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Western Carolina vs Samford Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#189
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game74.5
Western Carolina
USA
vs
Samford
USA
Position#284
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Western Carolina v Samford
16 Jan 2027
WEST v SAMF
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
WEST74
SAMF88
04 Jan 2025
WEST69
SAMF88
16 Jan 2024
WEST71
SAMF75
01 Feb 2023
WEST77
SAMF85
29 Jan 2022
WEST64
SAMF74
30 Jan 2021
WEST v SAMF
upcoming
26 Feb 2020
WEST109
SAMF78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Samford win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H19/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A08/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A08/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#116
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A03/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#256
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
136-68
136
68
+68
H11/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
46-41
38-30
43-32
33-32
45-42
37-30
49-37
36-35
41-38
38-24
29-45
30-39
42-41
44-40
39-35
75-27
61-41
38-30
30-45
155.9Avg total
83.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.874.5164.2+15.250%
Season at home (2)102.071.5173.5+30.550%
Season away (2)77.577.5155.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)83.972.0155.9+11.970%
Last 5 (5)85.273.4158.6+11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.180.9159.0-2.860%
vs Similar (12)74.882.2157.1-7.417%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)93.066.0159.0+27.075%
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Berry Vikings
#413
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H03/11
NCAA
UNLV
#72
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#39
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
50-46
38-37
30-31
31-34
47-41
41-44
45-45
36-36
44-25
50-41
37-37
46-46
35-40
45-28
42-30
40-45
39-43
34-40
32-50
160.0Avg total
82.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.378.7156.0-1.333%
Season at home (2)76.574.0150.5+2.550%
Season away (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)82.377.7160.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)80.080.0160.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.383.0150.3-15.717%
vs Similar (14)79.178.4157.6+0.743%
vs Weaker (9)83.665.3148.9+18.289%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +1.3+1.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +1.3+1.3
Western CarolinaSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H19/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A08/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#116
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#256
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
75-27
75
27
+48
H11/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/11
NCAA
73.7Avg total
41.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.975.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.933.177.0+10.883%-
Last 30 away (18)36.937.774.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.432.373.7+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.032.077.0+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.436.173.5+1.370%-
vs Similar (12)36.138.874.8-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.031.279.2+16.8100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Berry Vikings
#413
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H03/11
NCAA
UNLV
#72
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#39
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H14/11
NCAA
79.3Avg total
40.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.774.2+0.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.634.675.2+6.144%-
Last 30 away (14)34.039.173.1-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.579.3+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.083.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.339.370.7-8.017%-
vs Similar (14)37.939.177.0-1.329%-
vs Weaker (9)40.332.172.4+8.256%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Carolina wins
10
Samford wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26Western Carolina v Samford74-88
08/01/26Samford v Western Carolina82-77
22/02/25Samford v Western Carolina93-72
04/01/25Western Carolina v Samford69-88
15/02/24Samford v Western Carolina88-62
16/01/24Western Carolina v Samford71-75
02/02/23Western Carolina v Samford77-85
21/01/23Samford v Western Carolina74-65
29/01/22Western Carolina v Samford64-74
08/01/22Samford v Western Carolina85-60
Western Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLipscomb68-75
11/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg136-68
07/11/26AUNC Asheville83-75
03/11/26ANorth Carolina72-80
08/03/26AEast Tennessee St67-69
08/03/26AMercer77-73
28/02/26HFurman86-67
26/02/26HMercer78-74
21/02/26AVMI81-62
19/02/26HNC Greensboro91-77
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWright State66-90
07/11/26AUNLV79-88
03/11/26HBerry Vikings87-58
07/03/26HFurman81-86
28/02/26HNC Greensboro87-78
27/02/26HVMI80-61
21/02/26AMercer86-89
20/02/26ACitadel78-75
14/02/26AEast Tennessee St82-72 OT
12/02/26HWofford97-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game89.8102.077.5
Allowed / game74.571.577.5
Point differential+15.2+30.5+0.0
Avg total164.2173.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.376.579.0
Allowed / game78.774.088.0
Point differential-1.3+2.5-9.0
Avg total156.0150.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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