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Western Illinois vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 60-56
23-28 37-28
Position#169
Record10-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#139
Record13-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Western Illinois v St. Thomas (Minn.)
05 Mar 2023
WEST60
ST. 67
21 Jan 2023
WEST60
ST. 56
29 Jan 2022
WEST81
ST. 52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa Wesleyan
#378
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H08/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A10/12
NCAA
Eureka
#469
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H17/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H20/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A30/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A31/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H07/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A13/01
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
46-35
37-38
42-37
41-11
38-39
35-29
44-31
29-39
35-32
25-36
38-44
32-44
42-34
37-25
54-49
26-46
37-41
29-25
31-27
143.6Avg total
73.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.972.0146.9+2.956%
Season at home (9)84.469.9154.3+14.678%
Season away (9)65.374.1139.4-8.833%
Last 10 (10)73.670.0143.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)70.274.2144.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.684.3153.9-14.811%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.471.3149.7+7.160%
vs Weaker (8)72.173.9146.0-1.850%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A11/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H14/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H20/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H21/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A30/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A31/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H08/01
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A13/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
38-38
42-24
40-37
30-30
45-32
34-30
44-38
35-42
49-50
27-32
37-39
47-25
34-46
38-35
42-33
32-33
28-48
30-38
39-43
147.4Avg total
74.9Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.970.9146.8+5.062%
Season at home (11)83.263.2146.4+20.0100%
Season away (10)67.979.4147.3-11.520%
Last 10 (10)74.972.5147.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)70.874.4145.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.778.9142.6-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.977.1148.0-6.244%
vs Weaker (14)82.668.5151.1+14.179%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -0.8-0.8
Western IllinoisSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa Wesleyan
#378
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/12
NCAA
Eureka
#469
W
41-11
41
11
+30
H17/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H20/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A31/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H06/01
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A13/01
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A15/01
NCAA
66.0Avg total
32.9Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.269.5-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.333.270.6+4.156%-
Last 30 away (14)31.037.468.4-6.414%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.166.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)29.835.265.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.939.870.7-8.911%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.032.668.6+3.450%-
vs Weaker (8)32.436.869.1-4.438%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H14/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H21/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/01
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
35.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.968.8+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.729.869.4+9.988%-
Last 30 away (14)31.736.468.1-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)35.332.167.4+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.667.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.435.667.0-4.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.335.166.4-3.844%-
vs Weaker (14)41.230.171.3+11.179%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Illinois wins
1
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23AUMKC60-52
13/01/23AOral Roberts63-87
07/01/23HDenver91-74
06/01/23HNebraska O.74-78
31/12/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes63-80
30/12/22ASouth Dakota St.64-71
20/12/22HNorth Dakota St79-60
17/12/22HEureka79-50
10/12/22AEastern Illinois79-75
08/12/22HIowa Wesleyan84-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23AOral Roberts69-81
13/01/23AUMKC60-81
08/01/23HNebraska O.80-68
06/01/23HDenver81-71
31/12/22ASouth Dakota St.64-71
30/12/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes84-92
21/12/22HNorth Dakota St78-68
20/12/22HNorth Dakota75-62
14/12/22HWisc. Green Bay82-61
11/12/22AIdaho State76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game74.984.465.3
Allowed / game72.069.974.1
Point differential+2.9+14.6-8.8
Avg total146.9154.3139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%100%20%
Points / game75.983.267.9
Allowed / game70.963.279.4
Point differential+5.0+20.0-11.5
Avg total146.8146.4147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%91%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville2014670%74.267.8+6.5
2 UT Martin2012860%81.673.7+7.9
3 Western Illinois1810856%74.972.0+2.9
4 Southern Indiana2011955%76.672.1+4.5
5 Tennessee State2011955%77.573.7+3.9
6 Morehead State2011955%71.669.5+2.1
7 Southeast Missouri State2091145%74.474.0+0.5
8 Tennessee Tech2091145%71.871.7+0.2
9 Eastern Illinois2071335%67.869.5-1.8
10 Lindenwood2071335%68.271.6-3.5
11 UALR2051525%71.877.7-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oral Roberts2117481%84.272.1+12.1
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)2113862%75.970.9+5.0
3 Denver2112957%75.175.5-0.4
4 South Dakota St.1910953%67.970.1-2.2
5 South Dakota Coyotes2091145%68.772.5-3.9
6 UMKC2181338%66.467.2-0.8
7 North Dakota St2181338%71.873.6-1.8
8 North Dakota2171433%68.570.8-2.3
9 Nebraska O.2171433%68.777.0-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Illinois233760
St. Thomas (Minn.)282856
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