Melbourne Tigers vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2019

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 113-101 (OT)

21-24 26-14 25-29 25-30 16-4

Position#6

Record2-4

FormWLWLL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game86.3

Melbourne Tigers 🏆

Southern Sabres

Position#18

Record1-4

FormLLLLW

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game94.2

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Southern Sabres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

83-65

+18

H23/07

SEABL

Nunawading

63-79

-16

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

83-110

110

-27

H30/07

SEABL

Bendigo

97-84

+13

H05/08

SEABL

Bendigo Braves

69-73

-4

H31/03

NBL 1

Frankston

102-91

102

+11

H07/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

81-84

-3

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

83-72

+11

A14/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

66-106

106

-40

A27/04

NBL 1

Kilsyth

72-92

-20

A28/04

NBL 1

18-27

22-12

17-18

26-8

12-18

15-18

17-22

19-21

26-27

18-30

23-26

16-27

26-18

19-17

23-26

29-23

20-26

18-19

17-20

14-8

27-19

14-25

37-22

24-25

20-17

19-30

22-23

20-14

28-24

26-20

11-14

18-14

14-25

18-27

16-23

18-31

22-28

20-19

14-17

16-28

165.5Avg total

79.9Scored

85.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	78.8	86.3	165.2	-7.5	33%
Season at home (2)	85.5	82.0	167.5	+3.5	50%
Season away (4)	75.5	88.5	164.0	-13.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	85.6	165.5	-5.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	89.0	169.8	-8.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	76.5	91.0	167.5	-14.5	23%
vs Similar (7)	77.6	82.1	159.7	-4.6	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	83.0	72.0	155.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

84-86

-2

A21/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

95-72

+23

H22/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

83-98

-15

H29/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

102-81

102

+21

H04/08

SEABL

Geelong

73-88

-15

A13/08

SEABL

Hobart Huskies

80-88

-8

A29/03

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

63-96

-33

A30/03

NBL 1

Dandenong

83-90

-7

H06/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

78-100

100

-22

H13/04

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

107-97

107

+10

H27/04

NBL 1

17-20

15-24

27-21

25-21

25-15

18-22

24-21

28-14

24-30

23-26

10-25

26-17

30-24

24-17

25-19

23-21

20-28

19-16

12-25

22-19

14-18

20-19

24-17

22-34

21-26

14-29

18-20

10-21

14-15

25-24

21-23

23-28

21-27

16-25

19-18

22-30

31-19

27-26

30-21

19-31

174.4Avg total

84.8Scored

89.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	82.2	94.2	176.4	-12.0	20%
Season at home (3)	89.3	95.7	185.0	-6.3	33%
Season away (2)	71.5	92.0	163.5	-20.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	89.6	174.4	-4.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	94.2	176.4	-12.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	81.3	91.6	172.9	-10.2	25%
vs Similar (7)	83.3	83.9	167.1	-0.6	43%
vs Weaker (7)	86.7	74.9	161.6	+11.9	71%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne TigersSouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.7	43.4	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	22.6	44.1	-1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	23.0	43.1	-2.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	28.0	24.0	52.0	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	22.5	45.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	22.3	41.3	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.2	43.9	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.4	24.5	44.9	-4.1	19%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.9	17.4	40.3	+5.4	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	22.1	39.5	-4.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	22.2	41.2	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.2	43.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.0	22.8	40.9	-4.8	23%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.6	20.6	38.1	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.8	40.7	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.5	41.3	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.1	40.1	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.8	42.9	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.6	45.0	-4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.1	20.1	40.3	+0.0	43%	-

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

40-39

H23/07

SEABL

Nunawading

27-36

-9

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

44-57

-13

H30/07

SEABL

Bendigo

45-35

+10

H05/08

SEABL

Bendigo Braves

38-45

-7

H31/03

NBL 1

Frankston

41-44

-3

H07/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

39-47

-8

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

54-44

+10

A14/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

32-52

-20

A27/04

NBL 1

Kilsyth

42-47

-5

A28/04

NBL 1

84.8Avg total

40.2Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	44.9	83.8	-6.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	44.8	83.6	-6.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	45.1	84.0	-6.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	44.6	84.8	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	46.8	88.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	38.5	45.4	84.0	-6.9	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.7	43.6	81.3	-5.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	54.0	44.0	98.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

