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Worcester Wolves vs Durham Wildcats Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-73
29-20 26-16 19-19 15-18
Position#3
Record22-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#12
Record8-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game78.9
United KingdomSLBRound 25
Other2014-15
Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Durham Wildcats
13 Mar 2015
WORC89
DURH73
04 Apr 2014
WORC88
DURH66
10 Jan 2014
WORC90
DURH66
22 Sep 2012
WORC76
DURH82
14 Jan 2012
WORC86
DURH72
12 Nov 2011
WORC65
DURH64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Durham Wildcats winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester WolvesUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Durham Wildcats
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A18/01
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H23/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H30/01
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A31/01
SLB Trophy
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
74-48
74
48
+26
H06/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A08/02
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#12
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A15/02
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A22/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H27/02
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H06/03
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
20-16
22-27
22-25
19-12
20-21
22-23
17-19
16-24
20-12
21-22
14-12
21-25
15-26
14-15
21-14
27-20
16-9
15-11
16-8
22-23
19-22
15-21
19-23
19-20
20-18
14-7
13-13
15-22
15-27
14-15
16-25
21-16
27-13
16-15
23-21
19-28
26-26
23-11
18-20
149.7Avg total
75.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.676.7158.3+5.079%
Season at home (14)81.171.9152.9+9.293%
Season away (14)82.281.5163.7+0.764%
Last 10 (10)75.474.3149.7+1.170%
Last 5 (5)74.877.2152.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.384.3169.7+1.067%
vs Similar (10)79.681.0160.6-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.372.2153.5+9.193%
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Durham WildcatsUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Surrey Scorchers
#13
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A10/01
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H18/01
SLB Trophy
Leicester Riders
#2
L
46-85
46
85
-39
A24/01
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H25/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H01/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A13/02
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#3
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H15/02
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A21/02
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H22/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
76-99
76
99
-23
H27/02
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
14-10
19-19
24-24
16-22
16-20
27-22
25-22
13-19
16-25
12-23
5-18
13-19
20-9
20-23
22-30
22-16
19-25
19-19
16-15
22-25
15-22
17-21
17-30
20-19
18-20
7-14
13-13
22-23
16-24
17-26
26-11
18-16
25-16
16-23
14-29
20-17
29-23
10-36
17-23
155.6Avg total
71.8Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.778.9153.6-4.230%
Season at home (14)76.275.6151.9+0.643%
Season away (13)73.182.4155.5-9.315%
Last 10 (10)71.883.8155.6-12.010%
Last 5 (5)71.886.2158.0-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.484.9157.3-12.57%
vs Similar (10)75.874.1149.9+1.750%
vs Weaker (3)85.070.7155.7+14.367%
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
Worcester WolvesDurham Wildcats
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Durham Wildcats
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/01
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H23/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/01
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A31/01
SLB Trophy
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/02
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/02
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A22/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H27/02
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H06/03
SLB
79.5Avg total
39.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.282.7+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.437.378.7+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.186.6+0.367%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.679.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.083.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.342.787.0+1.767%-
vs Similar (10)39.642.181.7-2.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.138.382.5+5.887%-
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Durham WildcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Surrey Scorchers
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A10/01
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/01
SLB Trophy
Leicester Riders
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A24/01
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H25/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H01/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A13/02
SLB
Worcester Wolves
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/02
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A21/02
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H22/02
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H27/02
SLB
77.2Avg total
37.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.976.3+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.135.575.6+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)36.440.677.1-4.221%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.777.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.082.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.141.079.1-2.927%-
vs Similar (10)40.134.374.4+5.870%-
vs Weaker (3)40.035.075.0+5.033%-
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/15HPlymouth Raiders86-85
27/02/15HSheffield Sharks87-65
22/02/15AGlasgow Rocks60-89
15/02/15ADurham Wildcats66-58
08/02/15ACheshire Phoenix75-89
06/02/15HBristol Flyers74-48
31/01/15ALeicester Riders71-80
30/01/15HSurrey Scorchers71-70
23/01/15HSheffield Sharks78-75
18/01/15ADurham Wildcats86-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/15HCheshire Phoenix76-99
22/02/15HBristol Flyers73-84
21/02/15ALeicester Riders81-84
15/02/15HWorcester Wolves58-66
13/02/15ANewcastle Eagles71-98
01/02/15HSurrey Scorchers76-75
25/01/15HGlasgow Rocks75-81
24/01/15ALeicester Riders46-85
18/01/15HWorcester Wolves84-86
10/01/15ASurrey Scorchers78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves
SLB 2014-15
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %79%93%64%
Points / game81.681.182.2
Allowed / game76.771.981.5
Point differential+5.0+9.2+0.7
Avg total158.3152.9163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (12)83% (6)83% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Durham Wildcats
SLB 2014-15
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %30%43%15%
Points / game74.776.273.1
Allowed / game78.975.682.4
Point differential-4.2+0.6-9.3
Avg total153.6151.9155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Eagles2624292%96.479.3+17.1
2 Leicester Riders2520580%85.275.6+9.6
3 Worcester Wolves2822679%81.676.7+5.0
4 Cheshire Phoenix2820871%87.078.7+8.4
5 London Lions25141156%79.275.6+3.7
6 Glasgow Rocks24131154%80.280.9-0.6
7 Sheffield Sharks26111542%77.076.4+0.7
8 Manchester Giants27111641%81.083.9-2.9
9 Bristol Flyers30121840%71.876.7-4.9
10 Durham Wildcats2781930%74.778.9-4.2
11 Plymouth Raiders2571828%84.791.4-6.6
12 Leeds Force2972224%63.974.7-10.7
13 Surrey Scorchers2642215%73.586.4-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Worcester Wolves2926191589
Durham Wildcats2016191873
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