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Austin Peay vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 50-61
27-27 23-34
Position#171
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#34
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Austin Peay v Morehead State
29 Nov 2023
AUST50
MORE61
08 Jan 2022
AUST55
MORE66
27 Feb 2020
AUST67
MORE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#243
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A23/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A25/02
NCAA
Life University
#409
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H07/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A11/11
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H20/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-35
28-36
20-36
31-40
37-62
34-27
42-37
48-35
15-42
30-25
39-21
40-31
27-38
36-33
35-37
24-29
35-44
39-27
24-44
34-34
137.6Avg total
66.3Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.968.1135.0-1.343%
Season at home (3)76.063.3139.3+12.767%
Season away (4)60.071.8131.8-11.825%
Last 10 (10)66.371.3137.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)66.667.6134.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.074.9137.9-11.915%
vs Similar (5)64.468.4132.8-4.020%
vs Weaker (4)85.260.2145.5+25.0100%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
96-40
96
40
+56
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
94-53
94
53
+41
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-29
0-0
24-36
0-0
32-34
0-0
36-30
0-0
27-39
0-0
32-38
0-0
35-55
0-0
38-50
0-0
49-20
0-0
47-20
0-0
29-42
0-0
28-45
0-0
38-30
0-0
36-36
0-0
26-37
0-0
25-37
0-0
22-20
0-0
42-31
0-0
36-33
0-0
58-20
137.6Avg total
69.4Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.768.0140.7+4.757%
Season at home (3)88.053.0141.0+35.0100%
Season away (4)61.279.2140.5-18.025%
Last 10 (10)69.468.2137.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)68.066.2134.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (16)67.570.3137.8-2.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)72.560.1132.6+12.483%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
Austin PeayMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#243
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A23/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A25/02
NCAA
Life University
#409
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A11/11
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A26/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
31.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.835.667.4-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.531.566.0+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)29.139.668.7-10.527%-
Last 10 (10)31.939.671.5-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.868.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.836.966.6-7.135%-
vs Similar (5)29.636.866.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker (4)42.227.269.5+15.075%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/11
NCAA
66.7Avg total
32.8Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.965.2+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.528.164.6+8.486%-
Last 30 away (16)32.333.465.8-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)32.833.966.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.232.462.6-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (16)33.832.966.6+0.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.827.463.2+8.392%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Austin Peay wins
3
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23AAppalachian State58-78
22/11/23ASacramento State74-71
20/11/23HTarleton59-66
18/11/23AUTEP63-71
15/11/23HFisk79-52
11/11/23AGeorge Mason45-67
07/11/23HLife University90-72
25/02/23AFlorida Gulf Coast71-89
23/02/23AStetson51-76
18/02/23HNorth Florida73-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HMidway94-53
20/11/23ABellarmine64-51
18/11/23APenn State51-74
15/11/23HMercer74-66
11/11/23APurdue57-87
09/11/23HShawnee State96-40
07/11/23AAlabama73-105
19/03/23AUAB59-77
15/03/23AClemson68-64
04/03/23HSoutheast Missouri State58-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game66.976.060.0
Allowed / game68.163.371.8
Point differential-1.3+12.7-11.8
Avg total135.0139.3131.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game72.788.061.2
Allowed / game68.053.079.2
Point differential+4.7+35.0-18.0
Avg total140.7141.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stetson75271%78.166.1+12.0
2 Jacksonville75271%76.771.9+4.9
3 Lipscomb96367%84.276.0+8.2
4 Eastern Kentucky53260%91.275.8+15.4
5 North Florida74357%75.671.4+4.1
6 North Alabama63350%76.275.5+0.7
7 Queens Royals84450%72.178.9-6.8
8 Austin Peay73443%66.968.1-1.3
9 Bellarmine72529%66.770.7-4.0
10 Florida Gulf Coast82625%69.074.1-5.1
11 Central Arkansas81712%69.874.0-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State75271%76.969.0+7.9
2 UT Martin75271%86.080.1+5.9
3 Siu Edwardsville85362%70.967.2+3.6
4 Morehead State74357%72.768.0+4.7
5 UALR73443%82.382.4-0.1
6 Lindenwood73443%64.173.9-9.7
7 Eastern Illinois83538%66.164.4+1.8
8 Western Illinois72529%67.176.4-9.3
9 Tennessee Tech72529%66.976.6-9.7
10 Southern Indiana82625%69.070.9-1.9
11 Southeast Missouri State61517%63.381.3-18.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay272350
Morehead State273461
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