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Winnipeg Sea Bears vs Niagara River Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-81
21-27 21-18 23-16 21-20
Position#7
Record9-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game90.6
vs
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game88.0
CanadaCEBL· Canada Life Centre
Other2025
Meetings · Winnipeg Sea Bears v Niagara River
06 Aug 2025
WINN86
NIAG81
27 Jun 2024
WINN94
NIAG82
29 Jun 2023
WINN93
NIAG90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Winnipeg Sea Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara River winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Winnipeg Sea BearsCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
93-103
93
103
-10
83avg 76
H28/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
80-104
80
104
-24
62avg 76
A01/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
73avg 76
A04/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
94-70
94
70
+24
89avg 76
A12/07
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
86avg 76
H18/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
94-81
94
81
+13
88avg 76
A20/07
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
92-95
92
95
-3
79avg 76
H26/07
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
67avg 76
A27/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
98-89
98
89
+9
101avg 76
H02/08
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
66avg 76
A04/08
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-34
24-24
24-20
23-25
16-29
25-25
23-24
16-26
24-28
14-23
20-22
24-20
28-18
30-18
15-24
21-10
21-22
25-22
21-27
22-22
23-18
27-19
21-22
23-22
26-25
22-24
25-16
19-30
22-18
20-23
18-19
19-18
29-16
25-29
16-31
28-13
24-33
10-27
21-23
19-23
178.7Avg total
87.5Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.690.6176.2-5.043%
Season at home (10)89.592.8182.3-3.340%
Season away (11)82.088.6170.6-6.645%
Last 10 (10)87.591.2178.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)87.489.8177.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)86.294.2180.5-8.025%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.088.7175.7-1.750%
vs Weaker (4)89.281.0170.2+8.275%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
66-91
66
91
-25
57avg 78
A29/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
87avg 78
H04/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 78
A06/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
96-77
96
77
+19
94avg 78
H10/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
97avg 78
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 78
H20/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 78
H25/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 78
A27/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
93-96
93
96
-3
84avg 78
H31/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
64-81
64
81
-17
47avg 78
A03/08
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
19-25
16-11
15-24
28-24
23-14
22-20
20-24
13-19
28-15
15-16
21-23
20-17
20-22
27-17
29-21
17-26
20-13
34-13
26-27
24-19
26-10
20-22
26-30
27-18
14-17
21-29
29-25
15-27
23-23
20-14
28-20
19-26
23-18
30-20
21-32
20-21
9-21
18-23
17-16
169.2Avg total
85.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.988.0174.9-1.267%
Season at home (12)93.787.4181.1+6.275%
Season away (9)77.888.9166.7-11.156%
Last 10 (10)85.983.3169.2+2.670%
Last 5 (5)86.086.2172.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.596.5185.0-8.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.487.9177.3+1.679%
vs Weaker (12)89.686.8176.4+2.875%
This opponent (Winnipeg Sea Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
Winnipeg Sea BearsNiagara River
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Winnipeg Sea BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H28/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A01/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A04/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A12/07
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H18/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A20/07
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H26/07
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H02/08
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A04/08
CEBL
93.2Avg total
45.7Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.347.792.0-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.946.794.6+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)41.548.590.0-7.124%-
Last 10 (10)45.747.593.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.492.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)43.449.693.0-6.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.345.287.5-2.833%-
vs Weaker (4)51.542.293.8+9.275%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H04/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A06/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H10/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H20/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A27/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A03/08
CEBL
81.0Avg total
40.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.788.7+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.941.588.4+5.478%-
Last 30 away (12)42.147.089.1-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.681.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.080.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.549.293.8-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.941.486.2+3.564%-
vs Weaker (12)45.344.689.9+0.858%-
This opponent (Winnipeg Sea Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Winnipeg Sea Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Winnipeg Sea Bears: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.623.5
51.5%
50.7%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.1
32.4%
34.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.9
70.9%
72.4%12.9
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.121.5
47.7%
50.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.4
31.6%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.717.3
76.2%
72.4%17.3
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Winnipeg Sea Bears
LWWLWLWLLL
Niagara River
LLWWWWWWWL
#7
League position
#3
-5.1
Net rating
+4.3
106.5
Offensive rating
107.0
111.6
Defensive rating
102.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
47.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.4%
3-point %
31.6%
58.9%
Assist %
70.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 107.0Defence111.6 · 102.8Shooting50.4% · 47.6%3-point %32.4% · 31.6%Ball care15.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Winnipeg Sea Bears   ■ Niagara River
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Winnipeg Sea Bears wins
2
Niagara River wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/25AFraser Valley Bandits74-106
02/08/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers98-89
27/07/25AGuelph Nighthawks79-78
26/07/25HEdmonton Stingers92-95
20/07/25AMontreal Alliance94-81
18/07/25HGuelph Nighthawks89-93
12/07/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers94-70
04/07/25ANiagara River82-93
01/07/25AOttawa Blackjacks80-104
28/06/25HScarborough Shooting Stars93-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/25AScarborough Shooting Stars64-81
31/07/25HOttawa Blackjacks93-96
27/07/25ABrampton Honey Badgers86-84
25/07/25HMontreal Alliance91-89
20/07/25HScarborough Shooting Stars96-81
16/07/25HBrampton Honey Badgers97-79
10/07/25HFraser Valley Bandits96-77
06/07/25AMontreal Alliance77-73
04/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears93-82
29/06/25ABrampton Honey Badgers66-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Winnipeg Sea Bears
CEBL 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%40%45%
Points / game85.689.582.0
Allowed / game90.692.888.6
Point differential-5.0-3.3-6.6
Avg total176.2182.3170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niagara River
CEBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %67%75%56%
Points / game86.993.777.8
Allowed / game88.087.488.9
Point differential-1.2+6.2-11.1
Avg total174.9181.1166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)60% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits2217577%97.387.0+10.2
2 Guelph Nighthawks2215768%94.988.2+6.7
3 Niagara River2114767%86.988.0-1.2
4 Edmonton Stingers2112957%93.792.0+1.7
5 Ottawa Blackjacks22111150%91.287.3+3.9
6 Scarborough Shooting Stars22111150%89.688.3+1.3
7 Winnipeg Sea Bears2191243%85.690.6-5.0
8 Montreal Alliance2281436%87.288.3-1.1
9 Saskatchewan Rattlers2161529%85.193.2-8.1
10 Brampton Honey Badgers2251723%81.490.3-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Winnipeg Sea Bears2121232186
Niagara River2718162081
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