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Western Illinois vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 57-78
24-37 33-41
Position#92
Record17-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#34
Record20-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game63.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Western Illinois v Morehead State
21 Feb 2026
WEST59
MORE81
15 Feb 2025
WEST72
MORE67
22 Feb 2024
WEST57
MORE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A26/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A27/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
76-55
76
55
+21
A03/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H09/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
30-28
28-21
29-37
37-35
36-33
20-28
30-36
48-38
31-33
37-28
39-27
33-23
27-40
27-26
32-36
27-21
35-34
34-17
34-44
126.4Avg total
64.7Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.264.5133.7+4.763%
Season at home (11)75.160.4135.5+14.764%
Season away (16)65.267.3132.5-2.162%
Last 10 (10)64.761.7126.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)65.059.2124.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)51.779.3131.0-27.70%
vs Similar (13)67.265.8133.0+1.354%
vs Weaker (12)73.161.5134.6+11.675%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#82
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A20/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H27/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
68-49
68
49
+19
A02/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H10/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A16/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
49-26
35-40
42-28
39-42
28-20
36-30
35-22
33-27
31-25
36-35
37-26
42-42
36-28
33-29
28-31
40-38
36-44
46-44
31-30
42-50
139.2Avg total
73.5Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.663.7139.3+12.071%
Season at home (13)83.358.2141.5+25.192%
Season away (15)69.068.4137.4+0.653%
Last 10 (10)73.565.7139.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)74.272.4146.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (2)65.096.0161.0-31.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.561.2137.7+15.377%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +0.5+0.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +0.5+0.5
Western IllinoisMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A27/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H09/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
27-21
27
21
+6
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A17/02
NCAA
59.3Avg total
32.4Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.628.861.4+3.877%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.824.459.2+10.3100%-
Last 30 away (18)31.131.762.8-0.661%-
Last 10 (10)32.426.959.3+5.590%-
Last 5 (5)31.623.054.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)21.738.760.3-17.00%-
vs Similar (13)31.929.561.5+2.485%-
vs Weaker (12)35.126.861.8+8.383%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#82
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A02/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A16/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H21/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
35.3Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.030.165.1+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.827.267.0+12.7100%-
Last 30 away (17)31.332.463.6-1.141%-
Last 10 (10)35.328.063.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.865.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (2)32.048.580.5-16.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)35.728.263.8+7.577%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Illinois wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Morehead State v Western Illinois64-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ATennessee State68-61
16/02/24ATennessee Tech62-55
10/02/24HUT Martin59-62
09/02/24HUALR60-63
03/02/24ASoutheast Missouri State76-55
02/02/24ALindenwood79-71
27/01/24AMorehead State50-64
26/01/24ASouthern Indiana73-68
20/01/24HTennessee State57-58
13/01/24AEastern Illinois63-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/24HSouthern Indiana73-80
17/02/24AUT Martin82-88
16/02/24AUALR68-69
10/02/24HEastern Illinois69-57
09/02/24HSiu Edwardsville79-68
03/02/24ATennessee Tech67-60
02/02/24ATennessee State68-49
27/01/24HWestern Illinois64-50
20/01/24ASouthern Indiana81-70
19/01/24HUT Martin84-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW63%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game69.275.165.2
Allowed / game64.560.467.3
Point differential+4.7+14.7-2.1
Avg total133.7135.5132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %7%9%6%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL71%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %71%92%53%
Points / game75.683.369.0
Allowed / game63.758.268.4
Point differential+12.0+25.1+0.6
Avg total139.3141.5137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%77%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2820871%75.663.7+12.0
2 Western Illinois27171063%69.264.5+4.7
3 UT Martin27171063%80.376.3+3.9
4 UALR28171161%77.474.3+3.1
5 Siu Edwardsville27151256%71.769.1+2.6
6 Tennessee State27151256%72.770.1+2.6
7 Eastern Illinois27131448%68.866.7+2.0
8 Tennessee Tech2791833%67.673.4-5.9
9 Lindenwood2781930%64.772.1-7.4
10 Southern Indiana2882029%68.872.8-4.0
11 Southeast Missouri State2882029%67.473.5-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Illinois243357
Morehead State374178
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