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Western Kentucky vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 65-64
35-28 30-36
Position#84
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#171
Record6-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A10/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#457
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Canisius
#264
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H25/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H26/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#449
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H30/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H03/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A09/12
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
32-44
43-34
43-47
57-43
38-32
37-30
35-35
37-33
40-52
38-31
29-46
52-33
49-44
36-43
43-26
44-23
38-42
40-43
51-41
156.0Avg total
81.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.973.9155.8+8.073%
Season at home (6)84.874.5159.3+10.367%
Season away (5)78.473.2151.6+5.280%
Last 10 (10)81.174.9156.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)84.074.4158.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.273.0131.2-14.817%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.973.5148.3+1.460%
vs Weaker (7)79.473.6153.0+5.971%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fisk
#423
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H20/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H30/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
98-44
98
44
+54
H06/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H10/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-21
40-31
27-38
36-33
35-37
24-29
35-44
39-27
24-44
34-34
27-27
23-34
42-32
23-37
46-13
52-31
28-26
25-23
31-40
39-28
129.8Avg total
66.9Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)67.064.0131.0+3.050%
Season at home (6)71.557.3128.8+14.267%
Season away (6)62.570.7133.2-8.233%
Last 10 (10)66.962.9129.8+4.050%
Last 5 (5)67.258.2125.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)62.774.7137.4-11.911%
vs Similar ◀ (8)63.866.0129.8-2.238%
vs Weaker (3)83.755.7139.3+28.0100%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +2.8+2.8
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +2.8+2.8
Western KentuckyAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A15/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#457
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Canisius
#264
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#449
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A09/12
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/12
NCAA
75.3Avg total
41.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.769.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.335.173.4+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)32.932.365.1+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)41.334.075.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.034.676.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.033.360.3-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.335.170.4+0.153%-
vs Weaker (7)41.031.472.4+9.686%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fisk
#423
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A03/12
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
46-13
46
13
+33
H06/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H10/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A13/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.734.966.6-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.930.663.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)30.639.169.7-8.527%-
Last 10 (10)33.432.265.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.827.662.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.136.166.1-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.135.266.4-4.138%-
vs Weaker (3)40.026.066.0+14.067%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Kentucky wins
0
Austin Peay wins
DateGameScore
01/12/22Austin Peay v Western Kentucky74-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23AWright State91-84
09/12/23ABuffalo82-65
03/12/23HEastern Kentucky79-69
30/11/23HCampbellsville101-77
26/11/23HUNC Asheville67-77
25/11/23HCanisius77-85
25/11/23ABowling Green72-65
19/11/23HKentucky State95-75
15/11/23AMurray State86-81
10/11/23AWichita State61-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23ASouthern Illinois70-68
10/12/23HMurray State53-49
06/12/23HMidway98-44
03/12/23ATennessee State65-69
30/11/23HMorehead State50-61
26/11/23AAppalachian State58-78
22/11/23ASacramento State74-71
20/11/23HTarleton59-66
18/11/23AUTEP63-71
15/11/23HFisk79-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game81.984.878.4
Allowed / game73.974.573.2
Point differential+8.0+10.3+5.2
Avg total155.8159.3151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game67.071.562.5
Allowed / game64.057.370.7
Point differential+3.0+14.2-8.2
Avg total131.0128.8133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech119282%76.361.1+15.2
2 Liberty129375%79.259.2+20.1
3 Kennesaw State118373%86.377.6+8.6
4 Western Kentucky118373%81.973.9+8.0
5 Delaware107370%77.070.0+7.0
6 Missouri State107370%73.768.1+5.6
7 UTEP106460%78.668.4+10.2
8 Sam Houston St.126650%71.771.5+0.2
9 Middle Tenn. St.115645%66.166.9-0.8
10 New Mexico State125742%72.274.2-2.1
11 Jacksonville State114736%66.762.7+4.0
12 Florida International113827%70.977.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville75271%76.771.9+4.9
2 Stetson106460%78.666.8+11.8
3 North Florida127558%80.272.0+8.2
4 Lipscomb127558%80.374.9+5.4
5 North Alabama116555%79.974.0+5.9
6 Queens Royals126650%82.278.8+3.4
7 Austin Peay126650%67.064.0+3.0
8 Eastern Kentucky94544%88.174.9+13.2
9 Bellarmine114736%70.868.0+2.8
10 Florida Gulf Coast123925%68.674.4-5.8
11 Central Arkansas123925%70.476.5-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Kentucky353065
Austin Peay283664
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