PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

William & Mary vs NC Wilmington Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-70
42-28 35-42
Position#100
Record12-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#17
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · William & Mary v NC Wilmington
22 Jan 2026
WILL77
NC W70
24 Feb 2025
WILL70
NC W79
22 Feb 2024
WILL65
NC W81
04 Feb 2023
WILL63
NC W70
05 Feb 2022
WILL70
NC W92
06 Mar 2021
WILL73
NC W60
09 Jan 2020
WILL79
NC W63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

William & Mary winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC Wilmington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

William & MaryUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H30/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A03/12
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A06/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H19/12
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H29/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H31/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A09/01
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A10/01
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-29
–
48-40
35-39
52-53
34-46
41-38
55-45
38-27
46-43
34-31
42-26
32-46
47-42
34-37
36-44
28-37
30-27
42-40
55-49
160.2Avg total
81.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.775.6159.3+8.167%
Season at home (7)93.670.6164.1+23.0100%
Season away (11)77.478.8156.2-1.545%
Last 10 (10)81.778.5160.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)76.075.8151.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.076.5152.5-0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (19)75.381.0156.3-5.742%
vs Weaker (9)86.366.6152.9+19.889%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A13/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
100-56
100
56
+44
H27/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A30/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H01/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A09/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
31-25
31-40
42-30
27-38
39-29
47-24
53-32
42-47
45-31
27-22
38-31
27-18
22-27
44-40
43-38
21-43
54-28
33-37
45-38
140.6Avg total
75.0Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.366.2144.4+12.189%
Season at home (12)78.161.5139.6+16.692%
Season away (7)78.674.1152.7+4.486%
Last 10 (10)75.065.6140.6+9.490%
Last 5 (5)70.864.4135.2+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.068.7143.7+6.333%
vs Weaker (26)77.167.6144.7+9.588%
This opponent (William & Mary) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +10.3+10.3
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +10.3+10.3
William & MaryNC Wilmington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
William & MaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A03/12
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H19/12
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H29/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/01
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A10/01
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/01
NCAA
76.6Avg total
38.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.275.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.735.176.9+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)36.837.274.0-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.876.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.272.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.032.572.5+7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.338.777.0-0.542%-
vs Weaker (9)40.731.872.4+8.978%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H27/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H04/01
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A10/01
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
33.8Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.233.070.2+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.229.768.8+9.578%-
Last 30 away (12)34.237.972.2-3.742%-
Last 10 (10)33.834.768.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)30.432.062.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.331.767.0+3.733%-
vs Weaker (26)36.533.169.6+3.365%-
This opponent (William & Mary) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
William & Mary wins
7
NC Wilmington wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26HN. Carolina A&T97-89
10/01/26ADrexel58-64
09/01/26AMonmouth70-81
06/01/26ACharleston79-88
31/12/25HStony Brook76-57
29/12/25HTowson84-70
19/12/25HRadford96-83
06/12/25AGeorge Washington86-99
03/12/25ADuquesne83-79
30/11/25HOld Dominion88-75
NC Wilmingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HCampbell78-75
10/01/26AStony Brook75-71
09/01/26ANortheastern87-78
04/01/26HHampton49-45
01/01/26HDrexel65-53
30/12/25AN. Carolina A&T87-78
27/12/25HColumbia College (SC)100-56
20/12/25HHoward66-67
13/12/25AValparaiso73-70
06/12/25ALouisiana Lafayette70-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

William & Mary
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %67%100%45%
Points / game83.793.677.4
Allowed / game75.670.678.8
Point differential+8.1+23.0-1.5
Avg total159.3164.1156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%86%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC Wilmington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %89%92%86%
Points / game78.378.178.6
Allowed / game66.261.574.1
Point differential+12.1+16.6+4.4
Avg total144.4139.6152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington1917289%78.366.2+12.1
2 Hofstra1913668%77.268.2+8.9
3 William & Mary1812667%83.775.6+8.1
4 Elon1912763%85.278.9+6.3
5 Charleston1911858%76.775.5+1.2
6 Towson2011955%69.266.8+2.4
7 Stony Brook2011955%71.170.2+0.8
8 Hampton1991047%71.367.7+3.6
9 Campbell1991047%80.678.8+1.8
10 Monmouth1991047%71.370.5+0.8
11 Drexel2091145%68.366.1+2.2
12 N. Carolina A&T1771041%75.876.5-0.7
13 Northeastern1861233%76.480.2-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
William & Mary423577
NC Wilmington284270
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.