Waverley vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jun 2019

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 68-101

15-18 11-32 17-30 25-21

Position#10

Record6-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game88.4

Allowed / game89.3

Waverley

Kilsyth 🏆

Position#7

Record6-5

FormLLLLL

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game84.8

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Waverley v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Waverley

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

107-99

107

A30/03

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

77-80

-3

H31/03

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

89-84

A06/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

84-81

H13/04

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

116-121 OT

116

121

-5

H28/04

NBL 1

Geelong

62-92

-30

H05/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

97-86

+11

A11/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

96-69

+27

H12/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

89-86

A18/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

67-95

-28

H25/05

NBL 1

24-21

17-25

36-22

30-31

18-19

18-22

18-19

23-20

27-18

25-18

12-33

25-15

17-20

30-19

23-22

14-20

23-27

27-32

24-26

28-17

17-34

19-21

12-12

14-25

23-24

23-18

28-20

31-17

25-19

26-12

14-21

28-27

24-21

23-15

14-23

17-18

25-29

14-26

11-22

177.7Avg total

88.4Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	88.4	89.3	177.7	-0.9	60%
Season at home (6)	83.7	89.7	173.3	-6.0	33%
Season away (4)	95.5	88.8	184.2	+6.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	89.3	177.7	-0.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	85.6	167.8	-3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	98.0	92.5	190.5	+5.5	100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	86.0	88.5	174.5	-2.5	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

93-88

H31/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

100-90

100

+10

H13/04

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

92-79

+13

A14/04

NBL 1

Geelong

95-78

+17

A27/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

92-72

+20

H28/04

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

92-106

106

-14

H05/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

71-87

-16

H11/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

90-98

-8

H18/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

86-89

-3

A25/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

74-79

-5

A01/06

NBL 1

30-27

24-19

18-23

21-19

27-28

23-19

31-18

19-25

29-16

30-17

8-31

25-15

28-23

26-25

24-17

17-13

28-22

19-20

17-14

28-16

21-22

21-23

17-26

33-35

23-26

16-18

15-12

17-31

30-29

22-22

24-21

14-26

14-20

31-32

20-19

21-18

15-26

26-24

20-20

13-9

175.1Avg total

88.5Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	86.8	84.8	171.6	+2.0	55%
Season at home (6)	89.7	90.2	179.8	-0.5	50%
Season away (5)	83.4	78.4	161.8	+5.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	88.5	86.6	175.1	+1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	91.8	174.4	-9.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	71.6	82.7	154.3	-11.1	10%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	88.8	86.4	175.2	+2.4	58%
vs Weaker (8)	86.8	80.2	167.0	+6.5	75%

This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WaverleyKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	17%	-
Last 30 away (4)	25.5	22.5	48.0	+3.0	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.6	22.1	43.8	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.9	42.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.1	23.9	45.0	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	21.2	39.7	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	23.9	48.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.6	45.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.1	22.0	39.1	-4.9	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.2	25.2	47.5	-3.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.1	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	23.3	23.0	46.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	24.0	23.7	47.7	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (4)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.0	46.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.8	46.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.1	21.5	44.6	+1.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.9	45.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.8	47.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.8	18.2	42.0	+5.5	62%	-

WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

41-46

-5

A30/03

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

36-41

-5

H31/03

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

52-36

+16

A06/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

47-39

H13/04

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

50-59

-9

H28/04

NBL 1

Geelong

36-55

-19

H05/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

46-48

-2

A11/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

56-36

+20

H12/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

52-48

A18/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

42-47

-5

H25/05

NBL 1

91.3Avg total

45.8Scored

45.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	45.8	45.5	91.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	44.5	46.2	90.7	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (4)	47.8	44.5	92.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	45.5	91.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	46.8	93.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	46.5	47.0	93.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	45.6	45.1	90.8	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

54-46

H31/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

50-47

H13/04

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

59-33

+26

A14/04

NBL 1

Geelong

54-48

A27/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

47-42

H28/04

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

42-45

-3

H05/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

39-44

-5

H11/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

52-51

H18/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

45-52

-7

A25/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

41-50

-9

A01/06

NBL 1

94.1Avg total

48.3Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	43.8	85.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.4	44.6	85.9	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.5	42.8	84.2	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.3	45.8	94.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	48.4	92.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.0	43.6	79.6	-7.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	44.2	47.5	91.8	-3.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.0	38.6	82.6	+5.4	62%	-

