Weber Bahia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 May 2016

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 76-59

18-12 16-19 11-13 31-15

Position#5

Record35-28

FormWWWLW

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game78.2

Weber Bahia 🏆

Penarol

Position#4

Record33-26

FormWLLWL

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game82.7

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Weber Bahia v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Weber Bahia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Weber Bahia Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

75-76

-1

H23/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

90-77

+13

H01/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

57-73

-16

H07/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

72-67

H08/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

80-95

-15

A12/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

69-67

A14/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

80-75

H16/05

Liga A

Penarol

90-82

A20/05

Liga A

Penarol

67-77

-10

A22/05

Liga A

Penarol

87-76

+11

H25/05

Liga A

20-27

13-26

24-15

18-8

23-17

17-17

20-28

30-15

10-19

12-14

23-23

12-17

24-19

12-16

22-18

14-14

16-26

16-19

23-31

25-19

20-10

16-24

14-10

19-23

18-23

15-19

22-15

25-18

24-13

10-27

25-20

31-22

16-17

19-17

12-21

20-22

23-17

18-19

22-18

24-22

153.2Avg total

76.7Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (63)	76.1	78.2	154.2	-2.1	56%
Season at home (31)	78.3	75.6	153.9	+2.7	77%
Season away (32)	73.9	80.7	154.6	-6.8	34%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	76.5	153.2	+0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	75.4	154.0	+3.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	80.2	76.5	156.8	+3.8	75%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	78.2	77.6	155.8	+0.6	69%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

98-93

H13/04

Liga A

Olimpico

61-73

-12

A16/04

Liga A

Quimsa

97-92

A18/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

76-75

A23/04

Liga A

Argentino

#16

69-80

-11

A26/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

100-89

100

+11

H29/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

78-81

-3

A01/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

82-90

-8

H20/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

77-67

+10

H22/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

76-87

-11

A25/05

Liga A

22-24

24-25

33-17

19-27

9-22

19-14

20-18

13-19

23-18

20-24

30-19

24-31

27-20

26-13

15-24

8-18

18-22

20-20

16-17

15-21

22-21

21-19

26-19

31-30

21-17

16-14

23-30

18-20

13-24

27-10

20-25

22-31

17-16

17-19

21-12

22-20

17-23

19-18

18-22

22-24

164.1Avg total

81.4Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (59)	83.5	82.7	166.2	+0.8	56%
Season at home (30)	88.2	82.7	170.9	+5.5	70%
Season away (29)	78.6	82.8	161.3	-4.2	41%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	82.7	164.1	-1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	82.8	165.4	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	92.0	95.0	187.0	-3.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	84.3	82.0	166.2	+2.3	62%
vs Weaker (2)	97.5	102.0	199.5	-4.5	0%

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Weber BahiaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.1	38.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	18.9	37.9	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	19.4	38.5	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	17.2	36.8	+2.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	18.9	40.4	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	16.5	43.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.8	19.8	34.6	-5.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	17.4	19.3	36.8	-1.9	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	18.8	42.1	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.6	38.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	20.5	43.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.5	17.9	39.3	+3.6	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-

Weber BahiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

33-53

-20

H23/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-34

H01/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

22-33

-11

H07/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

36-35

H08/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

32-45

-13

A12/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

36-34

A14/05

Liga A

Argentino

#16

33-42

-9

H16/05

Liga A

Penarol

34-40

-6

A20/05

Liga A

Penarol

35-34

A22/05

Liga A

Penarol

41-36

H25/05

Liga A

72.8Avg total

34.2Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	38.2	74.6	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.2	36.9	73.2	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.7	39.8	76.5	-3.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	38.6	72.8	-4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.2	73.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	34.2	71.0	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	36.4	38.8	75.2	-2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

46-49

-3

H13/04

Liga A

Olimpico

28-36

-8

A16/04

Liga A

Quimsa

43-42

A18/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

53-33

+20

A23/04

Liga A

Argentino

#16

38-42

-4

A26/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

43-40

H29/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

37-31

A01/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

40-34

H20/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

34-35

-1

H22/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

36-41

-5

A25/05

Liga A

78.1Avg total

39.8Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	38.2	80.0	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	37.7	82.5	+7.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	38.9	77.1	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	38.3	78.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.2	74.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.5	43.0	85.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	41.3	37.9	79.2	+3.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	37.5	85.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	22.5	40.2	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.5	19.4	40.0	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.3	42.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	27.5	47.5	-7.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	22.1	21.7	43.8	+0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	24.5	47.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.5	41.3	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.8	19.8	45.5	+6.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	24.1	45.9	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.9	40.1	-1.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	24.1	43.5	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	24.5	54.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.8	21.7	41.4	-1.9	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	33.0	55.0	-11.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	39.3	81.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.2	37.6	80.8	+5.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	41.5	82.0	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	37.9	80.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.2	81.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	43.5	42.2	85.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	41.8	38.8	80.7	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	44.9	87.4	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	47.5	92.1	-2.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	41.9	82.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	44.4	86.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	46.6	91.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.5	52.0	101.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	41.8	43.3	85.2	-1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.0	57.5	102.5	-12.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Weber Bahia wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
25/05/16	Weber Bahia v Penarol	87-76
22/05/16	Penarol v Weber Bahia	77-67
20/05/16	Penarol v Weber Bahia	82-90
23/04/16	Weber Bahia v Penarol	75-76
07/12/15	Penarol v Weber Bahia	67-63
18/11/15	Weber Bahia v Penarol	76-68
07/10/15	Penarol v Weber Bahia	101-86
01/06/15	Penarol v Weber Bahia	69-67
29/05/15	Weber Bahia v Penarol	84-71
27/05/15	Weber Bahia v Penarol	88-79

Weber Bahialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/05/16	H	Penarol	87-76
22/05/16	A	Penarol	67-77
20/05/16	A	Penarol	90-82
16/05/16	H	Argentino	80-75
14/05/16	A	Argentino	69-67
12/05/16	A	Argentino	80-95
08/05/16	H	Argentino	72-67
07/05/16	H	Argentino	57-73
01/05/16	H	Gimnasia	90-77
23/04/16	H	Penarol	75-76

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/05/16	A	Weber Bahia	76-87
22/05/16	H	Weber Bahia	77-67
20/05/16	H	Weber Bahia	82-90
01/05/16	A	Quilmes	78-81
29/04/16	H	Gimnasia	100-89
26/04/16	A	Argentino	69-80
23/04/16	A	Weber Bahia	76-75
18/04/16	A	Quimsa	97-92
16/04/16	A	Olimpico	61-73
13/04/16	H	San Martin	98-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Weber Bahia

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	56%
Home	WLWWW	77%
Away	WLWWL	34%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	63	31	32
Win %	56%	77%	34%
Points / game	76.1	78.3	73.9
Allowed / game	78.2	75.6	80.7
Point differential	-2.1	+2.7	-6.8
Avg total	154.2	153.9	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	29%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	85% (20)	92% (13)	71% (7)
Overtime %	2%	0%	3%

Penarol

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	56%
Home	WWWLW	70%
Away	WWLLL	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	59	30	29
Win %	56%	70%	41%
Points / game	83.5	88.2	78.6
Allowed / game	82.7	82.7	82.8
Point differential	+0.8	+5.5	-4.2
Avg total	166.2	170.9	161.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	37%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	59% (17)	56% (9)	62% (8)
Overtime %	8%	13%	3%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	59	38	21	64%	82.5	78.2	+4.3
2	Gimnasia	60	34	26	57%	82.7	77.6	+5.1
3	La Union	60	34	26	57%	80.3	78.0	+2.4
4	San Lorenzo	62	35	27	56%	83.3	80.0	+3.3
5	Penarol	59	33	26	56%	83.5	82.7	+0.8
6	Weber Bahia	63	35	28	56%	76.1	78.2	-2.1
7	Libertad	64	35	29	55%	81.9	81.3	+0.5
8	Quimsa	58	31	27	53%	80.8	77.5	+3.3
9	Regatas	62	31	31	50%	80.2	79.2	+1.0
10	San Martin	61	30	31	49%	85.5	84.0	+1.5
11	Estudiantes	56	27	29	48%	75.0	79.5	-4.5
12	Obras Sanitarias	59	28	31	47%	83.1	84.1	-1.1
13	Lanus	58	27	31	47%	80.3	81.2	-0.8
14	Atenas	56	26	30	46%	77.2	78.6	-1.3
15	Ferro	56	26	30	46%	77.1	78.4	-1.3
16	Argentino	60	27	33	45%	77.6	79.3	-1.7
17	Quilmes	56	25	31	45%	81.4	82.4	-1.0
18	Boca Juniors	56	25	31	45%	78.8	80.5	-1.7
19	Instituto de Cordoba	56	23	33	41%	76.1	78.6	-2.6
20	Sionista	59	20	39	34%	76.1	81.1	-5.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Weber Bahia	18	16	11	31	76
Penarol	12	19	13	15	59

← all games of the day

Weber Bahia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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