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Wisconsin vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 43-42
23-14 20-28
Position#158
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game51.3
vs
Position#85
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game54.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#245
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H02/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H11/03
NCAA
Colgate
#80
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H19/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H20/03
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H08/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H12/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
30-31
33-24
33-37
33-28
37-39
36-40
37-34
22-24
41-45
28-28
39-32
26-27
23-27
38-28
47-31
32-20
28-30
32-15
24-30
126.3Avg total
65.7Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.051.3118.3+15.7100%
Season at home (3)67.051.3118.3+15.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.760.6126.3+5.170%
Last 5 (5)63.453.6117.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.568.5143.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (17)69.168.0137.1+1.165%
vs Weaker (9)70.163.3133.4+6.889%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H05/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
L
68-70 OT
68
70
-2
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-29
0-0
23-24
0-0
34-35
0-0
48-41
0-0
34-36
0-0
41-36
0-0
33-25
0-0
31-43
0-0
34-23
0-0
40-32
0-0
26-25
0-0
37-38
0-0
35-21
0-0
38-25
0-0
29-24
0-0
45-38
0-0
32-22
0-0
20-38
0-0
30-21
0-0
30-30
129.0Avg total
67.7Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.854.8119.5+10.075%
Season at home (3)69.053.0122.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)52.060.0112.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)67.761.3129.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)65.457.8123.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)66.363.3129.7+3.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)68.258.5126.7+9.775%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +0.8+0.8
WisconsinDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#245
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
22-24
22
24
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Colgate
#80
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H19/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H20/03
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
32-15
32
15
+17
H16/11
NCAA
58.8Avg total
31.8Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.062.7+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.929.761.6+2.353%-
Last 30 away (11)33.930.664.5+3.382%-
Last 10 (10)31.827.058.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)31.223.654.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.828.061.8+5.875%-
vs Similar (17)31.431.462.8+0.047%-
vs Weaker (9)34.628.362.9+6.289%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/11
NCAA
58.0Avg total
31.9Scored
26.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.826.158.9+6.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.125.159.2+9.081%-
Last 30 away (14)31.327.158.4+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)31.926.158.0+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)30.422.653.0+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)31.428.059.4+3.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)33.425.458.7+8.080%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wisconsin wins
0
Dayton wins
No previous meetings.
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/22HWisc. Green Bay56-45
12/11/22HStanford60-50
08/11/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes85-59
20/03/22HIowa State49-54
19/03/22HColgate67-60
11/03/22HMichigan State63-69
06/03/22HNebraska73-74
02/03/22HPurdue70-67
26/02/22ARutgers66-61
24/02/22AMinnesota68-67
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HRobert Morris60-51
16/11/22AUNLV52-60
12/11/22HSMU Mustangs74-62
08/11/22HLindenwood73-46
20/03/22AVanderbilt68-70 OT
16/03/22AToledo74-55
12/03/22HRichmond Spiders64-68
11/03/22HUMass75-72
05/03/22HDavidson82-76
01/03/22ARichmond Spiders55-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game67.067.0-
Allowed / game51.351.3-
Point differential+15.7+15.7-
Avg total118.3118.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game64.869.052.0
Allowed / game54.853.060.0
Point differential+10.0+16.0-8.0
Avg total119.5122.0112.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa440100%96.065.0+31.0
2 Indiana440100%89.059.2+29.8
3 Maryland550100%80.257.8+22.4
4 Purdue330100%74.055.7+18.3
5 Northwestern550100%69.853.4+16.4
6 Wisconsin330100%67.051.3+15.7
7 Penn State65183%75.263.3+11.8
8 Rutgers54180%75.653.6+22.0
9 Illinois54180%83.262.0+21.2
10 Ohio State54180%79.258.6+20.6
11 Michigan54180%77.270.4+6.8
12 Minnesota54180%63.260.8+2.4
13 USC43175%74.865.8+9.0
14 Nebraska43175%71.563.8+7.8
15 Michigan State43175%73.866.8+7.0
16 Washington43175%71.564.8+6.8
17 UCLA53260%80.066.8+13.2
18 Oregon42250%68.257.8+10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fordham65183%72.064.5+7.5
2 Davidson65183%77.573.7+3.8
3 Duquesne54180%81.474.6+6.8
4 St. Louis Billikens54180%81.477.0+4.4
5 Dayton43175%64.854.8+10.0
6 George Washington53260%77.871.4+6.4
7 St. Bonaventure53260%74.868.4+6.4
8 VCU Rams53260%63.860.4+3.4
9 Richmond Spiders63350%68.762.3+6.3
10 La Salle52340%68.470.8-2.4
11 Saint Josephs Hawks52340%66.472.0-5.6
12 Loyola Chicago52340%64.673.4-8.8
13 Rhode Island62433%65.266.7-1.5
14 George Mason62433%66.769.0-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wisconsin232043
Dayton142842
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