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Worcester Wolves vs Mersey Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Feb 2013
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 119-64
29-16 25-17 36-15 29-16
Position#4
Record11-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#12
Record0-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game94.0
United KingdomSLB
Other2012-13
Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Mersey Tigers
15 Feb 2013
WORC119
MERS64
13 Oct 2012
WORC98
MERS48
03 Dec 2011
WORC93
MERS84
20 Nov 2010
WORC88
MERS93
30 Oct 2010
WORC63
MERS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersey Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester WolvesUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H24/11
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#6
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A02/12
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H08/12
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#5
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H22/12
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H28/12
SLB Trophy
Leicester Riders
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A05/01
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#11
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A20/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#3
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
H25/01
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A01/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#4
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A08/02
SLB Trophy
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-16
33-18
14-19
15-15
18-10
18-23
19-23
10-31
14-17
29-19
16-23
29-14
18-15
28-16
15-19
22-20
19-17
17-17
20-22
34-21
20-28
17-22
20-13
25-26
20-24
21-24
22-18
35-25
23-17
15-28
23-21
22-17
18-15
28-19
26-12
16-29
23-20
19-23
19-18
33-27
166.5Avg total
85.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.776.7159.3+6.055%
Season at home (9)86.474.2160.7+12.278%
Season away (11)79.578.6158.2+0.936%
Last 10 (10)85.081.5166.5+3.570%
Last 5 (5)90.688.0178.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.088.0182.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (10)79.181.8160.9-2.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.176.5160.5+7.659%
This opponent (Mersey Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersey TigersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Glasgow Rocks
#5
L
72-109
72
109
-37
A16/12
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#6
L
65-103
65
103
-38
H21/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
65-96
65
96
-31
H28/12
SLB
Worthing Thunder
#8
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A06/01
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#7
L
64-99
64
99
-35
H11/01
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
58-121
58
121
-63
A25/01
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#6
L
70-103
70
103
-33
H27/01
SLB
London Lions
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A01/02
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
54-84
54
84
-30
A02/02
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#5
L
58-97
58
97
-39
H08/02
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
22-28
14-28
23-27
16-27
13-31
18-23
18-22
20-13
19-19
13-37
13-27
16-24
20-19
12-19
16-22
11-32
20-25
13-21
20-21
14-25
10-28
14-38
20-30
21-21
13-36
18-20
18-26
24-19
12-18
13-16
30-35
16-24
9-25
14-20
15-15
20-22
19-24
5-29
14-22
163.3Avg total
64.9Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)61.494.0155.5-32.60%
Season at home (9)62.493.8156.2-31.30%
Season away (13)60.794.2154.9-33.50%
Last 10 (10)64.998.4163.3-33.50%
Last 5 (5)63.898.6162.4-34.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)63.392.3155.6-29.04%
vs Similar (2)89.580.0169.5+9.5100%
vs Weaker (1)86.056.0142.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-7+0+7+15Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -9.6-9.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -11.7-11.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -6.0-6.0
Worcester WolvesMersey Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/11
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/12
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H08/12
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H22/12
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H28/12
SLB Trophy
Leicester Riders
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A05/01
SLB
Durham Wildcats
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A20/01
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/01
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A01/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/02
SLB Trophy
79.5Avg total
40.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.539.880.2+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.136.879.9+6.364%-
Last 30 away (17)38.841.680.4-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.879.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.043.085.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (10)38.441.880.2-3.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.237.179.3+5.153%-
This opponent (Mersey Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersey TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Glasgow Rocks
#5
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A16/12
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#6
L
29-58
29
58
-29
H21/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/12
SLB
Worthing Thunder
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A06/01
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#7
L
31-57
31
57
-26
H11/01
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
24-53
24
53
-29
A25/01
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#6
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H27/01
SLB
London Lions
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A01/02
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A02/02
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/02
SLB
81.4Avg total
32.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.046.078.9-13.014%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.546.682.1-11.223%-
Last 30 away (15)30.845.476.2-14.67%-
Last 10 (10)32.848.681.4-15.810%-
Last 5 (5)31.648.480.0-16.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.646.478.0-14.812%-
vs Similar (1)48.053.0101.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (1)49.025.074.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/13ANewcastle Eagles94-88
01/02/13AManchester Giants88-75
25/01/13HSurrey Scorchers91-97 OT
20/01/13ADurham Wildcats98-91
05/01/13ALeicester Riders82-89
28/12/12HPlymouth Raiders90-77
22/12/12HGlasgow Rocks83-70
08/12/12HNewcastle Eagles88-73
02/12/12APlymouth Raiders65-87
24/11/12HSheffield Sharks71-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/13HGlasgow Rocks58-97
02/02/13ALeicester Riders54-84
01/02/13ALondon Lions79-88
27/01/13HPlymouth Raiders70-103
25/01/13ANewcastle Eagles58-121
11/01/13HSheffield Sharks64-99
06/01/13AWorthing Thunder64-84
28/12/12HManchester Giants65-96
21/12/12HPlymouth Raiders65-103
16/12/12AGlasgow Rocks72-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves
SLB 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%78%36%
Points / game82.786.479.5
Allowed / game76.774.278.6
Point differential+6.0+12.2+0.9
Avg total159.3160.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Mersey Tigers
SLB 2012-13
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game61.462.460.7
Allowed / game94.093.894.2
Point differential-32.6-31.3-33.5
Avg total155.5156.2154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Eagles1917289%90.974.3+16.6
2 Leicester Riders1917289%80.768.2+12.6
3 Surrey Scorchers2014670%82.576.0+6.5
4 Plymouth Raiders2114767%94.483.7+10.7
5 Glasgow Rocks2315865%84.179.3+4.8
6 Worcester Wolves2011955%82.776.7+6.0
7 Sheffield Sharks2181338%77.177.9-0.8
8 London Lions2491538%83.885.2-1.4
9 Manchester Giants2381535%81.984.0-2.1
10 Cheshire Phoenix2381535%81.886.2-4.4
11 Durham Wildcats2381535%79.088.6-9.6
12 Mersey Tigers220220%61.494.0-32.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Worcester Wolves29253629119
Mersey Tigers1617151664
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