Waverley vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jun 2019

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 77-91

20-19 22-28 25-17 10-27

Position#10

Record8-6

FormLLWLW

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game90.4

Waverley

Southern Sabres 🏆

Position#18

Record3-12

FormLLWLL

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game100.7

NBL 1

Other2019

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Waverley

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#14

116-121 OT

116

121

-5

H28/04

NBL 1

Geelong

62-92

-30

H05/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

97-86

+11

A11/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

96-69

+27

H12/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

89-86

A18/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

67-95

-28

H25/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

68-101

101

-33

H02/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

97-78

+19

H16/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

94-99

-5

A22/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

101-94 OT

101

A23/06

NBL 1

23-27

27-32

24-26

28-17

17-34

19-21

12-12

14-25

23-24

23-18

28-20

31-17

25-19

26-12

14-21

28-27

24-21

23-15

14-23

17-18

25-29

14-26

11-22

15-18

11-32

17-30

25-21

26-26

22-17

28-16

21-19

18-27

30-35

24-16

22-21

24-15

20-14

18-31

24-26

180.8Avg total

88.7Scored

92.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	88.9	90.4	179.2	-1.5	57%
Season at home (8)	83.4	89.6	173.0	-6.2	38%
Season away (6)	96.2	91.3	187.5	+4.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	88.7	92.1	180.8	-3.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	93.4	178.8	-8.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	99.0	93.0	192.0	+6.0	100%
vs Similar (11)	86.1	89.6	175.7	-3.5	45%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

101-113 OT

101

113

-12

A04/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

106-92

106

+14

A05/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

91-116

116

-25

H11/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

73-96

-23

A18/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

80-97

-17

H19/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

66-100

100

-34

H26/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

73-100

100

-27

A01/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

138-130 OT

138

130

A15/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

84-107

107

-23

H22/06

NBL 1

Geelong

78-89

-11

H29/06

NBL 1

24-21

14-26

29-25

30-25

22-21

23-21

26-17

35-33

26-31

28-31

24-25

13-29

15-24

20-25

22-24

16-23

26-22

24-20

15-32

15-23

19-28

15-29

11-22

21-21

17-34

21-20

16-21

19-25

30-29

26-26

29-15

24-39

18-22

21-28

21-27

24-30

19-20

22-25

21-24

16-20

193.0Avg total

89.0Scored

104.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	86.7	100.7	187.5	-14.0	20%
Season at home (8)	83.4	99.5	182.9	-16.1	12%
Season away (7)	90.6	102.1	192.7	-11.6	29%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	104.0	193.0	-15.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	105.2	193.0	-17.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	85.3	97.1	182.4	-11.8	23%
vs Similar (3)	93.0	89.0	182.0	+4.0	33%
vs Weaker (5)	89.0	75.4	164.4	+13.6	80%

This opponent (Waverley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WaverleySouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	36%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	12%	-
Last 30 away (6)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.3	45.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.3	21.0	46.3	+4.3	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.5	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	23.9	45.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	23.6	46.4	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	24.2	45.4	-3.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	25.2	46.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	26.6	47.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.3	25.1	46.4	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	25.7	48.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.8	17.6	42.4	+7.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	22.6	23.4	46.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	22.1	23.9	46.0	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (6)	23.2	22.8	46.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	24.4	47.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.4	47.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.2	24.4	47.5	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	22.3	44.4	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	25.1	46.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	25.6	46.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.5	23.2	43.6	-2.7	41%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-

WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#14

50-59

-9

H28/04

NBL 1

Geelong

36-55

-19

H05/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

46-48

-2

A11/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

56-36

+20

H12/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

52-48

A18/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

42-47

-5

H25/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

26-50

-24

H02/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

48-43

H16/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

48-62

-14

A22/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

44-29

+15

A23/06

NBL 1

92.5Avg total

44.8Scored

47.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	44.6	45.6	90.2	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	42.6	46.2	88.9	-3.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (6)	47.2	44.8	92.0	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	47.7	92.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	46.2	87.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.7	41.0	86.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	44.3	46.9	91.2	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

38-47

-9

A04/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

45-42

A05/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

54-62

-8

H11/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

35-49

-14

A18/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

50-42

H19/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

34-57

-23

H26/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

38-54

-16

A01/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

56-55

A15/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

39-50

-11

H22/06

NBL 1

Geelong

41-45

-4

H29/06

NBL 1

93.3Avg total

43.0Scored

50.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	46.2	88.8	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	45.9	90.9	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.8	46.6	86.4	-6.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	50.3	93.3	-7.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	52.2	93.8	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	41.7	48.3	90.0	-6.5	23%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.0	43.7	87.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.4	80%	-

