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UALR vs Western Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 82-57
40-28 42-29
Position#90
Record20-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game72.8
UALR 🏆
USA
vs
Western Illinois
USA
Position#92
Record21-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UALR v Western Illinois
17 Jan 2026
UALR86
WEST79
22 Feb 2025
UALR75
WEST61
08 Mar 2024
UALR82
WEST57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A02/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
71-47
71
47
+24
A03/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H17/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A23/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H01/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
81-43
81
43
+38
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
33-37
31-24
40-23
40-25
37-32
23-33
40-27
31-28
38-40
38-26
42-36
45-33
38-28
37-32
45-41
47-32
38-28
40-23
41-20
135.6Avg total
75.7Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.972.8150.7+5.265%
Season at home (18)79.872.2151.9+7.672%
Season away (13)75.473.6149.0+1.854%
Last 10 (10)75.759.9135.6+15.890%
Last 5 (5)82.259.8142.0+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.068.0137.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.575.2151.8+1.346%
vs Weaker (16)80.171.5151.6+8.675%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
76-55
76
55
+21
A03/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H09/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A17/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
57-78
57
78
-21
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-28
39-27
33-23
27-40
27-26
32-36
27-21
35-34
34-17
34-44
24-37
33-41
39-33
43-43
35-28
35-38
40-34
36-31
30-30
31-29
131.1Avg total
67.1Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)69.265.2134.4+4.166%
Season at home (16)73.263.0136.2+10.269%
Season away (16)65.267.3132.5-2.162%
Last 10 (10)67.164.0131.1+3.170%
Last 5 (5)69.268.8138.0+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.075.3128.3-22.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)66.964.5131.4+2.569%
vs Weaker (12)74.261.3135.6+12.983%
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
UALRWestern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A03/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A09/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A23/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H02/03
NCAA
65.2Avg total
36.5Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.271.6+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.533.572.0+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)36.035.171.1+0.962%-
Last 10 (10)36.528.765.2+7.890%-
Last 5 (5)41.429.270.6+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.028.059.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.334.371.6+3.054%-
vs Weaker (16)37.934.472.4+3.569%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H09/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
27-21
27
21
+6
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A17/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H08/03
NCAA
60.3Avg total
32.6Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.128.261.3+4.980%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.426.661.0+7.988%-
Last 30 away (14)31.530.161.6+1.471%-
Last 10 (10)32.627.760.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.466.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)22.335.057.3-12.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.128.660.7+3.585%-
vs Weaker (12)36.027.263.2+8.892%-
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UALR wins
0
Western Illinois wins
DateGameScore
09/02/24Western Illinois v UALR60-63
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HTennessee Tech81-43
01/03/24HTennessee State85-60
24/02/24ALindenwood82-73
23/02/24ASoutheast Missouri State83-61
17/02/24HSouthern Indiana80-62
16/02/24HMorehead State69-68
09/02/24AWestern Illinois63-60
07/02/24HUT Martin77-57
03/02/24AEastern Illinois71-47
02/02/24ASiu Edwardsville66-68
Western Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HTennessee State61-59
02/03/24HSiu Edwardsville76-65
01/03/24HEastern Illinois70-66
24/02/24HSouthern Indiana82-76
23/02/24HMorehead State57-78
17/02/24ATennessee State68-61
16/02/24ATennessee Tech62-55
10/02/24HUT Martin59-62
09/02/24HUALR60-63
03/02/24ASoutheast Missouri State76-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW72%
AwayLWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %65%72%54%
Points / game77.979.875.4
Allowed / game72.872.273.6
Point differential+5.2+7.6+1.8
Avg total150.7151.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%8%
Western Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %66%69%62%
Points / game69.273.265.2
Allowed / game65.263.067.3
Point differential+4.1+10.2-2.1
Avg total134.4136.2132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State3224875%75.462.6+12.8
2 UT Martin31211068%81.676.5+5.2
3 Western Illinois32211166%69.265.2+4.1
4 UALR31201165%77.972.8+5.2
5 Tennessee State33181555%72.771.0+1.7
6 Siu Edwardsville33171652%71.570.1+1.4
7 Eastern Illinois32141844%68.967.9+1.0
8 Tennessee Tech31102132%67.473.8-6.5
9 Southeast Missouri State3192229%67.073.5-6.5
10 Lindenwood3192229%65.173.1-8.0
11 Southern Indiana3282425%68.673.0-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR404282
Western Illinois282957
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