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Sacramento State vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 71-74
44-35 27-39
Position#329
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#171
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A24/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A11/11
NCAA
Pacific Union
#689
W
128-66
128
66
+62
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
57-92
57
92
-35
A18/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
37-31
30-35
26-25
40-40
32-34
38-36
38-38
25-41
39-29
30-39
33-38
39-47
34-44
64-29
64-37
30-41
27-51
38-30
33-45
147.4Avg total
73.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.480.2158.6-1.820%
Season at home (2)99.570.5170.0+29.050%
Season away (3)64.386.7151.0-22.30%
Last 10 (10)73.074.4147.4-1.430%
Last 5 (5)78.480.2158.6-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)61.674.0135.6-12.40%
vs Similar (20)67.468.5135.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (1)72.051.0123.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#341
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H17/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A23/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A25/02
NCAA
Life University
#409
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H07/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A11/11
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
39-38
22-33
34-27
45-35
28-36
20-36
31-40
37-62
34-27
42-37
48-35
15-42
30-25
39-21
40-31
27-38
36-33
35-37
24-29
135.6Avg total
65.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)67.265.6132.8+1.640%
Season at home (3)76.063.3139.3+12.767%
Season away (2)54.069.0123.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)65.670.0135.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)67.265.6132.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)63.473.9137.2-10.514%
vs Similar (5)64.468.4132.8-4.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)89.056.7145.7+32.3100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +2.3+2.3
Sacramento StateAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A26/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Pacific Union
#689
W
64-29
64
29
+35
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
36.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.133.664.7-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.330.363.6+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)29.236.465.6-7.231%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.273.9-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.935.664.5-6.825%-
vs Similar (20)30.933.364.2-2.350%-
vs Weaker (1)19.027.046.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#341
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H17/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A23/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A25/02
NCAA
Life University
#409
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A11/11
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/11
NCAA
69.1Avg total
31.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.934.566.4-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.131.165.2+2.959%-
Last 30 away (13)29.138.968.0-9.831%-
Last 10 (10)31.237.969.1-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.635.066.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)30.135.765.8-5.543%-
vs Similar (5)29.636.866.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.721.766.3+23.0100%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sacramento State wins
0
Austin Peay wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HCSU Bakersfield71-75
18/11/23ATulane57-92
15/11/23HPacific Union128-66
11/11/23AStanford73-91
08/11/23ANevada63-77
07/03/23AWeber State64-70
28/02/23APortland State76-74
26/02/23AMontana72-74
24/02/23AMontana State56-60
19/02/23HIdaho State70-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HTarleton59-66
18/11/23AUTEP63-71
15/11/23HFisk79-52
11/11/23AGeorge Mason45-67
07/11/23HLife University90-72
25/02/23AFlorida Gulf Coast71-89
23/02/23AStetson51-76
18/02/23HNorth Florida73-71
17/02/23HJacksonville56-60
11/02/23ACentral Arkansas69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game78.499.564.3
Allowed / game80.270.586.7
Point differential-1.8+29.0-22.3
Avg total158.6170.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game67.276.054.0
Allowed / game65.663.369.0
Point differential+1.6+12.7-15.0
Avg total132.8139.3123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State65183%70.563.3+7.2
2 Weber State53260%69.660.6+9.0
3 Northern Colorado53260%76.270.8+5.4
4 Idaho42250%79.063.5+15.5
5 Idaho State63350%69.257.3+11.8
6 Montana State42250%71.862.0+9.8
7 Montana42250%78.869.2+9.5
8 Northern Arizona62433%62.576.7-14.2
9 Sacramento State51420%78.480.2-1.8
10 East. Washington4040%68.289.0-20.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Alabama43175%72.866.8+6.0
2 North Florida64267%77.770.8+6.8
3 Lipscomb53260%88.876.2+12.6
4 Stetson53260%73.666.4+7.2
5 Eastern Kentucky42250%94.875.8+19.0
6 Jacksonville42250%77.575.0+2.5
7 Austin Peay52340%67.265.6+1.6
8 Queens Royals52340%67.275.4-8.2
9 Bellarmine62433%68.272.2-4.0
10 Central Arkansas51420%71.467.8+3.6
11 Florida Gulf Coast61517%71.576.2-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State442771
Austin Peay353974
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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