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Western Michigan vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 51-65
14-41 37-24
Position#300
Record2-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#118
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H01/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H04/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A19/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
31-38
25-35
39-46
26-36
36-41
31-29
50-36
38-28
33-43
29-40
41-37
28-35
31-28
21-41
35-32
34-24
34-43
32-36
40-30
138.2Avg total
66.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)66.871.0137.8-4.233%
Season at home (4)71.572.5144.0-1.050%
Season away (2)57.568.0125.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)66.771.5138.2-4.830%
Last 5 (5)65.069.2134.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.377.3143.6-10.96%
vs Similar (8)70.872.0142.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (2)72.072.5144.5-0.550%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#276
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A07/03
NCAA
California
#283
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#613
W
100-54
100
54
+46
H12/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A19/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-40
36-42
30-34
37-26
33-32
32-38
34-35
32-36
27-26
27-27
54-22
46-32
22-31
38-30
31-36
31-30
41-34
35-36
19-29
32-35
132.6Avg total
67.5Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.062.7129.7+4.343%
Season at home (4)72.559.5132.0+13.075%
Season away (3)59.767.0126.7-7.30%
Last 10 (10)67.565.1132.6+2.440%
Last 5 (5)69.863.0132.8+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
vs Similar (8)67.067.1134.1-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)71.068.7139.7+2.356%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +1.4+1.4
Western MichiganSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#347
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H01/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H11/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A15/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A19/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H25/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
29.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.333.863.0-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.632.462.9-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)27.835.463.1-7.67%-
Last 10 (10)29.233.262.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)28.835.264.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)28.336.765.1-8.411%-
vs Similar (8)29.833.162.9-3.438%-
vs Weaker (2)32.028.060.0+4.050%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#276
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A07/03
NCAA
California
#283
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H11/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#613
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H12/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A19/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A25/11
NCAA
64.8Avg total
32.9Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.165.9+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.029.665.6+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)31.934.266.1-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)32.931.964.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.463.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (8)31.030.861.8+0.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)33.832.265.9+1.644%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Michigan wins
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HMercer72-66
24/11/23HSE Louisiana68-67
19/11/23AOhio State56-73
15/11/23ANorthwestern59-63
11/11/23HGeorgia State70-77
07/11/23HNorth Dakota St76-80 OT
04/03/23HCentral Michigan81-65
01/03/23HMiami (FL)62-77
26/02/23AAkron64-81
22/02/23AEastern Michigan59-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AWisc. Green Bay51-64
19/11/23HPortland State76-70
19/11/23ACalifornia Baptist62-66
18/11/23HCal Poly60-61
12/11/23HNorth Central Rams100-54
11/11/23HIdaho State54-53
07/11/23ACalifornia66-71
07/03/23AOral Roberts65-70
06/03/23AWestern Illinois67-60
25/02/23ANorth Dakota74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game66.871.557.5
Allowed / game71.072.568.0
Point differential-4.2-1.0-10.5
Avg total137.8144.0125.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game67.072.559.7
Allowed / game62.759.567.0
Point differential+4.3+13.0-7.3
Avg total129.7132.0126.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass43175%89.572.5+17.0
2 Ball State75271%78.165.0+13.1
3 Northern Illinois75271%84.678.6+6.0
4 Ohio64267%82.274.7+7.5
5 Kent State85362%84.871.9+12.9
6 Miami (Ohio)53260%71.864.0+7.8
7 Akron74357%76.467.4+9.0
8 Bowling Green74357%72.069.7+2.3
9 Eastern Michigan74357%67.375.9-8.6
10 Toledo63350%81.376.7+4.7
11 Western Michigan62433%66.871.0-4.2
12 Central Michigan72529%64.376.4-12.1
13 Buffalo71614%69.983.6-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota76186%78.472.4+6.0
2 South Dakota Coyotes85362%82.669.4+13.2
3 Denver85362%82.876.1+6.6
4 Nebraska O.95456%75.867.7+8.1
5 North Dakota St84450%75.175.5-0.4
6 St. Thomas (Minn.)73443%67.062.7+4.3
7 South Dakota St.73443%76.372.4+3.9
8 UMKC83538%72.068.6+3.4
9 Oral Roberts62433%70.575.5-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan143751
St. Thomas (Minn.)412465
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