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Western Illinois vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 60-67
34-30 26-37
Position#169
Record16-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#139
Record18-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Western Illinois v St. Thomas (Minn.)
05 Mar 2023
WEST60
ST. 67
21 Jan 2023
WEST60
ST. 56
29 Jan 2022
WEST81
ST. 52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#276
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H24/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H27/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
81-73 OT
81
73
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
44-74
44
74
-30
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A04/02
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H10/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H11/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A23/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
56-39
39-35
36-37
22-39
47-30
22-41
22-33
29-41
46-31
30-29
–
30-51
43-31
29-36
40-46
38-32
43-38
31-42
38-29
147.5Avg total
72.3Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.572.6146.0+0.955%
Season at home (15)80.371.2151.5+9.173%
Season away (14)66.174.0140.1-7.936%
Last 10 (10)72.375.2147.5-2.950%
Last 5 (5)71.276.2147.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.081.4142.4-20.40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.972.4148.3+3.464%
vs Weaker (8)69.573.0142.5-3.550%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#169
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A21/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H27/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H29/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A03/02
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A04/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
H10/02
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
73-43
73
43
+30
H12/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A24/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-23
28-37
32-29
28-25
26-35
41-46
44-44
45-39
30-28
38-29
41-45
47-50
34-20
39-23
36-29
46-40
31-28
33-45
38-40
36-42
141.8Avg total
72.1Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.770.5145.2+4.258%
Season at home (16)80.364.8145.1+15.588%
Season away (15)68.776.6145.3-7.927%
Last 10 (10)72.169.7141.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)76.272.4148.6+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.0166.5-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.371.6139.9-3.250%
vs Weaker (16)79.967.4147.3+12.475%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +0.5+0.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +0.5+0.5
Western IllinoisSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#276
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
22-39
22
39
-17
H28/01
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A04/02
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H11/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A23/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
30.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.235.667.8-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.133.168.3+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)29.338.067.3-8.713%-
Last 10 (10)30.638.769.3-8.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.069.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.242.870.0-15.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.834.666.4-2.836%-
vs Weaker (8)31.536.568.0-5.038%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#169
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A21/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H27/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A03/02
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H10/02
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H12/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A24/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/02
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.268.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.029.668.6+9.475%-
Last 30 away (14)32.135.267.4-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)34.032.166.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.468.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.541.577.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.533.064.5-1.558%-
vs Weaker (16)39.130.569.6+8.662%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Western Illinois wins
2
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23ANorth Dakota St69-71
23/02/23ANorth Dakota81-70
19/02/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)69-82
11/02/23HOral Roberts73-82
10/02/23HUMKC64-76
04/02/23ANebraska O.75-72
03/02/23ADenver44-74
28/01/23HSouth Dakota St.81-73 OT
27/01/23HSouth Dakota Coyotes75-72
24/01/23HNorth Dakota92-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23ANorth Dakota74-82
24/02/23ANorth Dakota St64-73
19/02/23HWestern Illinois82-69
12/02/23HUMKC73-43
10/02/23HOral Roberts88-95
04/02/23ADenver68-57
03/02/23ANebraska O.89-83
29/01/23HSouth Dakota Coyotes67-81
27/01/23HSouth Dakota St.60-54
21/01/23AWestern Illinois56-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%73%36%
Points / game73.580.366.1
Allowed / game72.671.274.0
Point differential+0.9+9.1-7.9
Avg total146.0151.5140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeWLLWW88%
AwayLWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %58%88%27%
Points / game74.780.368.7
Allowed / game70.564.876.6
Point differential+4.2+15.5-7.9
Avg total145.2145.1145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%75%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State32211166%70.266.4+3.8
2 UT Martin33191458%80.575.4+5.1
3 Siu Edwardsville33191458%74.671.3+3.3
4 Tennessee State32181456%78.175.0+3.1
5 Western Illinois29161355%73.572.6+0.9
6 Southeast Missouri State35191654%77.776.0+1.7
7 Southern Indiana32161650%76.574.1+2.4
8 Tennessee Tech33161748%73.773.4+0.3
9 Lindenwood32112134%69.673.8-4.2
10 UALR31102132%75.479.4-4.0
11 Eastern Illinois3192229%68.872.1-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oral Roberts3228488%84.470.7+13.8
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)31181358%74.770.5+4.2
3 South Dakota St.31181358%70.169.2+0.9
4 North Dakota St30151550%72.971.9+1.0
5 Denver32151747%72.775.1-2.4
6 South Dakota Coyotes30121840%69.473.7-4.4
7 North Dakota33132039%72.173.9-1.8
8 UMKC32112134%64.468.7-4.3
9 Nebraska O.3292328%68.576.2-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Illinois342660
St. Thomas (Minn.)303767
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