8	89.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.4	41.2	81.7	-0.8	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.1	40.8	81.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	48.0	41.0	89.0	+7.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Waverley wins

Knox wins

No previous meetings.

Waverleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/07/19	A	Ballarat	90-77
07/07/19	H	Dandenong	82-95
30/06/19	H	Southern Sabres	77-91
23/06/19	A	Nunawading	101-94 OT
22/06/19	A	Diamond Valley	94-99
16/06/19	H	Ringwood	97-78
02/06/19	H	Kilsyth	68-101
25/05/19	H	BA CoE	67-95
18/05/19	A	Bendigo Braves	89-86
12/05/19	H	BA CoE	96-69

Knoxlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/07/19	H	Bendigo Braves	78-80
06/07/19	H	Nunawading	66-106
30/06/19	H	Ringwood	114-97
22/06/19	A	NW Tasmania	74-61
21/06/19	A	Hobart Huskies	86-89
16/06/19	H	Eltham	77-72
15/06/19	A	Kilsyth	77-90
01/06/19	H	Dandenong	76-81
26/05/19	A	Melbourne Tigers	85-98
25/05/19	H	Diamond Valley	80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	53%
Home	LLWLL	30%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	53%	30%	86%
Points / game	87.8	82.6	95.3
Allowed / game	89.9	90.3	89.3
Point differential	-2.1	-7.7	+6.0
Avg total	177.7	172.9	184.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	20%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	33% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	12%	10%	14%

Knox

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	39%
Home	LWWLL	40%
Away	LLLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	39%	40%	38%
Points / game	80.6	78.0	83.8
Allowed / game	83.6	82.8	84.5
Point differential	-3.0	-4.8	-0.8
Avg total	164.1	160.8	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	20%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	40% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	19	16	3	84%	90.8	75.7	+15.2
2	Nunawading	19	13	6	68%	92.5	84.1	+8.5
3	Frankston	19	13	6	68%	94.1	88.1	+5.9
4	Geelong	19	12	7	63%	81.5	79.5	+2.0
5	Kilsyth	19	11	8	58%	85.4	84.0	+1.4
6	Dandenong	18	10	8	56%	90.9	86.7	+4.2
7	Melbourne Tigers	17	9	8	53%	86.8	85.2	+1.6
8	Waverley	17	9	8	53%	87.8	89.9	-2.1
9	Bendigo Braves	19	10	9	53%	84.6	83.4	+1.2
10	Hobart Huskies	18	9	9	50%	86.2	87.6	-1.4
11	Diamond Valley	19	8	11	42%	86.5	88.5	-2.1
12	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	19	8	11	42%	92.6	95.5	-2.9
13	BA CoE	20	8	12	40%	83.0	86.8	-3.8
14	Knox	18	7	11	39%	80.6	83.6	-3.0
15	NW Tasmania	19	7	12	37%	83.9	87.6	-3.6
16	Eltham	18	6	12	33%	85.8	90.6	-4.8
17	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	89.6	94.5	-4.9
18	Southern Sabres	18	5	13	28%	87.6	99.7	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Waverley	25	14	20	24	83
Knox	20	21	12	20	73

← all games of the day

Waverley vs Knox Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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