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Western Carolina vs Samford Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Postponed
Position#248
Record7-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#298
Record6-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.1
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Western Carolina v Samford
16 Jan 2027
WEST v SAMF
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
WEST74
SAMF88
04 Jan 2025
WEST69
SAMF88
16 Jan 2024
WEST71
SAMF75
01 Feb 2023
WEST77
SAMF85
29 Jan 2022
WEST64
SAMF74
30 Jan 2021
WEST v SAMF
upcoming
26 Feb 2020
WEST109
SAMF78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Samford win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#208
W
104-98 OT
104
98
+6
A12/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#37
L
68-93
68
93
-25
A16/12
NCAA
Charleston
#205
W
76-70 OT
76
70
+6
A19/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A31/12
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A16/01
NCAA
Samford
#298
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H20/01
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A23/01
NCAA
VMI
#170
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
40-40
48-36
40-52
30-43
38-50
38-34
29-33
38-33
40-53
30-43
46-35
25-45
53-37
28-27
20-32
42-45
36-46
37-39
24-48
156.2Avg total
74.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.378.9157.3-0.647%
Season at home (6)78.869.7148.5+9.267%
Season away (9)78.085.1163.1-7.133%
Last 10 (10)74.381.9156.2-7.630%
Last 5 (5)68.279.4147.6-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.881.2151.1-11.48%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.974.5152.4+3.470%
vs Weaker (6)87.773.2160.8+14.583%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#261
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A17/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#330
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A19/12
NCAA
Belhaven
#468
W
133-84
133
84
+49
H22/12
NCAA
VMI
#170
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A07/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
63-87
63
87
-24
H15/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H16/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-47
31-32
39-32
26-31
66-36
67-48
56-37
28-34
49-50
35-44
31-34
37-39
31-36
32-51
40-39
30-43
45-25
37-53
22-25
42-45
156.5Avg total
78.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.678.1158.8+2.543%
Season at home (8)83.877.9161.6+5.950%
Season away (6)76.578.5155.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)78.478.1156.5+0.340%
Last 5 (5)69.478.0147.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)72.985.9158.8-13.017%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.875.4149.2-1.640%
vs Weaker (1)98.073.0171.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: -5.5-5.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: -5.5-5.5
Western CarolinaSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#340
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#208
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#37
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A16/12
NCAA
Charleston
#205
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A19/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A31/12
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A16/01
NCAA
Samford
#298
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A18/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A23/01
NCAA
VMI
#170
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A28/01
NCAA
71.9Avg total
34.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.572.3-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.936.274.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)34.236.770.9-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)34.537.471.9-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.439.872.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.439.674.0-5.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.433.669.0+1.860%-
vs Weaker (6)38.033.371.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#261
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#330
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/12
NCAA
Belhaven
#468
W
66-36
66
36
+30
H22/12
NCAA
VMI
#170
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H31/12
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A03/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A07/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H15/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H16/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H18/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H21/01
NCAA
78.0Avg total
41.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.376.3-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.037.176.1+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)34.641.976.4-7.321%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.178.0+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.831.865.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.241.075.2-6.917%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.433.473.8+7.080%-
vs Weaker (1)54.033.087.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Western Carolina wins
1
Samford wins
DateGameScore
18/01/21Samford v Western Carolina82-78
27/02/20Western Carolina v Samford109-78
06/02/20Samford v Western Carolina70-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/21AVMI61-87
23/01/21AWofford78-91
20/01/21HEast Tennessee St48-59
18/01/21ASamford78-82
16/01/21AMercer76-78
31/12/20AEast Tennessee St78-86
19/12/20ACharleston76-70 OT
16/12/20AVCU Rams68-93
12/12/20AN. Carolina A&T104-98 OT
06/12/20HTennessee Tech76-75 OT
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/21HChattanooga Mocs64-70
18/01/21HWestern Carolina82-78
16/01/21HNC Greensboro70-82
15/01/21HNC Greensboro63-87
07/01/21AChattanooga Mocs68-73
03/01/21AWofford84-94
31/12/20HVMI84-71
22/12/20HBelhaven133-84
19/12/20AKennesaw State65-63
17/12/20ATroy71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %47%67%33%
Points / game78.378.878.0
Allowed / game78.969.785.1
Point differential-0.6+9.2-7.1
Avg total157.3148.5163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %27%17%33%
Samford
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game80.683.876.5
Allowed / game78.177.978.5
Point differential+2.5+5.9-2.0
Avg total158.8161.6155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs1712571%74.870.6+4.2
2 Citadel139469%88.277.0+11.2
3 NC Greensboro1611569%73.767.4+6.3
4 Furman1510567%83.469.6+13.8
5 Mercer1510567%80.574.3+6.2
6 Wofford149564%77.167.0+10.1
7 East Tennessee St149564%69.164.6+4.5
8 VMI179853%81.776.2+5.5
9 Western Carolina157847%78.378.9-0.6
10 Samford146843%80.678.1+2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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