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Worcester Wolves vs Mersey Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Oct 2012
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 98-48
30-8 27-15 23-20 18-5
Position#4
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#12
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game54.5
Allowed / game97.0
United KingdomSLB
Other2012-13
Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Mersey Tigers
15 Feb 2013
WORC119
MERS64
13 Oct 2012
WORC98
MERS48
03 Dec 2011
WORC93
MERS84
20 Nov 2010
WORC88
MERS93
30 Oct 2010
WORC63
MERS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersey Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester WolvesUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A06/04
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H07/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H14/04
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#4
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A15/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
80-80
80
80
+0
H28/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A29/04
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H22/09
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A28/09
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H29/09
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A07/10
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
27-16
26-27
20-20
24-23
20-21
22-13
19-20
25-18
23-17
26-10
19-26
14-30
24-20
18-17
24-27
19-24
21-21
15-20
25-15
23-26
17-18
20-14
17-29
–
–
–
–
15-27
16-16
19-17
23-21
–
–
–
–
17-22
15-19
18-19
19-11
161.7Avg total
80.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.578.5156.0-1.025%
Season at home (2)84.081.0165.0+3.050%
Season away (2)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)80.980.8161.7+0.130%
Last 5 (5)77.480.2157.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)85.489.3174.6-3.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.276.2162.3+10.074%
This opponent (Mersey Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersey TigersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A18/03
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A23/03
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#11
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A24/03
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H08/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A13/04
SLB
London Lions
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H15/04
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#5
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H20/04
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#3
L
45-106
45
106
-61
A22/09
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#10
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A07/10
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#3
L
51-103
51
103
-52
H12/10
SLB Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
15-20
18-23
25-25
–
–
–
–
27-15
22-10
14-6
23-25
15-19
24-20
19-21
12-23
14-22
21-17
19-17
28-18
27-30
21-23
24-14
22-19
27-24
19-17
13-16
20-24
–
–
–
–
15-23
19-25
8-19
22-21
9-28
22-25
11-23
9-27
157.0Avg total
73.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)54.597.0151.5-42.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)54.597.0151.5-42.50%
Last 10 (10)73.583.5157.0-10.040%
Last 5 (5)66.692.8159.4-26.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.888.5164.4-12.718%
vs Similar (9)81.282.2163.4-1.044%
vs Weaker (3)83.368.3151.7+15.0100%
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
Worcester WolvesMersey Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/04
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H14/04
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A15/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H28/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A29/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A28/09
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/10
SLB
81.4Avg total
38.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)41.740.882.5+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.440.083.4+3.454%-
Last 30 away (12)39.841.781.5-1.825%-
Last 10 (8)38.942.581.4-3.612%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.680.8-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.543.785.3-2.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.838.580.3+3.343%-
This opponent (Mersey Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersey TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/03
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#11
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A24/03
SLB
Leicester Riders
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/04
SLB
London Lions
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H15/04
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#10
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/10
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#3
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H12/10
SLB Cup
81.5Avg total
39.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)38.740.879.4-2.131%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.743.280.9-5.521%-
Last 30 away (12)39.837.977.7+1.842%-
Last 10 (8)39.841.881.5-2.025%-
Last 5 (5)38.846.885.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.240.577.7-3.321%-
vs Similar (8)40.442.883.1-2.425%-
vs Weaker (3)43.332.776.0+10.7100%-
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Worcester Wolves wins
3
Mersey Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/12ASurrey Scorchers69-71
29/09/12HManchester Giants92-80
28/09/12ANewcastle Eagles73-81
22/09/12HDurham Wildcats76-82
29/04/12ACheshire Phoenix77-87
28/04/12HCheshire Phoenix80-80
15/04/12APlymouth Raiders80-94
14/04/12HLeicester Riders93-71
07/04/12HSurrey Scorchers85-77
06/04/12ANewcastle Eagles84-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/12HSurrey Scorchers51-103
07/10/12ACheshire Phoenix64-88
22/09/12ASurrey Scorchers45-106
20/04/12HGlasgow Rocks79-81
15/04/12HLondon Lions94-86
13/04/12ANewcastle Eagles82-74
08/04/12HLeicester Riders70-83
24/03/12ADurham Wildcats86-56
23/03/12ASheffield Sharks85-74
18/03/12ACheshire Phoenix79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves
SLB 2012-13
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.584.071.0
Allowed / game78.581.076.0
Point differential-1.0+3.0-5.0
Avg total156.0165.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mersey Tigers
SLB 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game54.5-54.5
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-42.5--42.5
Avg total151.5-151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Plymouth Raiders220100%106.580.0+26.5
2 Newcastle Eagles660100%89.575.2+14.3
3 Leicester Riders220100%75.563.5+12.0
4 Surrey Scorchers43175%87.269.5+17.8
5 Cheshire Phoenix21150%80.072.0+8.0
6 Manchester Giants52340%84.091.8-7.8
7 Glasgow Rocks31233%80.386.7-6.3
8 Durham Wildcats31233%79.789.0-9.3
9 Worcester Wolves41325%77.578.5-1.0
10 London Lions41325%84.293.0-8.8
11 Sheffield Sharks3030%70.383.7-13.3
12 Mersey Tigers2020%54.597.0-42.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Worcester Wolves3027231898
Mersey Tigers81520548
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