This opponent (Waverley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	21.3	21.3	42.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (6)	22.7	22.5	45.2	+0.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.7	22.7	48.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	22.4	43.2	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.2	44.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	45%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.7	23.3	48.0	+1.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (6)	23.8	22.7	46.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	26.7	49.3	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	20.1	40.5	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	23.7	45.0	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	22.5	45.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	25.0	44.9	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	26.8	48.1	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	27.0	47.8	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.8	25.0	45.7	-4.2	32%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	22.0	46.3	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	42.2	42.8	85.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (6)	46.5	45.2	91.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	41.7	82.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	45.6	86.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	48.3	49.3	97.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.5	41.0	81.5	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	45.2	88.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	44.9	88.4	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.5	45.6	88.1	-3.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	50.0	92.7	-7.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	48.8	89.2	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	42.1	47.1	89.2	-5.0	23%	-
vs Similar (3)	49.0	45.3	94.3	+3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.8	36.6	80.4	+7.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Waverley wins

Southern Sabres wins

No previous meetings.

Waverleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/06/19	A	Nunawading	101-94 OT
22/06/19	A	Diamond Valley	94-99
16/06/19	H	Ringwood	97-78
02/06/19	H	Kilsyth	68-101
25/05/19	H	BA CoE	67-95
18/05/19	A	Bendigo Braves	89-86
12/05/19	H	BA CoE	96-69
11/05/19	A	Ringwood	97-86
05/05/19	H	Geelong	62-92
28/04/19	H	NW Tasmania	116-121 OT

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/06/19	H	Geelong	78-89
22/06/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	84-107
15/06/19	A	Dandenong	138-130 OT
01/06/19	A	Bendigo Braves	73-100
26/05/19	H	Ballarat	66-100
19/05/19	H	Eltham	80-97
18/05/19	A	Ringwood	73-96
11/05/19	H	Nunawading	91-116
05/05/19	A	Kilsyth	106-92
04/05/19	A	Melbourne Tigers	101-113 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	57%
Home	LWLLW	38%
Away	WWWLW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	57%	38%	83%
Points / game	88.9	83.4	96.2
Allowed / game	90.4	89.6	91.3
Point differential	-1.5	-6.2	+4.8
Avg total	179.2	173.0	187.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	25%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	33% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	14%	12%	17%

Southern Sabres

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	20%
Home	LLLLL	12%
Away	LWLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	20%	12%	29%
Points / game	86.7	83.4	90.6
Allowed / game	100.7	99.5	102.1
Point differential	-14.0	-16.1	-11.6
Avg total	187.5	182.9	192.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	12%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	13%	0%	29%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	16	14	2	88%	91.4	76.2	+15.2
2	Nunawading	17	12	5	71%	92.4	84.9	+7.4
3	Geelong	17	11	6	65%	81.9	78.6	+3.2
4	Frankston	16	10	6	62%	92.2	89.1	+3.1
5	Kilsyth	15	9	6	60%	88.6	84.0	+4.6
6	Waverley	14	8	6	57%	88.9	90.4	-1.5
7	Melbourne Tigers	16	9	7	56%	86.1	84.3	+1.8
8	Dandenong	16	8	8	50%	89.8	87.2	+2.6
9	Bendigo Braves	16	8	8	50%	85.0	83.1	+1.9
10	Hobart Huskies	15	7	8	47%	87.1	89.3	-2.1
11	Knox	16	7	9	44%	81.6	82.4	-0.8
12	NW Tasmania	16	7	9	44%	84.2	86.5	-2.2
13	Diamond Valley	17	7	10	41%	85.6	88.6	-3.0
14	BA CoE	17	7	10	41%	82.1	85.5	-3.4
15	Eltham	16	6	10	38%	86.7	89.4	-2.7
16	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	16	6	10	38%	92.1	97.3	-5.2
17	Ringwood	17	5	12	29%	90.3	96.0	-5.7
18	Southern Sabres	15	3	12	20%	86.7	100.7	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Waverley	20	22	25	10	77
Southern Sabres	19	28	17	27	91

← all games of the day

Waverley vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature