Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 92-97

18-23 24-20 19-30 31-24

Position#8

Record29-20

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game76.5

Quimsa

Penarol 🏆

Position#4

Record29-22

FormLWWWL

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game82.7

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Quimsa v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

95-99 OT

-4

A16/03

Liga A

Regatas

91-73

+18

H19/03

Liga A

Argentino

#16

76-70

A23/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

87-59

+28

A24/03

Liga A

Ferro

#15

57-75

-18

A27/03

Liga A

Olimpico

89-77

+12

H31/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

114-78

114

+36

A03/04

Liga A

Libertad

59-60

-1

A06/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-61

+26

H14/04

Liga A

Libertad

79-56

+23

H16/04

Liga A

29-17

17-19

19-28

20-21

19-14

17-13

28-19

27-27

20-15

21-17

15-24

20-14

16-9

21-10

26-19

24-21

15-12

8-24

17-22

17-17

21-25

18-19

22-15

28-18

29-14

32-24

31-20

22-20

18-20

11-11

16-11

14-18

20-18

23-14

27-17

17-12

18-15

17-18

20-14

24-9

154.2Avg total

83.4Scored

70.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (49)	81.2	76.5	157.6	+4.7	59%
Season at home (26)	85.5	75.5	161.0	+10.1	85%
Season away (23)	76.2	77.6	153.8	-1.4	30%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	70.8	154.2	+12.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	66.4	152.0	+19.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	79.0	74.4	153.4	+4.6	57%
vs Weaker (16)	82.8	72.8	155.6	+10.0	69%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#20

114-118 OT

114

118

-4

H13/03

Liga A

Olimpico

81-85

-4

H16/03

Liga A

Ferro

#15

70-75

-5

H19/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

79-65

+14

A23/03

Liga A

Regatas

75-73

A25/03

Liga A

La Union

74-88

-14

A27/03

Liga A

Regatas

73-70

H03/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

102-96 OT

102

H09/04

Liga A

San Martin

#10

98-93

H13/04

Liga A

Olimpico

61-73

-12

A16/04

Liga A

28-14

21-23

22-30

33-37

18-23

29-17

16-28

18-17

18-15

20-20

17-20

15-20

19-21

19-18

26-12

15-14

11-22

15-12

29-12

20-27

22-19

21-19

15-32

16-18

13-18

18-12

21-17

21-23

22-18

29-25

18-24

19-21

22-24

24-25

33-17

19-27

9-22

19-14

20-18

13-19

166.3Avg total

82.7Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (51)	83.7	82.7	166.5	+1.0	57%
Season at home (27)	88.4	82.8	171.2	+5.7	70%
Season away (24)	78.5	82.7	161.2	-4.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	83.6	166.3	-0.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	84.0	165.6	-2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	84.0	101.0	185.0	-17.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (25)	85.3	83.2	168.5	+2.1	60%
vs Weaker (4)	89.5	90.5	180.0	-1.0	25%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuimsaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	16.6	35.7	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	15.9	36.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	88%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	18.6	41.3	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	20.3	20.0	40.2	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	16.5	40.0	+7.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.1	16.6	33.7	+0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	18.4	42.2	+5.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	72%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	19.5	42.8	+3.8	75%	-

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

46-36

+10

A16/03

Liga A

Regatas

36-27

H19/03

Liga A

Argentino

#16

41-32

A23/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

37-19

+18

A24/03

Liga A

Ferro

#15

23-36

-13

A27/03

Liga A

Olimpico

39-44

-5

H31/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

61-38

+23

A03/04

Liga A

Libertad

29-31

-2

A06/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

43-32

+11

H14/04

Liga A

Libertad

35-33

H16/04

Liga A

71.8Avg total

39.0Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	34.4	71.8	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	33.2	69.7	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	35.5	73.9	+2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	32.8	71.8	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	35.6	77.0	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	35.6	34.8	70.4	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.1	34.0	73.1	+5.1	69%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#20

49-37

+12

H13/03

Liga A

Olimpico

47-40

H16/03

Liga A

Ferro

#15

38-35

H19/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

38-39

-1

A23/03

Liga A

Regatas

26-34

-8

A25/03

Liga A

La Union

43-38

A27/03

Liga A

Regatas

31-30

H03/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

51-43

H09/04

Liga A

San Martin

#10

46-49

-3

H13/04

Liga A

Olimpico

28-36

-8

A16/04

Liga A

77.8Avg total

39.7Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	37.9	80.7	+5.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	37.0	83.6	+9.6	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	38.9	77.5	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.1	77.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	39.2	79.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	42.0	46.0	88.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	42.3	37.8	80.1	+4.4	68%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.8	36.0	82.8	+10.8	100%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	18.1	41.4	+5.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.4	38.6	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.8	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.7	44.3	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	24.0	46.5	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	36.0	50.0	-22.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	22.0	22.1	44.0	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	19.5	41.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.4	36.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.8	18.4	41.1	+4.4	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	23.2	43.1	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	23.7	45.0	-2.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	19.0	47.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.7	28%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	28.0	46.8	-9.2	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	38.3	81.3	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	35.7	80.9	+9.6	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	36.6	80.0	+6.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	30.8	75.0	+13.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.7	38.6	81.3	+4.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.2	38.1	81.4	+5.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	45.8	87.4	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	47.7	91.5	-3.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	43.7	82.8	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	43.3	83.9	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	43.2	82.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	42.0	55.0	97.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	41.8	44.6	86.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.2	51.0	91.2	-10.8	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quimsa wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
01/03/16	Penarol v Quimsa	89-95
23/04/15	Quimsa v Penarol	97-74
11/02/15	Penarol v Quimsa	62-87
18/12/14	Quimsa v Penarol	81-66
10/02/14	Quimsa v Penarol	69-93
04/02/14	Penarol v Quimsa	97-85
21/12/13	Quimsa v Penarol	76-82
07/04/13	Quimsa v Penarol	77-81
05/04/13	Quimsa v Penarol	88-77
01/04/13	Penarol v Quimsa	70-67

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/16	H	Libertad	79-56
14/04/16	H	Gimnasia	87-61
06/04/16	A	Libertad	59-60
03/04/16	A	Estudiantes	114-78
31/03/16	H	Olimpico	89-77
27/03/16	A	Ferro	57-75
24/03/16	A	Boca Juniors	87-59
23/03/16	A	Argentino	76-70
19/03/16	H	Regatas	91-73
16/03/16	A	San Martin	95-99 OT

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/16	A	Olimpico	61-73
13/04/16	H	San Martin	98-93
09/04/16	H	Quilmes	102-96 OT
03/04/16	H	Regatas	73-70
27/03/16	A	La Union	74-88
25/03/16	A	Regatas	75-73
23/03/16	A	San Martin	79-65
19/03/16	H	Ferro	70-75
16/03/16	H	Olimpico	81-85
13/03/16	H	Sionista	114-118 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	59%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	WWLWL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	49	26	23
Win %	59%	85%	30%
Points / game	81.2	85.5	76.2
Allowed / game	76.5	75.5	77.6
Point differential	+4.7	+10.1	-1.4
Avg total	157.6	161.0	153.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	46%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (14)	50% (4)	20% (10)
Overtime %	4%	4%	4%

Penarol

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	57%
Home	LLWWW	70%
Away	LWWLL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	51	27	24
Win %	57%	70%	42%
Points / game	83.7	88.4	78.5
Allowed / game	82.7	82.8	82.7
Point differential	+1.0	+5.7	-4.2
Avg total	166.5	171.2	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (14)	56% (9)	60% (5)
Overtime %	10%	15%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	51	35	16	69%	82.7	76.4	+6.3
2	Gimnasia	51	31	20	61%	83.0	76.6	+6.4
3	Quimsa	49	29	20	59%	81.2	76.5	+4.7
4	Penarol	51	29	22	57%	83.7	82.7	+1.0
5	San Lorenzo	51	28	23	55%	84.0	79.9	+4.2
6	La Union	52	28	24	54%	80.2	78.7	+1.6
7	Libertad	52	28	24	54%	81.4	80.1	+1.3
8	Obras Sanitarias	52	28	24	54%	83.8	84.1	-0.3
9	Weber Bahia	52	28	24	54%	76.0	78.7	-2.6
10	Estudiantes	53	26	27	49%	74.8	79.1	-4.3
11	San Martin	51	25	26	49%	85.2	84.5	+0.8
12	Regatas	52	24	28	46%	79.1	79.3	-0.2
13	Atenas	52	23	29	44%	77.0	78.9	-1.9
14	Ferro	52	23	29	44%	77.0	79.1	-2.1
15	Argentino	50	22	28	44%	77.6	80.0	-2.4
16	Quilmes	53	23	30	43%	81.4	82.7	-1.2
17	Instituto de Cordoba	51	22	29	43%	76.2	77.9	-1.6
18	Boca Juniors	51	22	29	43%	78.9	81.2	-2.3
19	Lanus	50	21	29	42%	80.8	82.5	-1.7
20	Sionista	50	18	32	36%	76.4	81.6	-5.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quimsa	18	24	19	31	92
Penarol	23	20	30	24	97

← all games of the day

Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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