32-44

-12

A21/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

43-37

H22/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

47-56

-9

H29/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

54-41

+13

H04/08

SEABL

Geelong

39-44

-5

A13/08

SEABL

Hobart Huskies

34-37

-3

A29/03

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

35-55

-20

A30/03

NBL 1

Dandenong

39-39

H06/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

37-52

-15

H13/04

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

58-45

+13

H27/04

NBL 1

86.8Avg total

41.8Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	43.2	84.0	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	43.0	86.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	43.5	81.3	-5.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	45.0	86.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	45.6	86.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.9	46.2	86.1	-6.3	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.7	42.1	82.9	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.0	37.6	80.6	+5.4	71%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	22.4	39.4	-5.3	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.4	23.5	41.9	-5.1	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	11.0	14.0	25.0	-3.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.7	22.3	44.0	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	22.9	44.3	-1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	23.8	43.9	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	27%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	18.0	14.0	32.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.9	40.0	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	28.8	48.0	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.8	23.1	42.8	-3.3	44%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	43.4	81.5	-5.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.3	40.1	79.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	46.2	83.3	-9.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	41.0	80.7	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.2	81.4	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	38.0	45.6	83.6	-7.6	23%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.9	38.6	78.4	+1.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	29.0	28.0	57.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	42.6	84.9	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	41.2	86.4	+4.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	44.1	83.3	-4.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	44.6	87.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	48.6	90.2	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	41.4	45.4	86.8	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.6	41.7	84.3	+0.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.7	37.3	81.0	+6.4	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers wins

Southern Sabres wins

Date	Game	Score
28/05/17	Southern Sabres v Melbourne Tigers	97-67
01/04/17	Melbourne Tigers v Southern Sabres	69-68
24/04/16	Melbourne Tigers v Southern Sabres	73-76

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/19	A	Kilsyth	72-92
27/04/19	A	Dandenong	66-106
14/04/19	A	Knox	83-72
13/04/19	A	Waverley	81-84
07/04/19	H	Frankston	102-91
31/03/19	H	Bendigo Braves	69-73
05/08/17	H	Bendigo	97-84
30/07/17	H	Mt Gambier	83-110
29/07/17	A	Nunawading	63-79
23/07/17	H	BA CoE	83-65

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/19	H	Hobart Huskies	107-97
13/04/19	H	Knox	78-100
06/04/19	H	Dandenong	83-90
30/03/19	A	NW Tasmania	63-96
29/03/19	A	Hobart Huskies	80-88
13/08/17	A	Geelong	73-88
04/08/17	H	Canberra	102-81
29/07/17	H	Hobart Chargers	83-98
22/07/17	H	BA CoE	95-72
21/07/17	A	Geelong	84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	33%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	33%	50%	25%
Points / game	78.8	85.5	75.5
Allowed / game	86.3	82.0	88.5
Point differential	-7.5	+3.5	-13.0
Avg total	165.2	167.5	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Southern Sabres

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	20%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Points / game	82.2	89.3	71.5
Allowed / game	94.2	95.7	92.0
Point differential	-12.0	-6.3	-20.5
Avg total	176.4	185.0	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kilsyth	6	6	0	100%	90.3	79.0	+11.3
2	Ballarat	4	4	0	100%	89.5	78.5	+11.0
3	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	4	3	1	75%	99.5	88.0	+11.5
4	Nunawading	6	4	2	67%	89.7	79.5	+10.2
5	Dandenong	6	4	2	67%	87.2	79.7	+7.5
6	NW Tasmania	5	3	2	60%	94.8	91.8	+3.0
7	Waverley	5	3	2	60%	94.6	93.0	+1.6
8	Bendigo Braves	7	4	3	57%	84.4	81.7	+2.7
9	BA CoE	7	4	3	57%	88.6	86.3	+2.3
10	Geelong	6	3	3	50%	80.7	80.2	+0.5
11	Ringwood	4	2	2	50%	99.0	99.2	-0.2
12	Frankston	6	2	4	33%	83.3	87.8	-4.5
13	Melbourne Tigers	6	2	4	33%	78.8	86.3	-7.5
14	Knox	5	1	4	20%	75.8	81.8	-6.0
15	Diamond Valley	5	1	4	20%	84.8	94.2	-9.4
16	Eltham	5	1	4	20%	86.0	98.0	-12.0
17	Southern Sabres	5	1	4	20%	82.2	94.2	-12.0
18	Hobart Huskies	6	1	5	17%	85.5	94.7	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Melbourne Tigers	21	26	25	25	16	113
Southern Sabres	24	14	29	30	4	101

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature