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Western Illinois vs Central Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 63-61
23-28 40-33
Position#296
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#337
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#176
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A17/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
57-78
57
78
-21
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H08/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A05/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-17
34-44
24-37
33-41
39-33
43-43
35-28
35-38
40-34
36-31
30-30
31-29
28-40
29-42
25-29
34-26
27-34
37-43
26-47
47-40
137.3Avg total
66.7Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.373.0138.3-7.733%
Season at home (1)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
Season away (2)61.566.0127.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)66.770.6137.3-3.960%
Last 5 (5)62.872.0134.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.571.0124.5-17.50%
vs Similar (15)64.164.8128.9-0.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)74.862.5137.3+12.383%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A09/02
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H16/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H17/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A24/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
50-88
50
88
-38
A06/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
63-98
63
98
-35
A08/11
NCAA
Randall University
#668
W
108-49
108
49
+59
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-24
27-35
41-45
38-32
35-33
32-44
36-45
32-40
40-32
25-36
40-47
42-48
45-39
33-43
23-46
27-42
18-45
45-53
56-22
52-27
149.3Avg total
71.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.778.3152.0-4.733%
Season at home (1)108.049.0157.0+59.0100%
Season away (2)56.593.0149.5-36.50%
Last 10 (10)71.577.8149.3-6.320%
Last 5 (5)76.282.4158.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)70.383.7154.0-13.426%
vs Similar (5)65.674.0139.6-8.420%
vs Weaker (2)114.051.5165.5+62.5100%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -4.7-4.7
Western IllinoisCentral Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#176
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A17/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H08/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H14/11
NCAA
63.7Avg total
30.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.429.061.4+3.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.427.961.3+5.580%-
Last 30 away (15)31.430.061.4+1.467%-
Last 10 (10)30.832.963.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)27.236.063.2-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)22.032.554.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (15)30.829.560.3+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.928.264.2+7.792%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A09/02
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H17/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A08/11
NCAA
Randall University
#668
W
56-22
56
22
+34
H14/11
NCAA
74.0Avg total
36.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.939.074.9-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.635.171.7+1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)35.342.377.6-7.031%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.874.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.876.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)33.840.774.5-6.930%-
vs Similar (5)35.638.874.4-3.220%-
vs Weaker (2)60.519.580.0+41.0100%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Illinois wins
0
Central Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23Central Arkansas v Western Illinois54-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HWisc. Green Bay73-87
07/11/24APepperdine64-77
05/11/24ASan Jose State59-55
09/03/24AUALR57-82
08/03/24HTennessee State61-59
02/03/24HSiu Edwardsville76-65
01/03/24HEastern Illinois70-66
24/02/24HSouthern Indiana82-76
23/02/24HMorehead State57-78
17/02/24ATennessee State68-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HRandall University108-49
08/11/24AUtah Utes63-98
06/11/24ABrigham Young50-88
02/03/24HNorth Alabama78-82
24/02/24AEastern Kentucky82-95
22/02/24ABellarmine65-68
17/02/24HLipscomb68-85
16/02/24HAustin Peay67-77
10/02/24ANorth Florida79-77
09/02/24AJacksonville Dolphins55-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game65.373.061.5
Allowed / game73.087.066.0
Point differential-7.7-14.0-4.5
Avg total138.3160.0127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Arkansas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game73.7108.056.5
Allowed / game78.349.093.0
Point differential-4.7+59.0-36.5
Avg total152.0157.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee Tech43175%78.875.2+3.5
2 Siu Edwardsville53260%74.068.8+5.2
3 UT Martin42250%78.069.2+8.8
4 Southeast Missouri State31233%76.370.3+6.0
5 UALR31233%71.375.3-4.0
6 Western Illinois31233%65.373.0-7.7
7 Lindenwood41325%71.268.0+3.2
8 Tennessee State41325%81.280.5+0.8
9 Southern Indiana41325%70.275.2-5.0
10 Morehead State41325%63.075.0-12.0
11 Eastern Illinois41325%69.282.5-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay330100%76.767.3+9.3
2 North Alabama43175%87.570.2+17.2
3 North Florida43175%86.580.0+6.5
4 Eastern Kentucky32167%80.774.0+6.7
5 Lipscomb42250%73.574.2-0.8
6 Queens Royals42250%69.272.0-2.8
7 Stetson31233%74.076.0-2.0
8 Central Arkansas31233%73.778.3-4.7
9 Bellarmine3030%68.377.0-8.7
10 Florida Gulf Coast3030%60.071.3-11.3
11 West Georgia4040%62.582.5-20.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Illinois234063
Central Arkansas283361
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