This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (4)	23.5	22.0	45.5	+1.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	18.5	48.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.4	41.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.9	19.7	40.7	+1.2	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.3	75%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.1	22.2	41.4	-3.1	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	17.3	20.8	38.2	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (4)	24.2	22.2	46.5	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.2	38.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	27.0	49.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.9	38.6	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.4	20.6	41.9	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.0	16.5	33.5	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.5	19.6	35.1	-4.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	41.2	41.9	83.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	36.8	40.3	77.2	-3.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	47.8	44.2	92.0	+3.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.9	83.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	38.8	74.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	51.5	45.5	97.0	+6.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.6	41.0	79.6	-2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	39.3	79.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.3	40.3	82.6	+2.1	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.5	37.8	75.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	40.8	81.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	43.4	82.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.5	37.9	71.4	-4.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	44.6	38.9	83.5	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.8	41.6	84.4	+1.1	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Waverley wins

Kilsyth wins

No previous meetings.

Waverleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/05/19	H	BA CoE	67-95
18/05/19	A	Bendigo Braves	89-86
12/05/19	H	BA CoE	96-69
11/05/19	A	Ringwood	97-86
05/05/19	H	Geelong	62-92
28/04/19	H	NW Tasmania	116-121 OT
13/04/19	H	Melbourne Tigers	84-81
06/04/19	A	Eltham	89-84
31/03/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	77-80
30/03/19	A	Frankston	107-99

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/19	A	Eltham	74-79
25/05/19	A	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	86-89
18/05/19	H	Diamond Valley	90-98
11/05/19	H	Ballarat	71-87
05/05/19	H	Southern Sabres	92-106
28/04/19	H	Melbourne Tigers	92-72
27/04/19	A	Geelong	95-78
14/04/19	A	Ringwood	92-79
13/04/19	H	Bendigo Braves	100-90
31/03/19	H	BA CoE	93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	60%
Home	WLLWL	33%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	60%	33%	100%
Points / game	88.4	83.7	95.5
Allowed / game	89.3	89.7	88.8
Point differential	-0.9	-6.0	+6.8
Avg total	177.7	173.3	184.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	17%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	33% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	10%	17%	0%

Kilsyth

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	55%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	WWWLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	50%	60%
Points / game	86.8	89.7	83.4
Allowed / game	84.8	90.2	78.4
Point differential	+2.0	-0.5	+5.0
Avg total	171.6	179.8	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	33%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	11	10	1	91%	95.2	74.5	+20.6
2	Nunawading	12	9	3	75%	91.7	80.9	+10.8
3	Geelong	14	9	5	64%	83.0	79.9	+3.1
4	Melbourne Tigers	11	7	4	64%	84.9	84.0	+0.9
5	Waverley	10	6	4	60%	88.4	89.3	-0.9
6	Kilsyth	11	6	5	55%	86.8	84.8	+2.0
7	Dandenong	13	7	6	54%	86.9	83.0	+3.9
8	BA CoE	14	7	7	50%	83.0	82.6	+0.4
9	Frankston	12	6	6	50%	89.6	90.1	-0.5
10	Bendigo Braves	13	6	7	46%	83.9	82.4	+1.5
11	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	11	5	6	45%	90.4	95.7	-5.4
12	Hobart Huskies	12	5	7	42%	88.5	91.4	-2.9
13	NW Tasmania	12	5	7	42%	87.3	91.2	-3.9
14	Eltham	12	5	7	42%	86.8	90.8	-4.0
15	Diamond Valley	13	5	8	38%	84.9	88.2	-3.2
16	Knox	11	4	7	36%	79.8	82.6	-2.8
17	Ringwood	12	4	8	33%	89.5	93.4	-3.9
18	Southern Sabres	12	2	10	17%	83.4	98.8	-15.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Waverley	15	11	17	25	68
Kilsyth	18	32	30	21	101

← all games of the day

Waverley vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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